MililaniBuckeye;1370497; said:
Too many folks (myself included) attempt to use the transitive property when ranking teams, when we all know it doesn't work. Before the Rose Bowl, if you had used "Penn State destroyed Oregon State, and Oregon State beat USC, so Penn State will handle USC easily" as your reasoning for picking a Penn State upset, folks would've laughed you off the board. Yet, people will continue to use the transitive property when racking and stacking teams. Now, the "USC dominated Ohio State, and Penn State was lucky to edge Ohio State, so USC should win easily against Penn State" logic would've worked, but transitive property analysis is simply unsound.
We need a playoff and doesn't be surprised to see it in a full form within the next decade (by 2020).
I disagree with the conclusion that we need a playoff, though I do agree that it is inevitable. But, what I really wanted to say was this -
Part of the reason I came up with my own ranking system at the end of this season (See final ranks
here) was to address a need for a system of how to rank teams, rather than several disjointed opinions from various people and machines. Now, that said, my rankings aren't intended to be the final say, and people with better knowledge on stats and etc. could certainly come up with a better system....
None the less... I think the "system" should judge how a team does against whoever it plays. Stats matter (how much, I can't say). If USC beats the crap out of Ball State - as they should - they shouldn't just get a penalty for playing ball state. Essentially, it should be a wash in some sense - if they do what they
should do to Ball State, for example. Not just margin of victory. That's what I like about the system I put together. It factors in so many categories, that I think it gives a reasonable look at who did what against whom.
A playoff won't establish who's the "best" in the land (which is what a poll is supposed to be finding) All it will do is say team X was the "hottest" of this pool of other "worthy" opponents. I guess. I mean, it's match ups too.. Suppose Ohio State gets to play and beats Virginia Tech... USC gets to play, and loses to Texas. How does that settle anything? Maybe USC would have beat Va Tech.
I don't know... just sayin