• Follow us on Twitter @buckeyeplanet and @bp_recruiting, like us on Facebook! Enjoy a post or article, recommend it to others! BP is only as strong as its community, and we only promote by word of mouth, so share away!
  • Consider registering! Fewer and higher quality ads, no emails you don't want, access to all the forums, download game torrents, private messages, polls, Sportsbook, etc. Even if you just want to lurk, there are a lot of good reasons to register!

Game Thread Game Seven: Ohio State 41, Indiana 10 (final)

Jump to latest Follow Reply
Sort by date Sort by votes
DaddyBigBucks said:
On page 2 of this thread I gave my weekly breakdown, showing how this weeks teams are doing, relative to their opponents averages.

Maybe a better way of looking at differential output is to compare your opponents output against you with their average output against everybody BUT you. In other words, factor the game against you OUT of their average, and how did you do compared to THAT?

To be honest, the reason that I waited until this game to break things down this way is because it makes a great team (OSU) stand in even sharper relief against an average team (Indi).

For comparison purposes, I'll repeat the numbers that include the head-head matchups.

INDIANA OFFENSE GAINS/SCORES
  • 17.36 yards more than opponents give up on average (head-head factored in)
  • 2.36 points more than opponents give up on average (head-head factored in)
but,
  • 21.99 yards more than opponents give up on average (head-head factored out)
  • 2.94 points more than opponents give up on average (head-head factored out)
INDIANA DEFENSE GIVES UP
  • 9.53 yards fewer than opponents gain on average (head-head factored in)
  • 3.50 points fewer than opponents score on average (head-head factored in)
but,
  • 11.51 yards fewer than opponents gain on average (head-head factored out)
  • 4.27 points fewer than opponents score on average (head-head factored out)
.................................................. ..................................

OSU OFFENSE GAINS/SCORES
  • 6.83 yards more than opponents give up on average (head-head factored in)
  • 5.67 points more than opponents give up on average (head-head factored in)
but,
  • 7.74 yards more than opponents give up on average (head-head factored out)
  • 6.75 points more than opponents give up on average (head-head factored out)
OSU DEFENSE GIVES UP
  • 171.03 yards fewer than opponents gain on average (head-head factored in)
  • 19.54 points fewer than opponents score on average (head-head factored in)
but,
  • 201.49 yards fewer than opponents gain on average (head-head factored out)
  • 23.12 points fewer than opponents score on average (head-head factored out)
....................................................................................................

Things to note:
  • Only the Ohio State defense changed significantly.
  • Holding people > 200 yds / 20 pts below their averages is SICK
Another thing to point out:

With their games against OSU factored out, our opponents are averaging 475.99 YPG. Let that sink in for a minute. When was the last time that a team played offenses like that for half a season? That is ridiculous.



So how does this analysis change the comparison between the teams???

Take OSU's offensive output and subtract the amount that Indiana holds their opponents below their averages. Then do the same for Indiana's offense vs. OSU's defense and the result is the following:

OSU yards: 359.67 (avg O) - 11.51 (Indiana D) = 348.16 Yards
OSU points: 26.5 (avg score) - 4.27 (Indiana D) = 22.23 Points

Indiana yards: 410.67 - 201.49 = 209.18 yards
Indiana points: 29.0 - 23.12 = 5.88 points


When you add to this the fact that Indiana's differential numbers are inflated by having played a IAA team, this game shapes up to be a one-sided bloodbath.
Click to expand...

I have to say this is one of the greatest posts ever, well done and showed so much, things like this really show what is going to happen. This should be done every week.
 
Upvote 0
Quick stats from CBSSportsline:

