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10-2 and a BCS win still possible

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Well lets look at the situation

5 guaranteed BCS births to the conference champions of the SEC,B10,B12,PAC-10, and Big Least. We will not win our conference. If we tie with PSU they get the breaker.

ACC VT and FSU have 0 Losses ...both will have no more than 2 losses...same goes with Miami.

SEC Bama and Georgia are undefeated. Both will not have more than 2 losses. LSU will probably end up with 2 losses.

Texas and USC will be in BCS games

UCLA is undefeated at this point. They will not have more than 2 losses.

If Cal can upset USC they will only have 1 loss...if they lose to USC they will end up with 2.

ND is a media darling and will only have 1 more loss...2 total.

I don't see us making it. We need a hell of alot of help. The Big Least automatic bid might screw us.
 
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All we can do is win out and see. This is NOT a terrible season, especially if we do that...a terrible season is having all 11 defensive starters back and playing like Purdon't has played...we lost a couple of tough, tough ball games, and if we win the rest, we will get the respect we deserve for it. There is no reason to believe that an at-large BCS bid won't have 2 losses...and we should be at the top of that list.
 
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Bucklion said:
All we can do is win out and see. This is NOT a terrible season, especially if we do that...a terrible season is having all 11 defensive starters back and playing like Purdon't has played...we lost a couple of tough, tough ball games, and if we win the rest, we will get the respect we deserve for it. There is no reason to believe that an at-large BCS bid won't have 2 losses...and we should be at the top of that list.
Click to expand...

damn good post man..lets just cross our fingers, cheer our hearts out, and hope that we get a big bowl game...

just remember we did go 8-4 last season, so 9-3 is still an improvement
 
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2002UNC said:
5 guaranteed BCS births to the conference champions of the SEC,B10,B12,PAC-10, and Big Least. We will not win our conference. If we tie with PSU they get the breaker.
Click to expand...

I know you mention the ACC next, but this should of course say 6 auto-bids, including the ACC. But I agree with other posters that there's a lot of football still to be played, and it's way to early to make such flat assumptions about how it will all play out.
 
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And I for one will be bold and go on the record right now...understanding the talent down there, I say we have the capability to beat any team in the SEC or ACC, and also Notre Dame, any team in the Big 12 (we had Texas on the ropes), and anyone on our 2-deep in any combination could beat anyone in the Big East. Now, is that a guarantee we win any and all of those? No, of course not, and obviously Texas made the clutch play when they needed it, and we didn't. But make no mistake, we have the capability to beat anyone in there...and not many teams can say that, so if they're looking for a team that will be competitive no matter WHO the other team is, we qualify (assuming we are 9-2 at the time).
 
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Sure we need help, but you are painting a fairly perfect picture for other teams. 2002UNC, you are declaring that all of these teams will not lose more than 2 games, some for reasons that escape me (these are not the FSU & Miami teams of old). Some of the games I'm listing aren't big threats, but teams that could make things interesting.

ACC:
FSU plays @ Virginia, Maryland, NC State, Florida.
Miami (1 loss) plays GTech, NC, @ VT, @ WF, Virginia.
VT plays @ Maryland, BC, Miami, @ Virginia, NC.
-plus a championship game loss possibility

My predictions:
FSU loses CCG to VT, 9-2. Could easily be 8-3 tho.
Miami finishes 8-3.
VTech emerges undefeated, gets snubbed by USC vs. Texas.

SEC:
Bama plays Tennessee, @ Auburn
Georgia plays @UF, Auburn, @ GTech
-plus a CCG loss possibility

My predictions:
Bama loses to Tennessee (no prothro). Finishes 9-2 after CCG.
Georgia loses to UF. Georgia beats bama in CCG.

Pac10:
UCLA plays Oregon St, @ Arizona, @ USC
Cal plays Oregon St, @ Oregon, USC

My prediction:
UCLA loses to USC and goes 10-1. I can see them losing to arizona.
Cal loses @ Oregon and USC. Finishes 9-2.

