Just for giggles, I thought I'd throw this out here and see what you guys think. Being a Nebraska fan, I posited a way that Nebraska could win the West over on HuskerBoard.
Give me your feedback. How far off from reality is this?
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After the Ohio State debacle it's not a lot of fun to think about the rest of the schedule, but there's reason for optimism.
There's a clear path to Nebraska winning the West. And it basically boils down to holding serve against weaker opponents.
As of right now, I'd rank the West:
Tier One
Wisconsin
Iowa
Tier Two
Nebraska
Tier Three
Northwestern
Minnesota
Tier Four
Illinois
Purdue
Wisconsin and Iowa are the top two teams in the West. Wisconsin looks to be as good as ever, and Iowa just keeps doing Iowa things - not really flashy, but solid & consistent.
Nebraska shows flashes of brilliance and garbage. We have talent but we make too many mistakes and we don't play consistent football. This prediction is predicated on Nebraska playing (mostly) error-free ball the rest of the regular season.
Minnesota looked good enough against Purdue, but Purdue is a dumpster fire without Rondale Moore, and he's dinged up. Northwestern doesn't seem to have that magic like they did last year, and they already have two conference losses, plus at least two more with Wisconsin & Iowa on the schedule - and should have another after this weekend against Nebraska.
Illinois & Purdue look bad. Neither should pose much of a problem to their opponents the rest of the season, especially without a healthy Moore.
Current West standings look like this, looking only at conference records:
Wisconsin: 2-0
Iowa: 1-0
Minnesota: 1-0
Nebraska: 1-1
Northwestern: 0-2
Purdue: 0-1
Illinois: 0-1
For Nebraska to win the West, we have to leapfrog Iowa, Minnesota & Wisconsin.
I think we beat Minnesota straight up. I think Minnesota loses three of their final four games against Penn State, Iowa, & Wisconsin. That puts them with at least four conference losses, and out of the picture.
I think Iowa loses their next two games against Michigan and Penn State. That gives them two conference losses, and I think they lose to Wisconsin for three. If we get our errors figured out, at home on Black Friday, I think we can beat the Hawkeyes. That's at least three conference losses (Michigan, Penn State & Wisconsin) and possibly a fourth to Nebraska.
I think Wisconsin is the team to beat. And to do that, we may not even have to beat them straight up. If - and this is a big if - they lose to Michigan State in two weeks, that's one conference loss, and they will definitely lose to Ohio State for their second. They only have to lose to one of Nebraska or Iowa for a third loss. But even then, a third loss for Wisconsin may not be necessary.
Nebraska finishes the Big Ten slate against:
Northwestern
Minnesota
Indiana
Purdue
Wisconsin
Maryland
Iowa
We should (should) beat: Northwestern, Minnesota, Indiana, Purdue & Maryland. That's six conference wins. Even if we lose to Wisconsin, but we beat Iowa, that's a 7-2 conference record.
All we have to do is hold serve against the weaker teams (Northwestern, Minnesota, Indiana, Purdue & Maryland), then beat one of Wisconsin or Iowa, and we have a great shot at the West.
Here's a possible final standings this year:
Nebraska 7-2
Wisconsin 6-3
Iowa 6-3
Minnesota 3-6
Northwestern 2-7
Purdue 1-8
Illinois 1-8
Again, the huge caveat to this is we have to fix our errors. We make too many unforced errors giving away points and putting ourselves in a hole.
But there's your scenario. There's a realistic shot at winning the division, even after that awful game vs. Ohio State.
Before making any predictions, you better wait until Saturday to see how your guys respond. Putting that one behind them won't be easy.
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