Guys, would you agree that if God shines his face upon us and we end up at 12-6 in the regular season, we'd basically be a lock? I know RPI, BPI, bad early losses, all that, but I can't fathom the committee thinking about leaving out a 12-6 B1G team with wins vs. UK, UM, MSU, and Iowa. We wouldn't have a lot of T100 wins but we'd have 3 really good ones.
So now take it down one game to a much more likely 11-7. I don't think it HAS to be MSU and Iowa. I think that would be a lot better, yes, but I do think if we win at Nebby and get one of MSU or Iowa then we still have a shot. But with 11-7, one way or the other, we need a good showing in the BTT. I'm not sure if it would have to be get-to-the-title-game good or not.
I do fully agree that 10-8 in conference nixes our chances at an at-large.
At least now I can say we won't be a sub-.500 team in conference.