2021 Ohio Recruits

[LordJeffBuck]

The following chart shows the top 25 Ohio recruits according to the 247 Composite, and for each recruit gives his 247 Stars, 247 Rating, and 247 Score, which is how many points the recruit would add to a hypothetical class comprised of just the top 25 recruits in Ohio.

The chart also gives the average 247 rating, which is 90.19; and also the overall class score, which is 267.07 and would rank 11th in CFB right behind Oklahoma and just ahead of Miami.

Note that I have not included the #22 recruit in Ohio, WR Armond Scott of Euclid (3*, 87.00 rating), because he did not sign with anyone yet.

Rank	Recruit Name	Pos	Recruit College	247 Stars	247 Rating	247 Score
1	Jack Sawyer	DL	Ohio State	5*	99.82	29.82
2	Mike Hall	DL	Ohio State	4*	97.44	27.27
3	Reid Carrico	LB	Ohio State	4*	96.17	25.53
4	Jayden Ballard	WR	Ohio State	4*	95.81	24.42
5	Lorenzo Styles, Jr.	WR	Notre Dame	4*	94.78	22.45
6	Ben Christman	OL	Ohio State	4*	94.39	20.90
7	Corey Kiner	RB	Louisiana State	4*	93.17	18.55
8	Devonta Smith	DB	Alabama	4*	90.76	15.34
9	Jaylen Anderson	RB	West Virginia	4*	89.51	13.14
10	Markus Allen	WR	Wisconsin	3*	88.89	11.45
11	Darryl Peterson	LB	Wisconsin	3*	88.82	10.15
12	Najee Story	DL	Northwestern	3*	88.77	8.89
13	Jaylen Johnson	DB	Ohio State	3*	88.51	7.61
14	Andrew Wilson-Lamp	WR	West Virginia	3*	88.13	6.39
15	Jack Pugh	TE	Wisconsin	3*	88.10	5.40
16	Mitchell Evans	TE	Notre Dame	3*	87.76	4.43
17	Rod Moore	DB	Michigan	3*	87.68	3.64
18	Bryon Threats	ATH	Cincinnati	3*	87.67	2.97
19	Liam Clifford	WR	Penn State	3*	87.48	2.37
20	A.J. Kirk	DB	Michigan State	3*	87.10	1.84
21	Devon Williams	LB	Minnesota	3*	87.09	1.45
23	Terrence Rankl	OL	Pittsburgh	3*	86.88	1.11
24	Joey Labas	QB	Iowa	3*	86.85	0.85
25	Jamarius Dinkins	DL	Kentucky	3*	86.67	0.64
26	Mao Glynn	OL	Cincinnati	3*	86.46	0.47
Total	...	...	...	...	90.19	267.07

 

[LordJeffBuck]

The next chart shows how each team fared in Ohio, and shows (in order): number of recruits signed; percentage of top 25; class score of recruits signed; percentage of overall class score (which is 267.07); the average rating per recruit signed; and the differential from the overall class average (which is 90.19):

College	Class #	Percent-1	Class Score	Percent-2	Class Avg	Differential
Ohio State	6	24.0 %	135.55	50.8 %	95.36	+ 5.17
Wisconsin	3	12.0 %	27.00	10.1 %	88.60	– 1.59
Notre Dame	2	8.0 %	26.88	10.1 %	91.27	+ 1.01
West Virginia	2	8.0 %	19.53	7.3 %	88.82	– 1.37
Louisiana State	1	4.0 %	18.55	6.9 %	93.17	+ 2.98
Alabama	1	4.0 %	15.34	5.7 %	90.76	+ 0.57
Northwestern	1	4.0 %	8.89	3.3 %	88.77	– 1.42
Michigan	1	4.0 %	3.64	1.4 %	87.68	– 2.51
Cincinnati	2	8.0 %	3.44	1.3 %	87.07	– 3.12
Penn State	1	4.0 %	2.37	0.9 %	87.48	– 2.71
Michigan State	1	4.0 %	1.84	0.7 %	87.10	– 3.09
Minnesota	1	4.0 %	1.45	0.5 %	87.09	– 3.10
Pittsburgh	1	4.0 %	1.11	0.4 %	86.88	– 3.31
Iowa	1	4.0 %	0.85	0.3 %	86.85	– 3.34
Kentucky	1	4.0 %	0.64	0.2 %	86.67	– 3.52

 

[LordJeffBuck]

Of course, the charts in the immediately preceding posts don't help much, because they basically prove that Ohio State owns Ohio when it comes to recruiting. The next chart eliminates Ohio State's 6 signees and adds in the next 6 signees from the top recruits in Ohio.

Note that the #31 recruit in the state, RB Kyree Young from Massillon Washington (3*, 86.21) was not included because he has not yet signed with anyone.

