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UCLA @ USC

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In spite of the fact that Colin Cowherd made this his 'lock of the week', I'm going to try to get to 10k vCash by taking the points on this one.

I've read some articles about UCLA's preparation (3 weeks of it), and it appears that they have the kind of belief that is resilient enough to weather a storm or two. I also saw a video clip of an interview with Leinart where he APPEARS to be struggling with the scrutiny and attention he's getting.

Leinart's mind-set is of little relevance to me though. I only need the Bruins to stay within 3 TDs, so this bet is all about UCLA's offense and USC's defense to me. USC may very well score on 75% of their possessions. But if UCLA can score on about 50% or more of their possessions, I'm golden. I'm vbetting that UCLA's offense can handle that.
 
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Maybe it's just wishful thinking, but I put my money on UCLA. I've been unimpressed with USC's defense, and UCLA seems to be pretty solid on offense. USC will probably outscore UCLA, but I wouldn't be too surprised to see UCLA put Penn State in the championship game against Texas.
 
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It has been my steadfast belief for the past year that UCLA is going to win this game. I really think olsen is going to have one of his better games as a
Bruin, and Maurice Drew will provide an offensive element absent for UCLA last year, a running game. Bush needs to be contained this year, by and far i think UCLA did an excellent job slowing the aerial attack of USC last year, however they let the President get 3 long runs on them, and that was the story of the game.

My keys to game-

UCLA wins if:

  • Olsen wins the qb battle, but with a greater margin than last year.
  • UCLA +2 on the turnover battle.
  • I think at least one punt/kickoff will be returned for a TD in the game UCLA needs to be the one to do it, or at least USC is prevented from doing so.
  • Bush is allowed only 1 big run for the day. He'll get one no matter what, but dont let him put on a running clinic like he did last year.
USC wins if:
  • Even or positive turnover margin with UCLA
  • Olsen is sacked more than 5 times, or UCLA rushes for less than 100 yards. USC had an excellent defensive line, and much better linebackers last year, and was able to make UCLA one dimensional. If they cant stop the run, or put heat on Olsen UCLA will be able to dictate the flow of the game, somewhat to the extent that ND was able to do.
  • White and Bush put up more than a combined total of 250 yards rushing.
3000 vcash on the bruins.
 
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