generaladm;1896206; said:
My neighbor is a die-hard UK fan, and I got to pick his brain a bit while we were watching the UK/WVU game. I think the best case scenario for OSU is if Brandon Knight thinks he has to win the game by himself. There was a marked difference in that game when he got the ball fed to him, rather than trying to create off the dribble. I gathered that his insistence on forcing plays was a season long problem, and probably one that gets worse when he gets frustrated. It will be important for Craft to play D with his feet and avoid cheap reach-in fouls. Knight will get calls if Aaron plays too aggressive, so AC should stay in front of him and deny easy looks. Knight will beat AC occasionally, but there will be more times that he makes his move and has no where to go. Aaron needs to stay on the floor, and I wouldn't mind at all if he starts in place of Dallas.
I definitely agree about AC, and I think it goes for Lighty as well. Knight and Jones are really the only players for UK that can take over a game. If AC can frustrate BK, Kentucky will struggle to get things going, and it would be tough for UK to overcome that. If Lighty can stay out of foul trouble I doubt Jones will kill us too much, he doesn't really light it up against decent defenders. That being said, about 35 ppg comes from the Jones/Knight duo, so limiting them is going to be huge.
AC starting wouldn't be a bad idea, just to limit BK from getting going early, but Dallas can be pretty effective at limiting slashers like Knight. Dallas completely broke Penn State's will when he came in and started blocking Battle and Frazier's drives to the basket in the B10 title game, and I think he could be able to do the same to Knight.
My other concern is Diebler's defense. JD usually takes whoever the unathletic guard is on the opposing team, but Kentucky doesn't really have that guy. Doron Lamb probably fits the profile more than anyone, but he can go to the basket which JD struggles with. The task for JD will be to limit Lamb's three-point efficiency, as he is a guy that can go off from behind the arc. They could also put him on Liggins but Liggins is taller than most of JD's defensive assignments, so my guess would be that Willy B draws that matchup.
Kentucky does scare me. I might be alone here, but if we win I will actually feel better about Sunday's potential matchup with UNC (who I think we match up with well). Kentucky is just very long, and, like us, when things are clicking they score from everywhere (except Harrelson, although he's not bad either).
I think we will win because I think we're significantly better than Kentucky defensively. Kentucky is athletic enough to play good defense, but they're not very smart on the court. Harrellson will probably give Sullinger some trouble, but we should have plenty of open looks. Hopefully we knock them down, and prevent Knight/Jones from lighting it up.