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Z --> Z^2 + c
Staff member
<CENTER>Overrated/Underrated Always-Rated Teams

</CENTER><HR>This is a table of teams' under-/over-ratedness over the span 1989 to present. Teams are sorted by total rating, with the most underrated teams at the top. Only teams rated (in at least one of the preseason consensus and final AP) every season are included in this table. Additional notes on the table's contents follow the table.

<CENTER><TABLE cellPadding=4 width="98%" border=1><TBODY><TR align=middle bgColor=#e0ffe0><TD noWrap align=left>Team</TD><TD>Total</TD><TD>2003 </TD><TD>2002 </TD><TD>2001 </TD><TD>2000 </TD><TD>1999 </TD><TD>1998 </TD><TD>1997 </TD><TD>1996 </TD><TD>1995 </TD><TD>1994 </TD><TD>1993 </TD><TD>1992 </TD><TD>1991 </TD><TD>1990 </TD><TD>1989 </TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD noWrap align=left>Tennessee</TD><TD>-12</TD><TD>-2</TD><TD>-21</TD><TD>3</TD><TD>-13</TD><TD>-7</TD><TD>9</TD><TD>-5</TD><TD>-6</TD><TD>6</TD><TD>-10</TD><TD>-1</TD><TD>14</TD><TD>-5</TD><TD>5</TD><TD>21</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD noWrap align=left>Florida State</TD><TD>-23</TD><TD>4</TD><TD>-17</TD><TD>-9</TD><TD>-3</TD><TD>0</TD><TD>-1</TD><TD>1</TD><TD>-1</TD><TD>-3</TD><TD>-3</TD><TD>0</TD><TD>4</TD><TD>-3</TD><TD>6</TD><TD>2</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD noWrap align=left>Miami-Florida</TD><TD>-27</TD><TD>-2</TD><TD>1</TD><TD>1</TD><TD>3</TD><TD>-3</TD><TD>6</TD><TD>-13</TD><TD>-3</TD><TD>-10</TD><TD>1</TD><TD>-10</TD><TD>-2</TD><TD>3</TD><TD>-1</TD><TD>2</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD noWrap align=left>Michigan</TD><TD>-41½</TD><TD>1</TD><TD>1</TD><TD>-7</TD><TD>-5</TD><TD>2</TD><TD>-7</TD><TD>13½</TD><TD>-6</TD><TD>-4</TD><TD>-7</TD><TD>-19</TD><TD>2</TD><TD>-4</TD><TD>4</TD><TD>-6</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD noWrap align=left>Nebraska</TD><TD>-48½</TD><TD>6½</TD><TD>-18</TD><TD>-3</TD><TD>-7</TD><TD>2</TD><TD>-13</TD><TD>3</TD><TD>-5</TD><TD>1</TD><TD>1</TD><TD>5</TD><TD>-3</TD><TD>3</TD><TD>-17</TD><TD>-4</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></CENTER>The teams at the top of the table were the most underrated (final poll standing furthest above preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present. The teams at the bottom of the list were the most overrated (final poll standing furthest below preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present.

A "zero" in the table indicates that the team's preseason and final rankings were the same that year. Any other number indicates that the team was ranked in at least one of the preseason or final polls, and the number is the difference between the two (with "unranked" counted as 26th).

For more data, on frequently rated teams (eliminating those that only have less than five years' data), see the Teams file. For data on all teams that were rated in even a single preseason or final poll in any year covered, see the All Teams file.

Note: These numbers do not really reflect how good the teams are; they instead reflect how well they lived up to preseason expectations. Teams which are rated every year tend to have higher expectations, and therefore we see that most of them have negative totals.


A couple of notables... same formula

<TABLE cellPadding=4 width="98%" border=1><TBODY><TR align=middle bgColor=#e0ffe0><TD noWrap align=left>Team</TD><TD>Total</TD><TD>2003 </TD><TD>2002 </TD><TD>2001 </TD><TD>2000 </TD><TD>1999 </TD><TD>1998 </TD><TD>1997 </TD><TD>1996 </TD><TD>1995 </TD><TD>1994 </TD><TD>1993 </TD><TD>1992 </TD><TD>1991 </TD><TD>1990 </TD><TD>1989 </TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD noWrap align=left>Southern Cal</TD><TD>-57</TD><TD>10</TD><TD>14</TD><TD>-</TD><TD>-12</TD><TD>-10</TD><TD>-</TD><TD>-1</TD><TD>-18</TD><TD>-6</TD><TD>1</TD><TD>-8</TD><TD>-</TD><TD>-11</TD><TD>-12</TD><TD>-4</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD noWrap align=left>Notre Dame</TD><TD>-70</TD><TD>-8</TD><TD>9</TD><TD>-11</TD><TD>11</TD><TD>-8</TD><TD>0</TD><TD>-17</TD><TD>-13</TD><TD>-4</TD><TD>-22</TD><TD>5</TD><TD>0</TD><TD>-7</TD><TD>-5</TD><TD>0</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>