sparcboxbuck
What happened to my ¤cash?
Well, I don’t think it’s a “whoops” per se, I think the problem is testing has been so sparse and uneven across regions, and the time to get a result is so highly variable. We have some of the best modelers in the world where I am, and even they have a hard time because of the variabilities in the available data. If it took, say, 48 hours to get a result, I think everything from reporting to modeling would be a million times better. Unfortunately, it takes anywhere from 8 hours to 14 days to get a result, and there is no centralized database to log and extract everything.
The lack of a centralized data source for everyone to contribute to would make this a nearly impossible ask. That, combined with the fact that providers are a) generally not trained for data collection and reporting of this nature and b) have a million other things to do like save lives really would have made it an impossible task.
Just looking over the gross count data we’re seeing, the information is uneven. The chain of reporting from providers to county and state agencies before it gets compiled is complicated by their primary responsibilities. I can’t really fault anyone here, but by the same token, the lack of that information is a major blind spot for the modelers.
Who knows, maybe some of the key hotspots have some smart folks who recognize the importance of the timing aspect of the data. Not to diminish the rest of the country, but seeing trends in NYC and Detroit based on well collected data could be what we need to really get the understanding we need to determine trajectory.
My friend who is the COO of an urgent care group has the Abbott machines that returns results in 5 minutes in their clinics. I wonder how much data those things are collecting. You’d have to hope that they included data capture in the systems, but who knows. I’ll ask him next time we talk.
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