I know there has been some interest around RC threads in the past so I thought I'd put this here.
I have had a developer working on an algorithm for baseball for a couple of seasons and feel like its refined enough to track this year.
The specific plan I adhere to is looking for value instead of trying to predict winners. I look for favorites (usually 50-55% by my math) that are actually priced as underdogs.
I have the spreadsheet that I am tracking it on for anyone who wants to see it but here are the results so far:
April: 23-4
May to date: 6-17
Overall win%: 58%
The thing to remember is that every one of these bets is at plus money.
It looks like my 'puter was much better than the books in April and they have adjusted but I am just going to keep following the playbook and see what happens through the year (my propeller head adjust's the algorithm so that is beyond the scope of what I want to get into here).
I thought I'd start listing the plays everyday if anyone wants to follow along*.
*Bet small. My standard bet has been 1% of my total stake except for 2 times. many times they have been 1/2% bets.
*I will post them as best I can, sometimes life gets in the way.
Today 5/14
(I have these teams as at least 50% favorites)
Seattle +130
Maybe (Don't have lineups to plug in yet)
LAA +105
There aren't many plays every day. It's a few here and there. Some days there are none.
Let me know what you guys think or if it's worth me listing this here.
I have had a developer working on an algorithm for baseball for a couple of seasons and feel like its refined enough to track this year.
The specific plan I adhere to is looking for value instead of trying to predict winners. I look for favorites (usually 50-55% by my math) that are actually priced as underdogs.
I have the spreadsheet that I am tracking it on for anyone who wants to see it but here are the results so far:
April: 23-4
May to date: 6-17
Overall win%: 58%
The thing to remember is that every one of these bets is at plus money.
It looks like my 'puter was much better than the books in April and they have adjusted but I am just going to keep following the playbook and see what happens through the year (my propeller head adjust's the algorithm so that is beyond the scope of what I want to get into here).
I thought I'd start listing the plays everyday if anyone wants to follow along*.
*Bet small. My standard bet has been 1% of my total stake except for 2 times. many times they have been 1/2% bets.
*I will post them as best I can, sometimes life gets in the way.
Today 5/14
(I have these teams as at least 50% favorites)
Seattle +130
Maybe (Don't have lineups to plug in yet)
LAA +105
There aren't many plays every day. It's a few here and there. Some days there are none.
Let me know what you guys think or if it's worth me listing this here.