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Coronavirus (COVID-19) is too exciting for adults to discuss (CLOSED)

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Jake said:
A little positivity from a microbiologist.

Coronavirus: Ten reasons why you ought not to panic
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A little more (anecdotal): PA cases reported up to 76. Only 3 require M-ICU.

Falls in line with what we are seeing elsewhere that the symptoms are mild enough for home care for most who get this. Need to start factoring that into the numbers being thrown around for curve flattening/swamping of the health care system.
 
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MililaniBuckeye said:
You're on, Dunce boy. Let's say the first case in the US appears Jan 15th. Lots of people are claiming "exponential growth". So let's go with a relatively low number of 25% increase daily. Now obviously the first day can't be exactly a 25% rate because you can't infect a quarter person, but the 25% is a rate steady throughout the time from Jan 15th until today (Mar 16th when I'm posting this).

The standard formula for exponential growth is: a x (1 + r)[sup]t[/sup]

So starting with one infected individual on Jan 15th and and a 25% daily increase for 60 days, you get 1 x (1.25)[sup]60[/sup] which comes out to 652,530. A daily increase of 20% gives you 56,347 which still meets the "tens of thousands" statement. Capiche?
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Interesting. First of all, that's not simple math. Second of all, you're asking me to assume your Jan 15th, 25%, and exponential growth formulas are accurate.....which, you're the guy who lost a sig bet and changed the font color to almost match the background color...so you'll forgive me for not taking your word on any of that. I did a quick google search to try and find the actual start date in the US, but came up with conflicting answers (though surprisingly to me, they were close to 1/15. I assumed Feb at the earliest for the US). I also did a search for the "standard formula for exponential growth", but could not find what you came up with. I can't imagine you'd just make that up, but if anybody would.....

I'll have to give it more time later. My main sticking points would be that forumula, and if 25% or 20% are realistic numbers.
 
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lvbuckeye said:
Let's starve Little Billy (the future) to death so Grandma Tilly (the past) can live two more years.

You fucking boomers are the most selfish generation in the history of the world.
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You're right. I apologize on behalf of my generation.

I now just want to get in the right line for Soylent Green so my bodily nutrients can benefit someone younger, and I'm no longer a drain on the nation's supply of toilet paper.
 
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MililaniBuckeye said:
You're on, Dunce boy. Let's say the first case in the US appears Jan 15th. Lots of people are claiming "exponential growth". So let's go with a relatively low number of 25% increase daily. Now obviously the first day can't be exactly a 25% rate because you can't infect a quarter person, but the 25% is a rate steady throughout the time from Jan 15th until today (Mar 16th when I'm posting this).

The standard formula for exponential growth is: a x (1 + r)[sup]t[/sup]

So starting with one infected individual on Jan 15th and and a 25% daily increase for 60 days, you get 1 x (1.25)[sup]60[/sup] which comes out to 652,530. A daily increase of 20% gives you 56,347 which still meets the "tens of thousands" statement. Capiche?
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Not to interject into this too much, but based on the doubling time for the number of cases I've seen reported of 6 days, I would use a formula more like 2^(x/6) where x is the number of days since patient 0. At 60 days, you'd wind up 1024. Assuming that formula is roughly correct, the U.S. looks to be about 2 weeks behind Italy in terms of number of cases. Unfortunately, with the delay in people showing symptoms and getting tested, it's really difficult to tell when all these extreme actions will start to show any slowing in the growth rate.
 
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Honor&Glory said:
is it possible that i think i may have had this in mid February? sudden extreme fatigue. mild fever. sore throat. dry cough. slept all day on Friday. fever broke. felt better by Sunday. daughter got sick on that Monday (President’s day). same symptoms. wife got it on Tuesday. all were find by that Friday. guess its possible. kinda too late now.
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Your family plasma could be the most important body fluids in all Ohio
 
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Taosman said:
The universe hates a vacuum.
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If you're using vaccuum as slang, I disagree.

BB73 said:
You're right. I apologize on behalf of my generation.

I now just want to get in the right line for Soylent Green so my bodily nutrients can benefit someone younger, and I'm no longer a drain on the nation's supply of toilet paper.
Click to expand...

I don't think he was referencing the post-Civil War boomers. Y'all are national treasures Silas.
 
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89792507_2720345824685701_4979472477529833472_n.jpg
 
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Stopped at Wal Mart this morning. Canned goods? Pasta? TP? Forget it. Hell, even the fucking Spam was sold out (although there were plenty of Vienna sausages left).

There were exactly two bottles of Equate acetaminophen left. I had none so I bought one bottle. Didn't think I really needed 400 of them so I left it for someone else.
 
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