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Coronavirus (COVID-19) is too exciting for adults to discuss (CLOSED)

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heisman said:
Convenient.

HIV/AIDS PANDEMIC (AT ITS PEAK, 2005-2012)
Death Toll: 36 million
Cause: HIV/AIDS
First identified in Democratic Republic of the Congo in 1976, HIV/AIDS has truly proven itself as a global pandemic, killing more than 36 million people since 1981. Currently there are between 31 and 35 million people living with HIV, the vast majority of those are in Sub-Saharan Africa, where 5% of the population is infected, roughly 21 million people. As awareness has grown, new treatments have been developed that make HIV far more manageable, and many of those infected go on to lead productive lives. Between 2005 and 2012 the annual global deaths from HIV/AIDS dropped from 2.2 million to 1.6 million.

https://www.mphonline.org/worst-pandemics-in-history/
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I don't understand what the point to this info is. HIV/AIDs is terrible, but COVID19 spreads much easier and quicker, leading to the type of exponential growth in death and sickness seen in BN27's graph.

buckeyebri said:
The way I read, I’m guessing that a majority of people are going to get it somewhere along the line. We’re still 15 months from a vaccine based on normal vaccination development and testing. As you say we’re not economically going to survive that. Other issues will drive what happens before that point.
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It's going to be a matter of gradual social re-engagement combined with very aggressive observation of city's and state's levels of infected. There are going to have to be more containments, but ideally you only do it for certain cities or portions of states before it spreads. This way you don't have to do some sort of national shut down again.
 
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A Corona Quarantine Diary

My Self-Isolation Quarantine Diary:

Day 1 – I Can Do This!! Got enough food and wine to last a month!
Day 2 – Opening my 8th bottle of Wine. I fear wine supplies might not last.
Day 3 – Strawberries: Some have 210 seeds, some have 235 seeds. Who Knew??
Day 4– 8:00pm. Removed my Day Pajamas and put on my Night Pajamas.
Day 5–Today, I tried to make Hand Sanitizer. It came out as Jello Shots!!
Day 6–I get to take the Garbage out. I’m So Excited, I can’t decide what to wear.
Day 7–Laughing too much @ my own jokes!!
Day 8 – Went to a new restaurant called “The Kitchen”. You have to gather all the ingredients and make your own meal. I have NO clue how this place is still in business.
Day 9 – I put liquor bottles in every room. Tonight, I’m getting all dressed up and going Bar hopping.
Day 10 – Struck up a conversation with a Spider today. Seems nice. He’s a Web Designer.
Day 11 – Isolation is hard. I swear my fridge just said, “What the hell do you want now?”
Day 12 – I realized why dogs get so excited about something moving outside, going for walks or car rides. I think I just barked at a squirrel.
Day 13 – If you keep a glass of wine in each hand, you can’t accidentally touch your face.
Day 14 – Watched the birds fight over a worm. The Cardinals led the Blue Jays 3–1.
Day 15 – Anybody else feel like they’ve cooked dinner about 395 times this month?
 
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1926Buckeyes said:
I don't understand what the point to this info is. HIV/AIDs is terrible, but COVID19 spreads much easier and quicker, leading to the type of exponential growth in death and sickness seen in BN27's graph.
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You couldn't be more wrong. It was a chart depicting death from recent pandemics, yet it excluded the biggest one of our lives. Scroll down to health, and understand the madness concerning the AIDS epidemic. Don't forget, it's 40+ YEARS after origination and it's still wiping us out!

https://www.worldometers.info/
 
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heisman said:
You couldn't be more wrong. It was a chart depicting death from recent pandemics, yet is excluded the biggest one of our lives. Scroll down to health, and understand the madness concerning the AIDS epidemic. Don't forget, it's 40+ YEARS after origination and it's still wiping us out!

https://www.worldometers.info/
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It was a chart depicting the insane growth in death that happened in the first 100 days. How many people died from HIV in the first 100 days after the initial death? That's the only comparison here.
 
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Oh8ch said:
Somebody tell me I am reading this wrong - because that is scary as shit.
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Very deceiving for a couple reasons... cholera was basically only in Haiti in one of those times... wonder what they used for H1N1 deaths cuz the figure is all over the board from 150,000 to 500,000 dead; but.. no doubt... this one is a killer... black males are extremely at risk
 
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NJ-Buckeye said:
Very deceiving for a couple reasons... cholera was basically only in Haiti in one of those times... wonder what they used for H1N1 deaths cuz the figure is all over the board from 150,000 to 500,000 dead; but.. no doubt... this one is a killer... black males are extremely at risk
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The answer for H1N1 may be that this chart is only for the first 100 days. God only knows what the final tally might be for COVID.
 
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1926Buckeyes said:
???

It takes 27 days to reach 100 deaths (.27 deaths per day).

52 more to reach 10,000 (190 deaths per day).

14 more to reach 50,000 (~2800 deaths per day).

7 more to reach 88,500 (5500 deaths per day).

What do you call that?
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From Day 1 to Day 27: 100 total deaths (assuming Day 1 had one death, that's a 100-fold increase in 27 days)

From Day 27 to Day 79: 10,000 total deaths (another 100-fold increase in almost double the amount of time (52 vice 27 days)

From Day 79 to Day 93: 50,000 total deaths (a four-fold increase in 14 days)

From Day 93 to Day 100: 88,500 total deaths (a 77% increase in one week)

Now, if the next 7-day period form Day 100 to Day 107 stays at a 77% increase rate, total deaths would rise to around 156,600. That sounds "exponential" but in reality it's not even close. Exponential would imply something like doubling every day or every other day.
 
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MililaniBuckeye said:
From Day 1 to Day 27: 100 total deaths (assuming Day 1 had one death, that's a 100-fold increase in 27 days)

From Day 27 to Day 79: 10,000 total deaths (another 100-fold increase in almost double the amount of time (52 vice 27 days)

From Day 79 to Day 93: 50,000 total deaths (a four-fold increase in 14 days)

From Day 93 to Day 100: 88,500 total deaths (a 77% increase in one week)

Now, if the next 7-day period form Day 100 to Day 107 stays at a 77% increase rate, total deaths would rise to around 156,600. That sounds "exponential" but in reality it's not even close. Exponential would imply something like doubling every day or every other day.
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ex·po·nen·tial
/ˌekspəˈnen(t)SH(ə)l/

1. (of an increase) becoming more and more rapid
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In its fundamental sense exponential simply implies a line that curves upwards above a straight line.

From day 27 to 79 folks were dying at a rate of 192 per day
From day 79 to 93 at a rate of 3,571 per day
From day 93 to 100 at a rate of 12,642 per day

That is a pretty nasty curve. Even if it isn't "doubling" every "x" number of days I think you can see that if it continues we have a significant problem on our hands.

Put another way, if that line continues to curve as indicated it is only a matter of time before everybody is dead.
 
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