Game Thread Ball State at tOSU, Sat. Sept. 5th, 12:30 ET BTN

[Jaxbuck]

Ball State from their preseason outlook looks like a pretty bad MAC team.

Their QB is either going to be a guy who only completed 56% of his passes in D2 last year or a guy who has only throw 12 passes (4/12) across 3 seasons between SMU and Texas State and their oline is horrible (gave up the 2nd most sacks per game last season)

Our D should feast easily here.

Defensively they are replacing their top 8 tacklers from a meh MAC defense with a bunch of lower-level transfers. Can't see them being able to stop us much.

We could very well be up like 42-0 at the half. A cover probably depends on how much Day is willing to let the backups actually play.

The cover is really a bet on Ball State scoring or not as I see it.
-50.5
56.5

Right? The bet is does OSU kick a FG or score that 8th TD/does Ball State find a way to score a TD.

Looking at it probabilistically and not trying to predict exact outcomes I'd say the odds are a lot better that OSU can score 8 or more than they are that Ball State scores 1.

 

[buckeyemania11]

The cover is really a bet on Ball State scoring or not as I see it.
-50.5
56.5

Right? The bet is does OSU kick a FG or score that 8th TD/does Ball State find a way to score a TD.

Looking at it probabilistically and not trying to predict exact outcomes I'd say the odds are a lot better that OSU can score 8 or more than they are that Ball State scores 1.

I do mostly agree with this. The problem is you just never know what's going to happen when hyopthetically the deep bench is in later in the 4th quarter of a 56-0 type game though. That's where Ball State might be able to pick up a cheap TD to beat the spread.

 

[Jaxbuck]

I do mostly agree with this. The problem is you just never know what's going to happen when hyopthetically the deep bench is in later in the 4th quarter of a 56-0 type game though. That's where Ball State might be able to pick up a cheap TD to beat the spread.

That's why they call it gambling

 

[RB07OSU]

Ball State from their preseason outlook looks like a pretty bad MAC team.

Their QB is either going to be a guy who only completed 56% of his passes in D2 last year or a guy who has only throw 12 passes (4/12) across 3 seasons between SMU and Texas State and their oline is horrible (gave up the 2nd most sacks per game last season)

Our D should feast easily here.

Defensively they are replacing their top 8 tacklers from a meh MAC defense with a bunch of lower-level transfers. Can't see them being able to stop us much.

We could very well be up like 42-0 at the half. A cover probably depends on how much Day is willing to let the backups actually play.

What I'm hearing is a perfect tune up game and film to determine who rolls the most against Texas. It's almost like we planned it that way.