t_BuckeyeScott
Hall of Fame
I think its highly unlikely that OSU and UC meat in a Bowl because of the selection process.A Rose Bowl would be possible, if Cal made it to the BCS Title game. But the Rose would get one of the first two replacement picks, and although they may bypass a 2-loss USC to avoid a tOSU-USC rematch, Cincinnati would be an unlikely choice (unless they were undefeated and BCS #3 or #4). So if tOSU and Cincinnati both ran the table, there's a chance they could meet in Pasadena.
An Orange Bowl matchup is possible if Miami goes to the BCS Title game, and the Orange Bowl gets a replacement pick (they are tied to the ACC Champ unless that team is BCS #1/#2). But it's doubtful they would take a 2-loss tOSU (a 1-loss tOSU would be in the Rose Bowl, possibly the BCS Title game if chaos reigns). The Orange Bowl would love to host tOSU, since it's been over 30 years since the Buckeyes have been there, and they get first choice this year (after the #1 and #2 teams are put into the Title game and the bowls that 'lose' those teams get replacement picks.
I do think you're wrong in the situation that OSU is a 2 loss non Big 10 winner ( I actually doubt this happens but for this purpose I'll pretend that OSU doesn't beat PSU in Happy Valley).
First lets make some assumptions
Let's rule out Ntre Ame because Charlie will find a way to get himself fired without Floyd to catch jumpballs for him.
Let's Go ahead and put #1 Florida And #2 Miami in the National Title Game.
Then we assume that USC and PSU are in the Rose Bowl. UT/OU automatically to the Fiesta Bowl.
The Sugar Bowl with the first selection needing to replace Florida probably takes whichever is the highest ranked SEC team (Alabama, Ole Miss, LSU, UGA). The Orange Bowl gets to replace Miami and then gets the next selection and unlike the Rose and to some extent the Sugar the Orange would love to get out of having an ACC team that doesn't travel well.
I think the first one is obvious. The Orange bowl takes the other Big 12 team.
That leaves the following possibilities: Big East Champ UC, Non AQ (Boise St, TCU, etc...), 2 Loss OSU, ACC Team (FSU, Va Tech, BC, etc...) Follow the money. The money says the easy 2nd choice is OSU. Does that mean OSU plays UC? No. But the Orange would take OSU over UC in a heart beat. That gives the orange something like OU vs OSU. Now there talking. The Orange Bowl could care less that OSU has the last 6 big games and last 3 BCS bowl games. UC probably plays the 2nd SEC team the Sugar in this scenario and the Fiesta gets the mid major.
I think the Fiesta gets the mid major regardless because they get the last pick.
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