TALE OF THE TAPE: OHIO STATE ENJOYS RECRUITING ADVANTAGE OVER MICHIGAN, BUT THE GAP IS CLOSING
The two best recruiting programs in the Big Ten will clash on Saturday for a share of the Big Ten East and a potential berth to the championship game. However, the balance favors Ohio State over the past three recruiting cycles. This bodes well for Saturday's matchup much like the balance favored Ohio State in its clash with Oklahoma in Norman.
Ohio State has led the conference in recruiting rankings since Meyer arrived for the 2012 recruiting cycle. Michigan has been No. 2 every year since, excepting the transition year from Hoke to Harbaugh in the 2015 cycle. Penn State used that transition to secure No. 2 status in the Big Ten.
Michigan closed the gap between itself and Ohio State with the 2016 recruiting cycle. However, Ohio State enjoys a discernible advantage over Michigan in almost every recruiting indicator.
Consider the first table, similar to the analysis we did for the Oklahoma matchup. This table compares Ohio State and Michigan on aggregate indicators for the class overall, including number of four-stars, five-stars, top 100 prospects, and overall rank. Ohio State beats Michigan, almost handily, in every facet.
Start with 2014, which featured a typical (i.e. stellar) recruiting haul for Urban Meyer against Brady Hoke's last full recruiting class before his dismissal after the 2014 season. Michigan fans will caution that, for all his faults, Brady Hoke did well to bring talent to Ann Arbor. Major pieces from his 2013 and 2014 recruiting classes feature prominently on Michigan's roster.
The 2014 recruiting class may have portended lost faith in where Michigan was going under Brady Hoke. The Wolverines landed the No. 6 recruiting class in 2012 (with 15 four-stars) and the No. 4 recruiting class in 2013 (with 17 four-stars). However, Michigan fell to No. 8 in the 2014 cycle with just eight four-stars and only two top 100 prospects.
The class still produced several mainstays on the current roster, most prominently Jabrill Peppers (a five-star athlete) and Wilton Speight (the season's starting quarterback). Others players from that class like Mason Cole, Noah Furbush, Chase Winovich feature in Michigan's two-deep.
If Michigan struggles with talent against Ohio State in the short-term, Michigan fans will likely point to the 2015 recruiting class as a culprit. Michigan fired Brady Hoke after the season-ending loss at Ohio Stadium in 2014 but had to wait several weeks before the NFL season ended to hire Jim Harbaugh as his replacement. Michigan lost ground with several recruits as a result. Ohio State fans should remember this helped Urban Meyer secure Mike Weber's signature over a competing offer from Harbaugh and Michigan.
This 2015 recruiting class for Michigan just produced 14 players total, only six with four stars. Tyree Kinnel and Tyrone Wheatley have made some small contributions to the current roster among those six four stars. Grant Newsome, another four-star, was a starting tackle before blowing out his knee last month. Grant Perry, a three-star, starts in the slot and is fourth in receiving yards for the offense. Do note that effectively means he has just 134 receiving yards this season. The jury is out for the remainder of the class.
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