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Game Thread Ohio State @ Northwestern - 10/18/19, 8:30PM (BTN)

A 28-point spread with an O/U of 48.5 means Vegas expects a score of 38-10. Ohio State has defeated its three conference foes by an average score of 44-9, while NW has lost to its three conference foes by an average score of 23-12. I can see how Vegas might see how NW may score 10 points on us, on their field, in their Super Bowl. What I don't see is how Vegas thinks NW is going to hold our offense to under 40 points...even Michigan State put up 31 on them. Granted NW held Wiscy to 24 points, but they completely sold out to stop the run...if they try that with Fields and our WR crops, I don't care if the grass is up to everyone's ankles, they won't slow down the air attack.

Maybe they'll luck out and the game will be played in 30 mph winds
 
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A 28-point spread with an O/U of 48.5 means Vegas expects a score of 38-10. Ohio State has defeated its three conference foes by an average score of 44-9, while NW has lost to its three conference foes by an average score of 23-12. I can see how Vegas might see how NW may score 10 points on us, on their field, in their Super Bowl. What I don't see is how Vegas thinks NW is going to hold our offense to under 40 points...even Michigan State put up 31 on them. Granted NW held Wiscy to 24 points, but they completely sold out to stop the run...if they try that with Fields and our WR crops, I don't care if the grass is up to everyone's ankles, they won't slow down the air attack.

Yeah, I never want to go in over confident after the last few years, but I have a hard time seeing NW score more than 10-14 based on maybe one good drive + a trick play. They're worse than Indiana and MSU on offense, but they've also had a bye, so I can see them coming up with some things to bother OSU to start the game.

As long as OSU holds onto the ball and can get some explosive plays, I see something similar to Nebraska. Hoping to limit Field's carries before the Wisconsin game, and work on the passing attack.
 
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Over or Under
Offense 500 total yds
We score 39 pts
Justin Fields completes 70% of his passes
Fields throws for 225 yds
Fields throws for 3 TDs
Fields has 50 yds rushing and 1 rushing TD
Dobbins rushes for 125 yds
Offense gets over 225 yds rushing
Defense gives up 14 pts
Defense gets 4 sacks
Defense gets two turnovers
 
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Over or Under
Offense 500 total yds - over
We score 39 pts - over
Justin Fields completes 70% of his passes - over
Fields throws for 225 yds - over
Fields throws for 3 TDs - push
Fields has 50 yds rushing and 1 rushing TD - over
Dobbins rushes for 125 yds - over
Offense gets over 225 yds rushing - over
Defense gives up 14 pts - under
Defense gets 4 sacks - over
Defense gets two turnovers - push
 
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