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All I know is our defense seemed to have clicked after last year's Iowa game. Nothing against Drew Tate as he is a very good QB but we faced a more elusive runner in Vince Young and besides taking 2 series to get use to his speed we shut him down. In other words our defense is hitting on all cylinders and that makes me a ton more confident heading into this weekend.
It is just odd, at the beginning of the year I thought this would be a difficult game but for some reason I am very calm about this weekend and I almost want to say this might relieve alot of Buckeye fans as we get payback for last year with a "blowout" win in the area of 24-7.
Thanks for the update xrayrandy junior. Perhaps you could analyze the historical statistics when Iowa plays in Columbus 2 weeks after Ohio State loses at home and 6 days after a full moon.Here on some up to date season stats which I think are much more reliable than NCAA rankings:
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupHeader colSpan=14>OHIO ST - Current Season Statistics</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=5>
</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=2>Rushing</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=4>Passing</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=3>Total</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader>
</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>PPG</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Half</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>FD</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>TOP</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>ATT-YDS</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YPR</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>CMP-ATT</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>PCT</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YDS</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>PYA</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>ATT-YDS</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YPP</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YPPT</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupCells>Offense (All Games)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>27.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>16.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>19.3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>33:42</TD><TD class=matchupCells>39-150</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(3.8)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>20-31</TD><TD class=matchupCells>64.1%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>187</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(6.1)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>70-337</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(4.8)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(12.2)</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupCells>Opponents Defensive Avg.</TD><TD class=matchupCells>25.4</TD><TD class=matchupCells>12.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>18.3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>30:13</TD><TD class=matchupCells>39-149</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(3.8)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>18-29</TD><TD class=matchupCells>59.8%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>212</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(7.2)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>69-361</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.3)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(14.2)</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupCells>Offense Home Games</TD><TD class=matchupCells>27.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>16.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>19.3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>33:42</TD><TD class=matchupCells>39-150</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(3.8)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>20-31</TD><TD class=matchupCells>64.1%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>187</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(6.1)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>70-337</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(4.8)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(12.2)</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupCells>Defense (All Games)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>15</TD><TD class=matchupCells>6.3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>14.3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>27:18</TD><TD class=matchupCells>29-58</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(2)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>19-32</TD><TD class=matchupCells>58.9%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>229</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(7.2)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>61-286</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(4.7)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(19.1)</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupCells>Opponents Offensive Avg.</TD><TD class=matchupCells>30</TD><TD class=matchupCells>16.6</TD><TD class=matchupCells>22.2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>30:37</TD><TD class=matchupCells>39-175</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(4.5)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>20-33</TD><TD class=matchupCells>61.8%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>236</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(7.3)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>71-411</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.8)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(13.7)</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupCells>Defense Home Games</TD><TD class=matchupCells>15</TD><TD class=matchupCells>6.3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>14.3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>27:18</TD><TD class=matchupCells>29-58</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(2)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>19-32</TD><TD class=matchupCells>58.9%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>229</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(7.2)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>61-286</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(4.7)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(19.1)</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupHeader colSpan=14>IOWA - Current Season Statistics</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=5>
</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=2>Rushing</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=4>Passing</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=3>Total</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader>
</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>PPG</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Half</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>FD</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>TOP</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>ATT-YDS</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YPR</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>CMP-ATT</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>PCT</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YDS</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>PYA</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>ATT-YDS</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YPP</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YPPT</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupCells>Offense (All Games)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>34.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>26.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>22</TD><TD class=matchupCells>27:48</TD><TD class=matchupCells>39-215</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.5)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>17-28</TD><TD class=matchupCells>61.2%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>213</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(7.5)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>68-428</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(6.3)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(12.3)</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupCells>Opponents Defensive Avg.</TD><TD class=matchupCells>36.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>23.3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>21.2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>26:29</TD><TD class=matchupCells>37-205</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.5)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>17-28</TD><TD class=matchupCells>60.7%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>244</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(8.6)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>65-449</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(6.9)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(12.2)</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupCells>Offense Road Games</TD><TD class=matchupCells>3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>20</TD><TD class=matchupCells>24:35</TD><TD class=matchupCells>32-173</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.4)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>15-42</TD><TD class=matchupCells>35.7%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>174</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(4.1)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>74-347</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(4.7)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(115.7)</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupCells>Defense (All Games)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>14.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>7.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>16.3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>33:12</TD><TD class=matchupCells>43-108</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(2.5)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>15-25</TD><TD class=matchupCells>57.9%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>170</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(6.7)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>69-278</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(4.1)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(19)</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupCells>Opponents Offensive Avg.</TD><TD class=matchupCells>19.9</TD><TD class=matchupCells>7.9</TD><TD class=matchupCells>18.5</TD><TD class=matchupCells>34:31</TD><TD class=matchupCells>40-112</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(2.8)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>19-30</TD><TD class=matchupCells>64.4%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>223</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(7.6)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>70-335</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(4.8)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(16.8)</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupCells>Defense Road Games</TD><TD class=matchupCells>23</TD><TD class=matchupCells>16</TD><TD class=matchupCells>22</TD><TD class=matchupCells>36:25</TD><TD class=matchupCells>55-169</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(3.1)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>14-24</TD><TD class=matchupCells>58.3%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>154</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(6.4)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>79-323</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(4.1)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(14)</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
What I see in comparing these stats is an Iowa offense that has far underperformed ours while facing weaker competition. For example, in the running game they have averaged 5.5 yards per rush, but their opponents are also giving up 5.5 ypr. Our opponents are only allowing 3.8 ypr, which is exactly what we are gaining. Conversely, if you look at our rushing defense we are only allowing 2 ypr against teams that are averaging 4.5 ypr. Iowa is allowing 2.5 ypr to teams that average 2.8 ypr. If these trends continue, I'd look for Iowa to rush for anywhere between 70 and 90 yards on Saturday while we rush for somewhere close to 125 to 135.
FuckWill you people stop poluting this thread with stats...we are trying to drop F-Bombs here
Its the first time since Tressel has been here that we have won 2 non-conference games comfortably.
Thanks for the update xrayrandy junior. Perhaps you could analyze the historical statistics when Iowa plays in Columbus 2 weeks after Ohio State loses at home and 6 days after a full moon.
Blowout is probably a little overconfident. I see a win but also some turnovers from the offense to keep it closer, typical Tressel Ball. If the offense does not start to click in this game the next game at night in Penn State is something to really worry about.
See, that's the thing...we can stop the running game like nobody's business. However, Tate and the Hawkeyes killed us last year with quick, over the middle passes, three step drop style. Burnt out defense or not, that's how it happened. Vince Young was still able to put up 290 something passing yards on us because of those quick, short passes. Granted our DB's had to cheat up real close to the line to have a chance at stopping VY if he ran in the open field. Maybe the loss still leaves a bad taste in my mouth, but somehow I think Iowa has the right offense to match up with our D - like threading a needle through a kevlar vest.
that made me laugh... it reminds me of my old roomate who is a music teacher... every once in a while he has 'music appreciation day' and just makes the kids shut the fuck up while he listens to Phish and downloads some tunes off the net...Hopefully the language filter is up soon...you guys are making reading in a classroom tough.