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Week 4 Games Discussion

I was getting ready to pencil in Oregon St as Minnesota's opponent in the RB.
That would be a fitting venue:biggrin: (Oh, you meant the rose bowl and not the Rubber Bowl!)
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Arkansas Kicker Misses Go-Ahead Field Goal in Gut-Wrenching Fashion

Through the first 15 minutes of Arkansas’s game against Texas A&M, it appeared as though the Razorbacks were headed for complete domination against their SEC West foe.

However, it only takes a matter of minutes for things to quickly change on any given Saturday during the college football season. The Aggies scored 23 unanswered points—13 in the second quarter and 10 in the third—to take a 23-21 advantage into the fourth quarter.

After Aggies kicker Randy Bond missed a field goal that would have given Texas A&M a five-point lead, the Razorbacks orchestrated an eight-play drive that erased a significant chunk of time off the clock, setting up a field goal opportunity for Arkansas to take the lead.

Down two points with 1:30 to play in the game, Razorbacks kicker Cam Little missed a 42-yard field goal in which the ball bounced off the top of the upright and fell into the end zone, securing Texas A&M the 23-21 victory.



Entire article: https://www.si.com/college/2022/09/...ttle-misses-go-ahead-field-goal-texas-am-loss

You don't see it bounce off the top of the upright very often.
 
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Week 4 Top Ten Recap

All spreads are from the upset contest thread

1) Georgia: 44 point favorite over Kent State ... won 39-22 (spread -27)
2) Alabama: 40 point favorite over Vandy ... won 55-3 (spread +12)
3) Ohio St.: 18.5 point favorite over Wiscy ... won 52-21 (spread +12.5)
4) TTUN: 17 point favorite over Maryland ... won 34-27 (spread -10)
5) Clemson: 7 point favorite over Wake Forest... won 51-45 OT (spread -7)**
This isn't a casino, it's a measurement of performance. Regulation ended in a tie; mark it zero.
6) Oklahoma: 13 point favorite over Kansas St ... lost 34-41 (spread -20)
7) So Cal: 6.5 point favorite over Oregon St ... won 17-14 (spread -3.5)**
8) Kentucky: 25.5 point favorite over N. Ill ... won 31-23 (spread -17.5)
9) Ok State: Bye Week
10) Arkansas: 2.5 point DOG to aTm ... lost 21-23 (spread +.5)**


First thing to note is that the above compares each team's results to the Vegas perception of them, not to the AP perception of them. It is clear from some of those lines that the Vegas perception and the AP perception were at variance. Most notably is that #23 aTm was favored over #10 Arkansas (and Vegas nailed that one). It could also be argued that Clemson being only a 7 point favorite over #21 Wake Forest is an indication that Vegas knew something that the AP voters didn't (shocking). A team that belongs at #7 should pound the Beavers pretty good, but Vegas had SoCal as only a 6.5 point favorite. These games have thus been marked with (**) to indicate that the result is more at variance with the AP ranking than with the spread. (One could argue that the TUN game should be marked as such; but to me the jury is out on both TTUN and MD)

When you consider that both #11 Tennessee and #12 NC State also under-performed vs the spread yesterday, it is clear that every single team in college football has either under-performed at least once this year or has played absolutely no one (looking at you Minnesota, though you clearly deserve to be ranked). The point here is that, after the top 3 (who have each had at least one bad game themselves), you can easily point to literally every team in college football and say, "That team does not belong in the top ten." But seven teams, aside from the top 3, DO belong in the top 10. One simply has to acknowledge; 1) the gulf between the top 3 and everyone else, and 2) the parity on that next tier. There isn't true parity in college football per se, but within tiers there is a great deal of parity. The second tier seems to be both larger and more flawed (farther below tier 1) than I remember it ever having been before. Or at least that's my perception of it after week 4.
 
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