2025 College Football Playoffs Discussion (12 Team Format)

[Gizmo]

More reasonable than BYU upsetting TT, is Duke upsetting UVA.

That would very likely put JMU in to go with the AAC winner (Tulane/UNT). Assuming chalk holds everywhere else, that is the scenario that knocks ND and the ACC out.

(I think)

Nope, it's either JMU (or whomever) or Virginia. That spot has nothing to do with ND/BYU who get that other spot. Top 5 conference champs guaranteed, so it's Either Virginia from the ACC with 1 G5, or just 2 G5. If chalk holds elsewhere, BYU is out and ND is in, unless they actually drop Bama with a loss, in which case Miami might sneak in.