I expect PSU to get home on a couple blitzes early which will consequently kill a couple drives; therefore, I think the game is close for at least a quarter-and-a-half. Something like 7-7 or 7-3 in favor of either side.
At some point I think Day cracks the lock. Offensive line is too good to be stifled for an entire game. Maybe something along the lines of 28-17 good guys. I think that 19-point spread is straight ludicrous but I would be thrilled to be wrong.
Another concern is Borland trying to cover European tight end. We run a decent amount of base D according to my the eye test; if I’m those duck wards I try going at him on early downs through the air.