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osu is 16-8 (6-7). think 19-12 (9-11) guarantees a tournament berth, while 18-13 (8-12) leaves us barely on the good side of the bubble. to guarantee that berth, we'll need a remaining regular-season record of 3-4.
versus purdue
at iowa
versus maryland
at nebraska
versus ttun
versus illinois
at michigan state
i don't feel particularly confident about any of those games, but i do think there are 3 wins. to get to 3, purdue is obviously not a necessity, but it is among the most winnable games. think i'm bunching purdue, nebraska, and ttun together. illinois, too, if ayo is a no-go. already chalking up iowa, maryland, and msu as losses.
if osu gets 4 more wins (20-11 and 10-10) in the regular season, i'll be extremely happy. that would be a strong close no matter whom we beat.