I'm with martins... excellent post saw (I too think that mankind is fooling itself if they claim to have progressed significantly). After reading the article, I gained very little beyond what I gathered from the quotation in the first post.
as for pondering whether we will survive:
human nature does have a survival instinct, yet it has not prevented us from racing ahead in the nuclear arms race. In fact, that instinct backfired in this case, fooling us into trying to protect our brand of humanity in the wrong fashion. It is quite possible for the wrong individual to gain access to and detonate a nuclear weapon, and set off a chain reaction of foolish nuclear retaliations. As such, if we are not considering supernatural power in this argument (which Sagan would not), I do not feel confident in saying that human nature will survive itself. I feel that we likely will survive, but do not find human nature to be a reassuring security blanket.
bkb, as for your response to saw... he likely is referencing other works by sagan, which involved certain inconsistencies. I am no expert on the matter (having only read Contact), but found his faith (which I would describe as hopeful longing) in extra terrestrial life to be very inconsistent with his unwaveringly scientific approach to christianity.
as for pondering whether we will survive:
human nature does have a survival instinct, yet it has not prevented us from racing ahead in the nuclear arms race. In fact, that instinct backfired in this case, fooling us into trying to protect our brand of humanity in the wrong fashion. It is quite possible for the wrong individual to gain access to and detonate a nuclear weapon, and set off a chain reaction of foolish nuclear retaliations. As such, if we are not considering supernatural power in this argument (which Sagan would not), I do not feel confident in saying that human nature will survive itself. I feel that we likely will survive, but do not find human nature to be a reassuring security blanket.
bkb, as for your response to saw... he likely is referencing other works by sagan, which involved certain inconsistencies. I am no expert on the matter (having only read Contact), but found his faith (which I would describe as hopeful longing) in extra terrestrial life to be very inconsistent with his unwaveringly scientific approach to christianity.
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-- but that there are WTO meetings going on speaks to the concern over "us."