Rank	Recruit	Pos	College	Stars	Rating	Score
5	Lorenzo Styles, Jr.	WR	Notre Dame	4*	94.78	24.78
7	Corey Kiner	RB	Louisiana State	4*	93.17	23.03
8	Devonta Smith	DB	Alabama	4*	90.76	20.25
9	Jaylen Anderson	RB	West Virginia	4*	89.51	18.45
10	Markus Allen	WR	Wisconsin	3*	88.89	17.11
11	Darryl Peterson	LB	Wisconsin	3*	88.82	16.13
12	Najee Story	DL	Northwestern	3*	88.77	15.03
14	Andrew Wilson-Lamp	WR	West Virginia	3*	88.13	13.40
15	Jack Pugh	TE	Wisconsin	3*	88.10	12.19
16	Mitchell Evans	TE	Notre Dame	3*	87.76	10.77
17	Rod Moore	DB	Michigan	3*	87.68	9.54
18	Bryon Threats	ATH	Cincinnati	3*	87.67	8.37
19	Liam Clifford	WR	Penn State	3*	87.48	7.18
20	A.J. Kirk	DB	Michigan State	3*	87.10	6.02
21	Devon Williams	LB	Minnesota	3*	87.09	5.10
23	Terrence Rankl	OL	Pittsburgh	3*	86.88	4.21
24	Joey Labas	QB	Iowa	3*	86.85	3.47
25	Jamarius Dinkins	DL	Kentucky	3*	86.67	2.80
26	Mao Glynn	OL	Cincinnati	3*	86.46	2.00
27	Aidan Hubbard	LB	Northwestern	3*	86.46	2.00
28	Malik Verdon	ATH	Iowa State	3*	86.38	1.39
29	Bam Booker	LB	Maryland	3*	86.35	1.07
30	David Wohlabaugh	OL	Kentucky	3*	86.26	0.82
32	Tomas Rimac	OL	West Virginia	3*	86.19	0.62
33	Hammond Russell	DL	West Virginia	3*	86.14	0.46
Total	...	...	...	...	88.01	226.20

 

[LordJeffBuck]

Here's how all other teams not named Ohio State fared in recruiting Ohio.

College	Class #	Percent-1	Class Score	Percent-2	Class Avg	Differential
Wisconsin	3	12.0 %	45.43	20.1 %	88.60	+ 0.59
Notre Dame	2	8.0 %	35.55	15.7 %	91.27	+ 3.26
West Virginia	4	16.0 %	32.93	14.6 %	87.49	– 0.52
Louisiana State	1	4.0 %	23.03	10.2 %	93.17	+ 5.16
Northwestern	2	8.0 %	17.03	7.5 %	87.62	– 0.39
Alabama	1	4.0 %	20.25	9.0 %	90.76	+ 2.75
Cincinnati	2	8.0 %	10.37	4.6 %	87.07	– 0.94
Michigan	1	4.0 %	9.54	4.2 %	87.68	– 0.33
Penn State	1	4.0 %	7.18	3.2 %	87.48	– 0.53
Michigan State	1	4.0 %	6.02	2.7 %	87.10	– 0.91
Minnesota	1	4.0 %	5.10	2.3 %	87.09	– 0.92
Pittsburgh	1	4.0 %	4.21	1.9 %	86.88	– 1.13
Kentucky	2	8.0 %	3.62	1.6 %	86.47	– 1.54
Iowa	1	4.0 %	3.47	1.5 %	86.85	– 1.16
Iowa State	1	4.0 %	1.39	0.6 %	86.38	– 1.63
Maryland	1	4.0 %	1.07	0.5 %	86.35	– 1.70

 

[LordJeffBuck]

Finally, here is a chart showing how each team fared in Ohio compared to the rest of that team's class. I have analyzed only teams that had a top-50 recruiting class and signed at least 3 players from Ohio.

The chart shows (in order): Total class size; Ohio signees; percentage of Ohio signees in class; overall class score; score of Ohio signees in class; percentage of class score from Ohio signees; differential between percentage of Ohio signees in class and percentage of class score from Ohio signees (a metric to determine how valuable the Ohio signees were to the overall class); average rating per signee in class; average rating per Ohio signee in class; differential between average rating per signee in class and average rating per Ohio signee in class (another metric to determine how valuable the Ohio signees were to the overall class).

Ohio State's class had 22 signees, with 6 being from Ohio (27.3%).

Ohio State's overall class score was 316.01, with 84.79 of those points coming from Ohio signees (26.8%). So by that metric, Ohio State slightly underperformed in Ohio by 0.5 (27.3% Ohio signees - 26.8% Ohio score = -0.5)

However, Ohio State's average per recruit was 94.76, while the average per Ohio recruit was 95.36. So by that metric, Ohio State overperformed in Ohio by 0.6.

It is interesting to note that Cincinnati had 3 more Ohio signees than Ohio State, yet Ohio State's 6 signees accounted for 22.2 more class points than Cincinnati's 9 signees (84.79 - 62.59 = 22.2). Cincinnati signed a lot of players from Ohio but did not get much value from those signees.

School	Class #	Ohio #	Percent-1	Class Score	Ohio Score	Percent-2	Differ-1	Class Avg	Ohio Avg	Differ-2
Ohio State	22	6	27.3%	316.01	84.79	26.8%	+ 0.5	94.76	95.36	+ 0.60
Cincinnati	24	9	37.5%	190.66	62.59	32.8%	– 4.7	85.24	85.02	– 0.22
West Virginia	16	5	31.3%	195.07	61.50	31.5%	+ 0.2	87.21	87.12	– 0.09
Kentucky	18	3	16.7%	205.02	29.73	14.5%	– 2.2	87.13	86.29	– 0.84
Northwestern	16	3	18.8%	184.30	40.34	21.9%	+ 3.1	86.26	86.91	+ 0.65
Wisconsin	21	3	14.3%	240.80	38.78	16.1%	+ 1.8	89.04	88.60	– 0.44
Rutgers	21	3	14.3%	191.67	21.44	11.2%	– 3.1	85.40	85.05	– 0.35