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Florida 38, Arkansas 28 (final)

DSA

Differential Statistical Analysis for the Arkansas-Florida game:
Quick Explanation (skip if you're familiar with DSA):

DSA provides a pair of predictions for a game based on statistics. If the predictions were good for anything other than discussion, I wouldn't post them here, but would rather keep them a closely guarded secret and use them to make lots of money. In short, this is "For Entertainment Purposes Only".

The first step in DSA is to find each teams Differential Offense and Differential Defense. Differential Offense (Defense) is how well you do offensively compared to your opponents' average defense (offense). It is expressed as a percentage.

As an example, USC's Differential Total Defense (DTD) is 86%. This means that USC hold teams to 86% of their average Total Offense. By comparison, USC's Differential Scoring Defense (DSD) is 75%, indicating that they hold teams to 75% of their average Scoring Offense.

The second step of this two-step process is to multiply each team's average offense by the other team's differential defense; and to multiply each team's average defense by the other team's differential offense. This gives two sets of predictions for the game.


The Numbers

Arkansas Yards: 291 - 326
Florida Yards: 352 - 377

Arkansas Points: 14 - 17
Florida Points: 19 - 22

Note: All numbers, with the exception of 3rd down performance, were calculated after all games involving Div. IA and Div. IAA teams have been factored out for every Div. IA team.
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usatoday

Arkansas rullback Peyton Hillis to miss SEC title game vs. Florida


ATLANTA (AP) ? Arkansas fullback Peyton Hillis will miss the Southeastern Conference championship game Saturday night with a deep thigh bruise.

Hillis isn't a primary runner for Arkansas, but he is second on the team with 19 catches. He also returns punts and is a key blocker for tailbacks Darren McFadden and Felix Jones.

The No. 8 Razorbacks play No. 4 Florida for the SEC title.

"Peyton is not going to make the trip," Arkansas coach Houston Nutt said Friday. "We're going to keep him there, give him some treatment and try to get him ready for the bowl game. This has been a very severe injury, it's very deep, fibers that are knotted up and he just cannot get full range of motion."

Hillis hasn't played since a Nov. 11 win over Tennessee.
 
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si.com

Arkansas' flight to Georgia delayed

ATLANTA (AP) -- Weather delays pushed back the scheduled arrival of Arkansas in Atlanta Friday for Saturday's Southeastern Conference championship game against Florida.

The first major snowstorm of the season in the Midwest and the Plains pushed back incoming flights at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport.

The delays forced Arkansas to change its practice plans for Friday. Instead of its scheduled 3 p.m. practice, Arkansas will work out at the Georgia Dome following Florida's 4:30 p.m. practice.
 
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Starting soon on CBS.

The crowd sounds fired up - good atmosphere for this game. Quite a contrast to the ACC CCG.
 
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