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Reds Tidbits (2012 Season)

jlb1705;2198420; said:
No other first place team has as big a lead over second place as the Reds do. You're right, this choke job is going to be epic.

Right now, if the Reds blow the division lead, they would certainly make top 20 collapses of all time lists. Now, for some reason, we have seen more playoff collapses in the last 5 years than any other time in history. Braves and Reds Sox last year, Tigers in 2009, and the Mets in 2007. Those are top 10 collapses too.

Although this year the Reds could still collapse vs. the Cards and reach the playoffs. Not only would the Cards have to play great ball, but so would the Pirates or the Giants/Dodgers for the Reds to completely miss the playoffs. If that happened, it would be a top 10 collapse.
 
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scott91575;2198431; said:
Right now, if the Reds blow the division lead, they would certainly make top 20 collapses of all time lists. Now, for some reason, we have seen more playoff collapses in the last 5 years than any other time in history. Braves and Reds Sox last year, Tigers in 2009, and the Mets in 2007. Those are top 10 collapses too.

Although this year the Reds could still collapse vs. the Cards and reach the playoffs. Not only would the Cards have to play great ball, but so would the Pirates or the Giants/Dodgers for the Reds to completely miss the playoffs. If that happened, it would be a top 10 collapse.


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The Reds could actually play sub .500 ball (18-19) and hit 94 wins. And the Cards and/or Pirates would essentially have to go ~27-11 (.710) over the same stretch just to tie. That would be the pace the Reds have set since the break, which included a 10 game winning streak and two 5 game winning streaks.

It's going to be an epic collapse.
 
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I'm more worried about the Cardinals than the Pirates. If they can win two of three this weekend in their last match up with St Louis they would almost have to match the Phold of 1964 to lose the division.
 
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Oh8ch;2198441; said:
I'm more worried about the Cardinals than the Pirates. If they can win two of three this weekend in their last match up with St Louis they would almost have to match the Phold of 1964 to lose the division.

I have been more worried about the Cards since the start of the year. I can actually see the Pirates end up under .500. Their whole year has been smoke and mirrors. Their lineup is awful and McCutchen is returning to normal. The pitching staff is returning to normal too. The only thing that might save them is they have 13 games left with the Astros and Cubs. If not for that I would put money on them ending the season under .500.
 
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Cards make-or-break run begins after their current series with the Astros. Their next 10 are @CIN for 3, @PIT for 3, and @WAS for 4. Cards still have seven to play against the Nats. They also have to do a West Coast swing with 3 at SD (who are 22-17 since the break) and 4 at LA (20-17).
 
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Dryden;2198466; said:
Cards make-or-break run begins after their current series with the Astros. Their next 10 are @CIN for 3, @PIT for 3, and @WAS for 4. Cards still have seven to play against the Nats. They also have to do a West Coast swing with 3 at SD (who are 22-17 since the break) and 4 at LA (20-17).


Cards, Pirates and Dodgers going into a 3 way death match for the last playoff spot.

Throw a rusty shiv in the middle and put your money on the Dodgers.
 
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I just had to check the Astros schedule. Since the break they have 6 wins. 6-31 for a .162 winning percentage. For July and August they are 7-38, a .155 winning percentage. If they continue that winning percentage they are on pace to lose 118 games, 3rd worst all time (well, modern era, the Cleveland Spiders are untouchable).
 
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scott91575;2198472; said:
I just had to check the Astros schedule. Since the break they have 6 wins. 6-31 for a .162 winning percentage. For July and August they are 7-38, a .155 winning percentage. If they continue that winning percentage they are on pace to lose 118 games, 3rd worst all time (well, modern era, the Cleveland Spiders are untouchable).

Surprisingly, the Astros have not yet been mathematically eliminated. The magic number for them is down to two though, so it could happen tomorrow. They have by far the lowest elimination number in the league - the Marlins are next lowest with 17.
 
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