I've limited this to players Matta had for at least two years.
Records:
-03-04: 14-16 - Obie's last season
-04-05: 20-12
-05-06: 26-6
-06-07: 35-4
Terence Dials:
-03-04: 10.4 points, 6.6 rebounds
-04-05: 15.9 points, 7.9 rebounds
-05-06: 15.3 points, 8.0 rebounds, B10 POY
JJ Sullinger:
-03-04: 10.1 points, 4.6 rebounds
-04-05: 9.7 points, 5.4 rebounds
-05-06: 10.1 points, 7.0 rebounds
Ivan Harris:
-03-04: 3.4 points, 1.7 rebounds
-04-05: 7.3 points, 3.2 rebounds
-05-06: 3.6 points, .7 rebounds
-06-07: 7.6 points, 3.3 rebounds
Matt Sylvester:
-03-04: 3.1 points, 1.4 rebounds
-04-05: 8.0 points, 2.5 rebounds
-05-06: 7.4 points, 2.7 rebounds
Je'kel Foster:
-04-05: 7.7 points, 3.3 rebounds
-05-06: 12.2 points, 4.3 rebounds
Jamar Butler:
-04-05: 3.6 points, 1.8 rebounds, 2.3 assists
-05-06: 10.1 points, 3.3 rebounds, 4.6 assists
-06-07: 8.5 points, 2.1 rebounds, 3.7 assists
Matt Terwilliger:
-04-05: 1.5 points, .8 rebounds
-05-06: 2.3 poinsts, 1.6 assists
-06-07: 2.2 points, 1.8 assists
Ron Lewis:
-05-06: 11.2 points, 3.3 rebounds
-06-07: 12.7 points, 3.6 rebounds
Stats, plain and simple. I won't argue that all of OSU's players have developed as well as some would hope, but you have to keep in mind that the stats do NOT tell the whole story, no matter how many times it is said that they do.
I'll preface my comments with this..
I imagine that if one were to look at the production from an Obie team, one would see that the major production came from upperclassmen almost every single season. Why? Because O'Brien brought in players that were inferior to the ones he already had. When you bring in players that are better than the carryovers from the previous season, the stats will not indicate that the returners have improved, because they are still stuck behind better players.
Based on the stats, one could come to the conclusion that Butler regressed from 05-06 to last season, but the stats don't note that Butler was moved from the point with the ball in his hands every single play to the off-guard, a position he had never played before. If O'Brien were still the coach, I don't doubt that Butler would've averaged 15 points and 6 assists last season, but that would have been because the incoming point guard wasn't yet ready to contribute to the team.
What would Twiggy be averaging this season if Obie were coach? 30 minutes, 9-11 points, 4-6 rebounds? That seems about right to me based on Obie's success with players of similar experience and talents, but it wouldn't be because Twigs was a significantly better player than he is right now, it would be becuase he wasn't stuck riding the bench behind Koufos and Hunter. IMO, no amount of player development is going to make Twigs a better player than Koufos.
What do we expect out of Lighty this season? 10-12 points, 4-6 rebounds, 2-3 assists sound about right? What about next season when Buford takes over a significant portion of the scoring from the wing position? Does that mean Lighty has regressed or does it just mean that his role has changed?
I can see why one would conclude that Matta does not excel at development when compared to O'Brien, but I disagree. I see the perception as a result of differing philosphies. O'Brien brought in 2-4 middling players (decent 4-year players, no superstars) and as a result, the best players on the team were mostly those with the most experience and development. Matta is bringing in stars with every recruiting class now and those stars give the team a better chance to win than the returning players, so some guys continue to ride the pine. That doesn't mean they aren't improved, it just means they aren't improved enough to beat out the new guys. I can't imagine a scenario in which is Hunter, Madsen, and Lauderdale are going to be starting ahead of Mullens next season. Why? Because no amount of development will make them more talented or able than Mullens.
All I really know is that if you look at the very first set of stats I posted (don't scroll up, I'll go ahead and tell you it's just the teams record for each of the last four years), I think it's fair to say that Matta has a pretty good idea of what he is doing and what he wants to be doing and I'm going to go ahead and "trust the coaches" on this one.
MaxBuck said:
I will say one final thing -- Thad Matta knows more about hoop than probably everyone else on this board in aggregate. And Coach Matta has placed Diebler in the starting lineup throughout the preseason and actual season games thus far.
That is my viewpoint on the issue as well. If Matta has seen enough in practice and games to keep Diebler in the starting lineup, that's good enough for me. It would be ideal for him to be knocking down some open shots, but there's obviously something there that the coaches like.
EDIT - as far as in-season improvements, that's a very difficult thing to measure. Conley and Oden very clearly improved over the course of last season. Lighty and Hunter also made strides; Lewis, Butler, and Twigs were fairly even; and Cook regressed. Nothing to back that up, just my general observations. 2 greatly improved, 2 improved, 3 constant, and 1 worsened.
I don't think it's unreasonable to expect some measure of improvement out of Diebler. I don't expect him to be All Big 10 or anything, but I do expect that his defense and shooting will improve.