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2017 College Football Playoffs (and Other Bowl Games)

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Drubuck said:
The argument there would be that Ohio State didn't play in their CCG so didn't have the extra game and got in last year. So why should ND be punished when Ohio State wasn't? Let these last few weeks unfold as there are bound to be upsets and parody enough to keep us guessing. Right now I say 40% chance at making playoff. Win the BIG and see what happens.
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The answer to your argument is that Penn State had two losses while OSU only had one. That won't be the case should the comparison between ND and OSU come up.
 
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For tOSU everyone is talking about the bad loss in Iowa City. If the Bucks win out, and Ped State wins out, that would allow tOSU to have wins over 2 top 10 teams in the final ratings (Ped State and Wisky). Those 2 wins will be what makes the difference over any other 2 loss team.
 
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bukIpower said:
Very true.. I'll be interested to see where they put us in relation to ND. If we come in at 8 I like our chances provided we win out

If we come in around 10 then yeah probably not.

Not sure how we don't jump up to 7-8 though with 3 teams losing ahead of us.
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I actually think they'll be around 10 and still have a path. Half the teams they'll have to jump over will be done by way of the Wisconsin game alone. The other 2-3 teams will have to be by them shooting themselves in the foot/committee choosing osu over them. Not likely but not impossible
 
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Thump said:
We're not making it and not good enough to win it unfortunately.
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To the later-I certainly lean that way but would be more more optimistic than in '14-'-15 going in. To the latter-you have to look at it from afar...we are less than likely, but still reasonably in the game, and if we win out the majority of scenarios result in us being in the playoff.

In '07-'08 there would have been 3 two-loss teams in a playoff under the current set up...this shouldn't be a far-fetched result.
 
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Looking at the early lines on some of the top 10 games next week

We might be takeing a week off from chaos

woof

using AP top 25 for reference;
  1. Bama vs Mercer
  2. Miami -19 vs UVA
  3. Oklahoma -35 at Kansas
  4. Clemson vs The Citadel
  5. Wisconsin -8 vs scUM
  6. Auburn -35.5 vs Louisiana-Monroe
  7. UGA -21.5 vs Kentucky
  8. OSU -38.5 vs Illinois
  9. Notre Dame -17.5 vs Navy
  10. Okie State -17.5 vs Kansas State
Confederate States of America schools are observing the third Saturday in November sabbath

everyone else is huge favorites at home vs the dregs of their conference

The mildly cantankerous Irish have a service academy

Two games in the PAC12 that it wouldn't hurt to see some chaos in are also double digit home jobs
USC -15.5 vs UCLA
Washington -17 vs Utah

Stranger things have happened but it doesn't look good for upsets (that we want).
 
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Eh the pounding by Iowa is probably too much to overcome.

Beat Illinois and scUM (hopefully both convincingly)

Then Wisconsin needs to be undefeated in the B1G title game and we would need to win convincingly along with having a few other things going our way in other games to have any chance.
 
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