The first three games of the 2022 season are now in the record books. Are the Buckeyes about where we expected them to be at this stage? Yes – I’d say that they are. They’re 3-0 (as expected). The No. 3 ranking is about right. Yeah, I know that they dropped down from a preseason No. 2, but the move came about because of the play of the Georgia Bulldogs, rather than the play of the Buckeyes. After all, UGA leaped over Bama too.
C.J. Stroud and the OSU offense are back in true form. And Jim Knowles’ defense is better than the D that the Buckeyes put on the field last year. The one-sided victories over Arkansas State and Toledo have given Ryan Day the luxury of playing a lot of players – including true freshmen. And, so far, we like what we’ve seen of them.
What I want to do here is look back over those three games and gauge where things stand. There’s obviously a great deal that is good about this team, and I’ll point out the strengths – even the obvious ones. And then I’ll identify issues that remain. I use the term “issues” rather than “weaknesses,” because I don’t think that there are any true weaknesses.
The Buckeye offense
As the season began, Buckeye fans talked openly about their team having three legitimate Heisman Trophy hopefuls: C.J. Stroud, TreVeyon Henderson, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. After three games (and I know that it’s still early), I would say that the number of hopefuls is down to one – just Stroud. Both JSN and Henderson have seen their playing time cut due to injuries. And even when healthy, they must share snaps with their very talented position groups. As a consequence, they just don’t have the numbers to be among the national leaders in their positions, let alone compete with the top quarterbacks for a quarterback-biased award.
JSN has played only one full game (Toledo for 23 snaps) and only 38 snaps for the season. Four other Buckeye wide receivers have seen more action. He’s caught four passes for 36 yards. Yes, he’s got a lot more football to play, and he’s capable of extraordinary games, but, as far as the Heisman is concerned, he’s starting in a hole.
Same goes for Henderson. He shares time with Miyan Williams (and others) and played only two snaps against Toledo because of an injury. While we hope that he’ll be back very soon, the fact remains that he has 197 rushing yards on 29 carries for the season. His 6.8 yards per carry average is exactly his 2021 season average, but he’ll have to have some really big games down the road in order to churn up national attention.
Against competition like Arkansas State and Toledo, it’s best to be cautious and let your stars mend before putting them back in. In the Heisman race, though, you can’t afford to miss many games.
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The Buckeye defense
Oh, yeah, the defense has improved. It’s not a top-10 defense yet, but it’s ranked No. 21 in total defense, giving up 278.7 yards a game. Last year, for the season, the Bucks yielded 366.6 yards per game, ranking them No. 52. Granted, the Buckeyes’ D still ranks below teams that they’ll need to beat if they want to win championships: Michigan, Georgia, Alabama, Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota.
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The Buckeyes are ready for the Big Ten. Starting with Wisconsin will give the Bucks a true test. The Badgers are big and tough and have talented players. I expect the OSU passing attack to establish an early lead, and for the Buckeyes to win by a couple of touchdowns – at least.