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Look Who's Transferring Now (The Portal)



Ok so people use numbers to be scary sometimes but let's think about this.

136 teams in FBS
105 players per team by rule
14,280 players
3,300 in portal now, could go up could stay flat, who knows?

That is 2.3% of the population. Sound a lot less eyeball grabbing that way doesn't it? Every team might not have the full 105? Ok, fine, fucking double it (you'd be over estimating) but let's double it.

"Over 95% of the D1 football players in 2025 are staying with their team" just doesn't have that same-whiny ass, look how bad everything is, the sport is collapsing, let's get the government involved, please click on my click bait- ring to it now does it?

MEANWHILE.....

32 head coaches changed jobs in the 136 team FBS universe.
That's 24% for those keeping score at home

but let's keep this tired ass narrative focused on the athletes that actually do the work, take the physical punishment and provide the fucking entertainment....somethings gotta be done!!! They are ruining the sport!!!
 
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Ok so people use numbers to be scary sometimes but let's think about this.

136 teams in FBS
105 players per team by rule
14,280 players
3,300 in portal now, could go up could stay flat, who knows?

That is 2.3% of the population. Sound a lot less eyeball grabbing that way doesn't it? Every team might not have the full 105? Ok, fine, fucking double it (you'd be over estimating) but let's double it.

"Over 95% of the D1 football players in 2025 are staying with their team" just doesn't have that same-whiny ass, look how bad everything is, the sport is collapsing, let's get the government involved, please click on my click bait- ring to it now does it?

MEANWHILE.....

32 head coaches changed jobs in the 136 team FBS universe.
That's 24% for those keeping score at home

but let's keep this tired ass narrative focused on the athletes that actually do the work, take the physical punishment and provide the fucking entertainment....somethings gotta be done!!! They are ruining the sport!!!
I fully agree, and love your breakdown. I posted this to just show that a number of kids are getting bad advice and leaving so many places prematurely. I hate hearing stories, that a kid who could stay at school X, might have been a starter the next year, but now can't find a place and is now playing in D2 or D3. Because I think teams like Iowa St who lose most of their team are a smaller percentage, and many teams are just looking to add a few players. So 3300+ players(and counting) entering the Portal, but there won't be close to the same amount of openings with the freshman early enrolles set to hit campuses in a week or 2
 
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I fully agree, and love your breakdown. I posted this to just show that a number of kids are getting bad advice and leaving so many places prematurely. I hate hearing stories, that a kid who could stay at school X, might have been a starter the next year, but now can't find a place and is now playing in D2 or D3. Because I think teams like Iowa St who lose most of their team are a smaller percentage, and many teams are just looking to add a few players. So 3300+ players(and counting) entering the Portal, but there won't be close to the same amount of openings with the freshman early enrolles set to hit campuses in a week or 2

I understand but that "article" or whatever you call social media vomit, is misleading and I'm tired of the noise personally.

less than 5% are going to transfer, nowhere near all of that sub 5% is doing it because they want to, some are being forced out and yes, some will end up out of D1 because of it but that's a different story (and maybe one people should be talking about).

Too many teams in D1 trying to share the same pie. Too easy for coaches to move and not players. No regulatory body. No collective agreement to protect players, no uniformity to talent acquisition.

Just a few off the top of my head that are real, structural issues. This inane bullshit about the portal is juts noise, it isn't signal.
 
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Just sayin': The kids hear/read about other players on other teams getting a large amount of NIL money. "Unscrupulous agents" promise these kids a big NIL contract if they sign with him/her and enter the transfer portal. Once they enter the transfer portial they surrender their scholarship at their existing school.

I'd like to see the number of players that fall for some agent's promises, enter the transfer portal, get no NIL offers, lose the scholarship that they had, and are out of school with no chances of ever earning a college degree (which might result in a better paying job).
 
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Just sayin': The kids hear/read about other players on other teams getting a large amount of NIL money. "Unscrupulous agents" promise these kids a big NIL contract if they sign with him/her and enter the transfer portal. Once they enter the transfer portial they surrender their scholarship at their existing school.

I'd like to see the number of players that fall for some agent's promises, enter the transfer portal, get no NIL offers, lose the scholarship that they had, and are out of school with no chances of ever earning a college degree (which might result in a better paying job).
Interesting you say that, because I was listening to a podcast yesterday( I think it was the 520 pod), and they mentioned a player who hit the Portal thinking that he'd get a bigger NIL deal. No school picked him for the offer he was seeking and he had to drop out of college because he couldn't find a school in time for the season. They were probably talking about basketball, but its still the same. The kid is now working at a retail store, waiting to try and get into any college possible now
 
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Ok so people use numbers to be scary sometimes but let's think about this.

136 teams in FBS
105 players per team by rule
14,280 players
3,300 in portal now, could go up could stay flat, who knows?

That is 2.3% of the population. Sound a lot less eyeball grabbing that way doesn't it? Every team might not have the full 105? Ok, fine, fucking double it (you'd be over estimating) but let's double it.

"Over 95% of the D1 football players in 2025 are staying with their team" just doesn't have that same-whiny ass, look how bad everything is, the sport is collapsing, let's get the government involved, please click on my click bait- ring to it now does it?

MEANWHILE.....

32 head coaches changed jobs in the 136 team FBS universe.
That's 24% for those keeping score at home

but let's keep this tired ass narrative focused on the athletes that actually do the work, take the physical punishment and provide the fucking entertainment....somethings gotta be done!!! They are ruining the sport!!!
Players are at 23% - similar to coaches.
Some players are moving up and some are moving down. Same with coaches.

Plenty of issues with players and coaches, and Universities/NIL collectives/boosters. In the end, need to make some sort of professional league rules.
 
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