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=765 border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD width=5></TD><TD class=page width=10> </TD><TD class=page width=740><SCRIPT>/*These must be here because this file is used in places that do not use script.html*/var IE_tz = (document.all) ? 1 : 0;var MAC_tz = ((navigator.appVersion.indexOf("PPC") >0) || (navigator.appVersion.indexOf("Mac") >0)) ? 1 : 0;var DAYS = new Array("Sunday", "Monday", "Tuesday", "Wednesday", "Thursday", "Friday", "Saturday");var days = new Array("Sun", "Mon", "Tues", "Wed", "Thurs", "Fri", "Sat");var MONTHS = new Array("January", "February", "March", "April", "May", "June", "July", "August", "September", "October", "November", "December");var months = new Array("Jan", "Feb", "Mar", "Apr", "May", "Jun", "Jul", "Aug", "Sep", "Oct", "Nov", "Dec");var tzOffset = "4";var tzAbbrev = 'ET';if(tzOffset.charAt(0) == "<") tzOffset = "-1";tzOffset = parseInt(tzOffset);function formatTime(format, gmtTime){ gmtTime = new String(gmtTime); if(!parseInt(gmtTime) || gmtTime.indexOf(':') != -1 || gmtTime.indexOf('.') != -1) return gmtTime; var time; var offset = 0; if(tzOffset != -1 && tzOffset != new Date().getTimezoneOffset()){ offset = 60 * (new Date().getTimezoneOffset() - (tzOffset * 60)); } time = new Date((parseInt(gmtTime) + parseInt(offset))*1000); var t = ''; var H = time.getHours(); var M = time.getMinutes(); var S = time.getSeconds(); var d = time.getDate(); var m = time.getMonth(); var w = time.getDay(); var Y = time.getYear(); //This will need to be adjusted every year if(MAC_tz && IE_tz && (time<Date.parse('Sun Oct 31 01:00:00 EDT 2004') || time>Date.parse('Sun Apr 3 01:00:00 EDT 2005')) && tzOffset != -1 && tzOffset!=4){ time = new Date(time - (60*60*1000)); var H = time.getHours(); var M = time.getMinutes(); var S = time.getSeconds(); var d = time.getDate(); var m = time.getMonth(); var w = time.getDay(); var Y = time.getYear(); } if(Y<1900){Y+=1900;} var y = Y % 100; for(var i=0;i<format.length;i++){ if(format.charAt(i)=='%' && (i+1)<format.length){ var c = format.charAt(i+1); switch(c){ case 'a':{ t+=days[w]; break; } case 'A':{ t+=DAYS[w]; break; } case 'b':{ t+=months[m]; break; } case 'B':{ t+=MONTHS[m]; break; } case 'd':{ if(d<10){ t+='0';} t+=new String(d); break;} case 'D':{ t+=new String(d); break;} case 'H':{ t+=new String(H); break;} case 'I':{ if(H>12){ t+=new String(H - 12); }else if(H==0){ t+='12'; }else{ t+=new String(H); }break; } case 'm':{ t+=new String(m+1); break;} case 'n':{ if(m<9){ t+='0';} t+=new String(m+1); break;} case 'M':{ if(M<10){ t+='0';} t+=new String(M); break;} case 'p':{ if(H<12){ t+='am';}else{ t+='pm' } break;} case 'S':{ if(S<10){ t+='0';} t+=new String(S); break;} case 'w':{ t+=w; break; } case 'y':{ if(y<10){ t+='0';} t+=new String(y); break;} case 'Y':{ t+=new String(Y); break;} case 'Z':{ t+=new String(tzAbbrev); break;} case '%':{ t+='%'; break;} } i++; }else{ t+=format.charAt(i); } } return t;}function phhmm(gmt){ document.write(formatTime('%I:%M %p',gmt));}function pMD(gmt){ document.write(formatTime('%m/%d',gmt));}</SCRIPT><STYLE type=text/css>.pt {font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size:18px; font-weight:normal;}img.bottom {vertical-align:text-bottom}</STYLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=bottom><TD class=pt height=40>Team Stats </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=pt2nd>Indiana vs. Ohio State</TD><TD align=right></TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2><HR SIZE=1></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>GameCenter · Team Stats · Full Play-by-Play · Preview
<TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg3 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD class=bg3 align=left></TD><TD class=bg3>
OHST.gif
</TD><TD class=bg3>
IN.gif
</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Punts-Average</TD><TD align=right>6-40.7</TD><TD align=right>10-40.8</TD></TR><TR class=bg3 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Return Yards</TD><TD align=right>165</TD><TD align=right>174</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Punts-Returns</TD><TD align=right>4-73</TD><TD align=right>1-5</TD></TR><TR class=bg3 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Kickoffs-Returns</TD><TD align=right>2-37</TD><TD align=right>3-106</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Int.-Returns</TD><TD align=right>1-55</TD><TD align=right>0-63</TD></TR><TR class=bg3 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Penalties-Yards</TD><TD align=right>7-82</TD><TD align=right>6-41</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Fumbles-Lost</TD><TD align=right>1-1</TD><TD align=right>1-1</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg3 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD class=bg3 align=left></TD><TD class=bg3>
OHST.gif
</TD><TD class=bg3>
IN.gif
</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Total Net Yards</TD><TD align=right>463</TD><TD align=right>131</TD></TR><TR class=bg3 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Total Plays</TD><TD align=right>80</TD><TD align=right>69</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Average Gain</TD><TD align=right>5.8</TD><TD align=right>1.9</TD></TR><TR class=bg3 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Net Yards Rushing</TD><TD align=right>242</TD><TD align=right>58</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Rushes</TD><TD align=right>44</TD><TD align=right>22</TD></TR><TR class=bg3 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Avg. Per Rush</TD><TD align=right>5.5</TD><TD align=right>2.6</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Net Yards Passing</TD><TD align=right>221</TD><TD align=right>73</TD></TR><TR class=bg3 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Comp.-Att.</TD><TD align=right>15-24</TD><TD align=right>15-32</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Yards Per Pass</TD><TD align=right>8.2</TD><TD align=right>2.1</TD></TR><TR class=bg3 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Sacked-Yards Lost</TD><TD align=right>3-20</TD><TD align=right>3-20</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Had Intercepted</TD><TD align=right>1</TD><TD align=right>1</TD></TR><TR class=bg3 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Touchdowns</TD><TD align=right>5</TD><TD align=right>1</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Rushing</TD><TD align=right>2</TD><TD align=right>0</TD></TR><TR class=bg3 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Passing</TD><TD align=right>1</TD><TD align=right>0</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Other</TD><TD align=right>2</TD><TD align=right>1</TD></TR><TR class=bg3 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Extra Points</TD><TD align=right>5-5</TD><TD align=right>1-1</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Field Goals</TD><TD align=right>2-3</TD><TD align=right>1-2</TD></TR><TR class=bg3 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Safeties</TD><TD align=right>0</TD><TD align=right>0</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><TD class=page width=10> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><!-- contextual-footer -->
 
Upvote 0
Great victory today. Good to see Ginn finally get credit for a TD return. Defense looked great, and the offense did too at times. Give credit to Troy for looking at more than one receiver after his interception early on.

Actually, the MIchigan victory over Iowa may be a blessing in disguise. As long as things continue to fall into place, we may win the Big Ten title outright.
 
Upvote 0
I love to see any team held to under 150 yards! Awesome! And, remember, we were only 11-16 point favorites on the computer lines, so this was a good performance against a team that isn't great but also isn't the Indiana we've come to accept as a "no-win" team.
 
Upvote 0
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top