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Game Thread Ohio State @ Nebraska - 09/28/19, 7:30PM (ABC)

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sflbuck said:
The Silver Bullets need to show up at the start of the game and not 7 minutes in like yesterday.

That said and based on limited view of the Illinois game yesterday, i don't see how Corn scores more than 28 and does not give up at least 42 to the OSU offense, Super Bowl atmosphere of no.
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We are everyones night game and everyone's super bowl so this won't be a surprise to anyone on our team.

We can talk about Martinez and their good skill but as always these games are about 2 things.

1. The LOS
2. Protecting the ball

We have a sizeable advantage on both LOS. So if we do one thing we walk away with this one and that's take care of the ball.

If we do not turn the ball over we win comfortably.
 
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Nebraska’s highest statistical ranking (among the most often listed stats) is 21st in FBS for their 3rd down defense. Second is their 25th ranked total offense. But this ranking, more than most, illustrates just how limited statistical rankings are at the end of September.

After the mostly non-conference portion of the season, Nebraska’s 490 ypg is only good enough for 25th best in the country. For a full season, 490 yards would have put you in first place in the 70s, 5th place in 1989, and 12th place last year. But after the non-conference portion of the schedule, 490 yards per game means little.

So even though there are 15 categories where OSU’s ranking is 21st or better, and even though a fair few of those are in the single-digits, and even though OSU has arguably played a schedule comparable to Nebraska’s, we really don’t know anything yet.

Most importantly, we don’t know if this team is susceptible to the kind of let down its 2017 and 2018 predecessors succumbed to in general and to Western road trips in particular. As usual, we will find out more about this team in the fifth game than in the previous four combined. And we’ll find out how they fare against a good defense a week later.

The next two weeks won’t answer everything, of course, but they will determine whether the demons of 2013 and 15 AND 2017 and 18 have been exorcised.

Whatever happens, it’s great to be a Buckeye
 
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DaddyBigBucks said:
Most importantly, we don’t know if this team is susceptible to the kind of let down its 2017 and 2018 predecessors succumbed to in general and to Western road trips in particular.
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I think Fredo coming out and punching OSU in the mouth early (as weak as the punch turned out) could be one of the best things that happened yesterday and maybe for this season. The team now realizes that if they don't start out with their very best they could find themselves behind early, even to a shitty team like Fredo...I seriously doubt we see any letdowns of any sort for the rest of the season.
 
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MililaniBuckeye said:
I think Fredo coming out and punching OSU in the mouth early (as weak as the punch turned out) could be one of the best things that happened yesterday and maybe for this season. The team now realizes that if they don't start out with their very best they could find themselves behind early, even to a shitty team like Fredo...I seriously doubt we see any letdowns of any sort for the rest of the season.
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I hope you’re right that they learn their lesson from this

While that, and my whole post above, betrays a mostly wait-and-see attitude; I am at least leaning in your direction

I told my wife during the first quarter, “If there’s one team on the whole schedule you can sleepwalk against, it’s this one.” If they learn from it, it may very well have been “one of the best things... for this season.” And at the perfect time
 
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MililaniBuckeye said:
I think Fredo coming out and punching OSU in the mouth early (as weak as the punch turned out) could be one of the best things that happened yesterday and maybe for this season. The team now realizes that if they don't start out with their very best they could find themselves behind early, even to a shitty team like Fredo...I seriously doubt we see any letdowns of any sort for the rest of the season.
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I would be stunned if that's the last time we have a letdown. It's just human nature. I would be stunned if we had one even remotely resembling the Iowa or Purdue games.
 
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MililaniBuckeye said:
As someone who never actually bets real money, I'm guessing this movement is because everyone is jumping on the Bucks covering the 15-point spread, as opposed to the bookies just learning some Secret Squirrel inside info...
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highly doubt there is so-called inside information that has moved the line. heck, the line could have been set knowing that it would immediately bump up a couple points because the book actually likes nebraska getting the points. most times the book seeks to get 50% of the money on each side, thereby securing the vig (aka the juice) as guaranteed profit. sometimes, though, the book takes a side and becomes exposed. you could end up seeing 60% of the money giving points and 40% of the money taking points. hard to say, really. but the general belief is that smart money bets early to capitalize on inefficient lines and bets late so as not to move the line early. or because that's when the most information is available. or because there is secret squirrel inside info.
 
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