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Troy's trophy
Will Ohio State QB win award by largest margin ever?
Troy's trophy
Will Ohio State QB win award by largest margin ever?
Troy Smith already took home the Davey O'Brien National Quarterback Award.
In a year in which he made throwing touchdown passes and winning football games look unusually easy, it's only fitting Ohio State quarterback Troy Smith will cruise to the 2006 Heisman Trophy in what has been the least competitive Heisman race in recent history.
The biggest cause for intrigue Saturday night at the Nokia Theater in Times Square will be whether the Cleveland native achieves the most lopsided victory in the award's 72-year history.
As of Thursday, the Web site StiffArmTrophy.com, which has projected the Heisman voting totals with incredible accuracy the past four years, had solicited ballots from 111 actual voters. All but five gave their first-place vote to Smith. If that trend were to hold up over 892 ballots (the amount received last year), he would finish with 95.5 percent of the first-place votes, shattering Reggie Bush's record of 84.9 percent just last year.
But here's the most amazing part: Smith could actually come within striking distance of O.J. Simpson's 1968 records for first-place votes (855) and margin between first and second (1,750 points) despite the fact there were nearly 300 more registered voters then (1,200) than there are now (924).
All this may come as a bit puzzling to some fans who, while acknowledging Smith's achievements this season, don't necessarily feel he's had one of the greatest seasons of all time, either. I don't necessarily disagree. The lopsided nature of his victory probably says more about the quality of the rest of the field (which took a severe hit when potential candidates Adrian Peterson and Michael Bush went down with season-ending injuries) than it does about Smith. But even if another legitimate candidate had emerged, I find it hard to believe he would have toppled the Ohio State quarterback, who did everything you could have asked him this season -- literally.
Statistically, Smith's pre-bowl numbers (67 percent completions, 2,507 yards, 30 touchdowns, five interceptions) were extremely similar to those of the last winning quarterback, USC's Matt Leinart in 2004 (67 percent, 2,990 yards, 28 TDs and 6 INTs), but stats aren't what won him this award. Since the start of this decade, the Heisman has become almost exclusively the domain of players whose team played for the national championship (the lone exception: USC's Carson Palmer in 2002). As the quarterback of the nation's No. 1 team from start to finish who entered the season at or near the top of most Heisman watch lists, it would have been nearly impossible for anyone to dethrone him.
Every Heisman voter has his own set of criteria that he holds important. For me, the No. 1 point of emphasis is how a guy performs in big games -- and Smith has proven himself over the course of his career to be an unflappable big-game player. Against No. 2 Texas on Sept. 9, he threw for 219 yards and two touchdowns in the first half alone, including a 29-yarder to Ted Ginn Jr. to give his team the lead just before the half. Against then-No. 13 Iowa on Sept. 30, he torched the Hawkeyes for four touchdowns to deliver a 38-17 rout. And in the Game of the Year against Michigan, the nation watched as he torched the Wolverines' previously impregnable defense for 316 yards and four TDs.
About the only thing missing from those performances was a signature moment -- but I wouldn't hold it against him, either. The fact is, OSU was so dominant this season that its leader was never required to, say, throw a game-winning touchdown with two minutes left or rack up 500 yards just to survive. Smith's season felt more like one long, sustained highlight reel -- kind of like this one.
My 2006 Heisman ballot
1) Troy Smith, QB, Ohio State
2) Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas
Had he not gotten shut down and/or hurt in the SEC championship game, I think you would have seen the Razorbacks sophomore receive quite a few more first-place votes. But even with injury-limited showings in his first (USC) and last (Florida) games, he still squeezed in more than his share of huge performances against big-time foes.
Against then-No. 2 Auburn on Oct. 7, his 63-yard second-quarter touchdown run put his team up 17-7 en route to an eventual 28-10 upset. Against Tennessee on Nov. 11, he ran for 181 yards and two touchdowns, the most yards the Vols had allowed an opposing rusher in more than three years. And in one of the greatest individual performance this season, on Nov. 25 against LSU, McFadden ran for 182 yards and two touchdowns (including an 80-yard fourth-quarter dash) and completed two pass attempts for 33 yards. In addition to his rushing heroics (1,558 yards, 14 TDs), he threw three touchdowns out of Arkansas' "Wildcat" formation.
3) Ian Johnson, RB, Boise State
The powerful sophomore announced his emergence on the scene in a Thursday night game the second week of the season, rushing for 240 yards, catching a 21-yard pass and scoring five touchdowns in a 42-14 rout of Oregon State. Ponder those numbers for a second, and remember, this was the same Beavers team that went on to beat USC and finish 9-4. Incredible.
And as you know, all Johnson did from there was lead his team to an undefeated season and Fiesta Bowl berth, rushing for at least 89 yards in every game he played and going over the 100-yard mark eight times, including a 147-yard, three-TD performance in the Broncos' BCS-clinching finale at Nevada. For the season, he led all runners nationally with 24 touchdowns (the next closest: Ray Rice with19) and finished second in yards per game (146.6). His 1,613 total yards was good for fourth, despite the fact he played in one less game than his competitors (a partially collapsed left lung caused him to miss the game versus Utah State).
Three who barely missed the cut
Brady Quinn, QB, Notre Dame: Statistically, the Irish star had another fine season, but like I said earlier, my single biggest criteria is performance in big games, and Quinn mostly struggled in his two biggest of the season (at Michigan and at USC) before tacking on yards and touchdowns in garbage time.
Colt Brennan, QB, Hawaii: His numbers are absolutely off the charts (4,990 yards, 53 TDs) and I had him ahead of Johnson for the third spot until his final game against Oregon State. Unfortunately for guys like Brennan, they don't get as many chances to shine as a Smith or McFadden, and in his lone televised game of the season, Brennan threw two costly picks.
Steve Slaton, RB, West Virginia: Slaton was the most impressive athlete I saw in person all season. His Thursday night shows against Maryland (195 yards) and Pittsburgh (215) were incredible. For most of the year, I assumed he'd wind up on my ballot. Those two fumbles against Louisville and an awful performance in the loss to USF ultimately doomed him.
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