Not poll based but somehow I bet every year the 1,2,3 and either 4 or 5 makes it in. The only way to fix it is not have polls which would be amazing.
I don't know about that. There will be a year where one of the top 4 in the polls has 2 losses and there will be several one loss teams behind them.
Losing early is always better than losing late. If you lose early you can regain your position as everyone else loses.
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