ND (4-1) plays USC, Tennessee
My prediction:
ND drops both. no bias here

Final poll:
1. USC undefeated
2. Texas undefeated
3. VTech undefeated
4. Georgia 11-1
5. UCLA 10-1
6. Penn St 9-2
7. Alabama 9-2
8. Ohio State 10-2
9. Florida State 9-2
10. Louisville 10-1
11. Tennessee 9-2
12. California 9-2
13. West Virginia 9-2

I'm sure I overlooked something doing all of that. If you don't believe we can get back in it, then believe CFBNews and their bowl picks.

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January 2, 2006, at 4:30 p.m. ET ABC
Sun Devil Stadium: 73,471
BCS vs. BCS
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arial, sans serif][/FONT][SIZE=-1][/SIZE][FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][/FONT][SIZE=-1][/SIZE][FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][/FONT][SIZE=-1][/SIZE][FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][/FONT][SIZE=-1][/SIZE][FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][/FONT][SIZE=-1][/SIZE][FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][/FONT][SIZE=-1][/SIZE][FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][/FONT][SIZE=-1][/SIZE][FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][/FONT][SIZE=-1][/SIZE][FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][/FONT][SIZE=-1][/SIZE][FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][/FONT][SIZE=-1][/SIZE][FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][/FONT][SIZE=-1][/SIZE][FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][/FONT][SIZE=-1][/SIZE][FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][/FONT][SIZE=-1][/SIZE][FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][/FONT][SIZE=-1][/SIZE][FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][/FONT][SIZE=-1][/SIZE][FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][/FONT][SIZE=-1][/SIZE][FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][/FONT][SIZE=-1][/SIZE]also considered: Virginia Tech, Miami, Louisville, Florida State, Georgia

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January 2, 2006, at 8:30 p.m. ET ABC
BCS (SEC Champion if not in national title) vs. BCS
 CFN Projection: LSU vs. Florida State[SIZE=-1]
[/SIZE][FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][SIZE=-1] also considered: Auburn, Georgia, Florida, Alabama, Notre Dame, Louisville
 FEDEX ORANGE BOWL - Miami, Florida
January 3, 2006, at 8 p.m. ET ABC
Pro Player Stadium 72,230
BCS vs. BCS
[/SIZE][/FONT] CFN Projection: [FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif] Miami vs.[/FONT] Louisville[FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][SIZE=-1]
 also considered: Florida State, Virginia Tech[/SIZE][/FONT]
[FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][SIZE=-1] [/SIZE][/FONT] [FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][SIZE=-1] ROSE BOWL - Pasadena, California
January 4, 2006, at 8 p.m. ET ABC
Rose Bowl: 89,063
BCS No. 1 vs. BCS No. 2
[/SIZE][/FONT] CFN Projection: [FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif] USC vs.[/FONT] Texas
[FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=verdana, arial, sans serif][SIZE=-1] also considered: Alabama, Florida State, Georgia, Penn State, Virginia Tech[/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT]
 
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We can tie for the conference at best. My point is that the BCS will select PSU OVER US BECAUSE #1 THEY DON'T HAVE AN OOC LOSS AND THEY BEAT US HEAD TO HEAD. They may lose 1 game but they are gonna have to seriously choke to lose 2.
 
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no, actually the point is its way too early to declare what can and can't happen. It may be likely that the scenario you suggested takes place, but much stranger seasons have taken place. Considering the parity that this league is showing, this is not the year to declare which teams cannot win the big ten or make the bcs. There are 5 bcs bowl games IIRC.
 
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2002UNC said:
We can tie for the conference at best. My point is that the BCS will select PSU OVER US BECAUSE #1 THEY DON'T HAVE AN OOC LOSS AND THEY BEAT US HEAD TO HEAD. They may lose 1 game but they are gonna have to seriously choke to lose 2.
Click to expand...

Assuming one of those two is the conference champ, the other could be an at-large...it may not be an either-or.
 
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2002UNC said:
We can tie for the conference at best. My point is that the BCS will select PSU OVER US BECAUSE #1 THEY DON'T HAVE AN OOC LOSS AND THEY BEAT US HEAD TO HEAD. They may lose 1 game but they are gonna have to seriously choke to lose 2.
Click to expand...
can you check the powerball numbers for me? i'll pay you for your time using the crystal ball for my personal use rather than using it to tell me how things are going to shake out in the college football scene.
 
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