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2025-2026 Ohio State Men's Basketball

Where the Ohio State basketball team will be seeded in the NCAA Tournament​

Coming into the game against TTUN, Joe Lunardi of ESPN has the Buckeyes as an eight-seed. Losing to the number-one seed in the Big Ten shouldn't hurt their seeding much, especially by falling by so few points. They will likely sit around that eight or nine-seed line.

Even though Ohio State lost, this game showed that they can compete with anyone in the country. They also had to play this game without Taison Chatman, who was injured in the Iowa game. Brandon Noel also played his first game in two months, so that gives them another player to put in the rotation if they want.
 
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Looking at the stats, it seems that whether Juni and Tilly have a good game offensively generally determines whether OSU wins or loses.

Games this season where Juni's offensive rating is 100+, OSU has gone 17-4.
Games where Juni's offensive rating is below 100, OSU has gone 3-6, and two of the wins were narrow Ws vs. ND & @ Northwestern.
He was out 3 games where OSU went 1-2.

When Tilly has an offensive rating of 100+, OSU is 18-6.
Games where Tilly's offensive rating was below 100, OSU has gone 2-5, and the 2 wins were narrow @ Northwestern & vs. WVU.
He was out 2 games where OSU went 1-1.
 
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Thought that tOSU played very well against Xichigan. Had we made some of our usual points around the basket, Thorton and Devin, then might have prevailed. Credit the skunkbears 7'3" center for being intimidating. Especially proud of the 'never quit' motto. Refreshing to see Noel get some minutes, but didn't see enough to tell whether he's 'game ready' or not. Also, the 'bench points' stat is a bit misleading when Diebs is using a short bench. Anyone else wondering if Cupps is holding back on shooting? Keep thinking he's holding back, so when comes to crunch time, he's baiting opponents to lay off him, and then he'll pop the game winner. Probably just a fantasy....
 
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One thing about OSU's season that's probably vastly overlooked is the Buckeyes played Notre Dame when the Irish had their leading scorer, Burton. He was injured just 10 games into the season and they were without him the remainder of the season. They were 7-3 with Burton playing, and have won just 6 games since his injury (with a shocking home loss to IPFW). Beating Notre Dame with Burton was actually a solid win for the Buckeyes, it just didn't hold up due to their best player getting injured December 5th.
 
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Here's the thing though - that's NEVER been Ohio State historically, until Thad Matta that is. Thad Matta looks evermore like a complete unicorn in this program's history and since we're past 20 years since he was hired, and nearly 10 years since he was let go, the landscape of college basketball has changed entirely but Ohio State is still playing it like it's 2005.

To go full sports dork on you, I assigned a numerical value to every tournament appearance (25 out of 48 seasons if you were wondering and if you count O'Brien's 4 tournament years) from 1978-79 onward. This year was picked as it was the year of the Magic/Bird rivalry and the beginning of the modern era of College Basketball. The tournament expanded in 1985.

Anyway - of those 25 appearances, Matta REALLY stands out as the unicorn I keep saying he was with 9 of the 25 total appearances...I assigned each tournament result a number, from 7 (which is playing in the national final) to 1, which would be playing in but losing a play-in game, which hasn't happened yet. Here are the results:

Eldon Miller - 13
Gary Williams - 3
Randy Ayers - 12
Jim O'Brien - 14
Thad Matta - 40
Chris Holtmann - 11

It was an absolute stroke of luck (or genius) to hire Matta with the sanctions and whatnot that were ongoing at the time. As it is, he's the ONLY coach to elevate this program past its historical mean and he basically got run out of town. Without the Matta era, this program is moribund.

It's not that it can't happen - it's been proven it CAN. Should is another matter entirely. "Should" is earned, not a given. As far as that goes, there isn't a quick fix here - and anyone pretending that a new coach is going to magically fix everything is delusional.

It's going to take time, much increased NIL, a better or at least updated game atmosphere and a bigger national recruiting effort (international as well). All of it is going to take a much more aggressive focus from the AD to get it done.

Let us also remember that at Ohio State, if they are making money, the dog won't bark too loudly. That's just reality. Football is making money for the ENTIRE AD.

FWIW I don't think Diebler gets fired unless they somehow lose the rest of their games this year. I think they give him the 2nd full year (this is the 2nd full year) before putting on the pressure to win now in year 3. That said, if they DO pull the trigger, they cannot miss on the next hire and they absolutely must have a contingency plan (i.e. NOT what Ped State did when they fired Franklin)....and if they DO miss and that coach gets canned in 2 or 3 seasons, that rep of being a coaching graveyard at a football-focused school becomes harder to beat.
Deibler - 2 (at least)

I plan to keep this going as long as BP exists, FWIW.
 
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10 games left...6 wins to get to 20 on the season.

Wins I see: Maryland, USC, Iowa, Ped State

Toss-ups: Virginia, Indiana, Wisconsin

Unlikely to win: TCUN, Purdue

Not winning: @Sparty

I think if they can get to 20 wins against what they have left, and maybe win a game or two in the Big Ten tournament, they get in. We'll see - they could easily blow any of the 4 games they "should" win at the top too...
So....

They won the games they needed to win against Ped state, Maryland and Indiana. They beat Wisconsin's ass and upset Purdue. It sucks they couldnt have pulled out the Virginia or Sparty games. All in all, they did what was needed.
 
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So....

They won the games they needed to win against Ped state, Maryland and Indiana. They beat Wisconsin's ass and upset Purdue. It sucks they couldnt have pulled out the Virginia or Sparty games. All in all, they did what was needed.
true.....it's remarkable that so many, me included.....me especially.....left this team and the Diebler Program for deal in early late January/early February. I'm so happy to be wrong and proud that an Ohio boy can make it here. At least for another couple seasons until he makes some noise in the B1G and the NCAA, then he'll have a longer leash.

It's such a shame this team was a mess when it lost to Pitt and Nebraska and it was injury plagued when it lost to Michigan State and Virginia.
 
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true.....it's remarkable that so many, me included.....me especially.....left this team and the Diebler Program for deal in early late January/early February. I'm so happy to be wrong and proud that an Ohio boy can make it here. At least for another couple seasons until he makes some noise in the B1G and the NCAA, then he'll have a longer leash.

It's such a shame this team was a mess when it lost to Pitt and Nebraska and it was injury plagued when it lost to Michigan State and Virginia.
Part of personal growth is ownership of our deficiencies. Myself included, this year has been trying on most, if not all, of us. The apathy in years past is going to take a minute to cut out completely. I'm hoping we're taking the right steps, and I for one, have found some unexpected optimism!
 
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