Bleed S & G;1856821; said:
C'mon man.. you're smarter than this.
Look, we have two different phenomena. One is number of recruits signed. The other is the number of those recruits who replace athletes who currently are a member of the program. If Big-10 School "A" signs 22 kids, and all twenty qualify, School "A" has 22 new bodies. If SEC school "B" signs 29 kids and seven can't qualify, School "B" has 22 new bodies.
Fast forward ten years with identical signing methods, and you will have School "A" signing 220 recruits, and the SEC School "B" will have signed 290 recruits. "Oh My God!!! How can we compete??!! Unfair, UNFAIR!!!!!11!!!!!....they have seventy more kids than we did!!!"
Actually, under that scenario, School "B" had exactly zero more recruits in the program than School "A". So maybe I missed some of the Josh-onian stats in earlier discussions that addressed this, for which I apologize in advance, but what I need to see is a stat that shows how many of the respective recruits actually entered the program to play for the respective teams. And, I need to know if (here this is a mythical team not based upon y'all, so 'simma down everyone) if Sucky Team "A"
has few kids leaving early for the pros versus Bad Boy Team "B", with a constant turn over of sophmore and Junior kids to the pros. In the case of team "B", they have no choice but to add more recruits, having lost more kids due to drops or pro-draft than team "A".
Now, if Team "B" dropped lots of kids due to marginal qualifiers, then you are going to have to explain why it is an advantage to have more freshmen every year, as older kids with even one year of S&C and game plan knowlege is better would be arguabley more valuable than any number of freshmen.
If team "B" boots out 7 marginally performing athletes who have good grades and otherwise meet the program rules, but are launched by the coaches just because they are not studs - and those seven are replaced as part of Team "B" signing
and enrolling 29 kids - - - - - - -
then that is a different story entirely.
All I'm saying is that there are lies, damn lies, and statistics. I can see instances where it makes no or little difference how many kids are signed, and I can see where it could be a competitive advantage. If and how much is open to debate. But what I do not agree with, absent any other information, is that pure nunmbers of scholarships
offered is enough to draw the correlation that some are drawing.
"You only won because you oversigned" is what I am hearing from some, without any more evidence to support how any individual team was helped or hindered by turnover within those specific teams.