muffler dragon
Bien. Bien chiludo.
View attachment 22436
Edit: I’ll see if I can find my reply to his post about 76%... but ultimately, a model needs to perform over baseline rates or it’s worthless.
In this case, assuming that the model said 76% tOSU, his model was actually a contrarian indicator at a pretty significant level. There’s no way what we saw on Saturday was 3:1 odds.
Fuck’n ESPN math hacks.
Don't fault a guy for thinking 1 sigma is good enough.
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