In Hawaii's last two games (Fresno St and Boise St), they let their opponents cover the spread just in the first half. Hawaii has always been notoriously bad on the road. They are also 106th in rushing defense while AFA is the #2 rushing offense in the country. They've given up 47+ points to every FBS opponent except New Mexico (35 points). Couple that with the high altitude and probable cold weather (conversely, UH plays its home games at sea level and in temps always in the 70s-80s) and you have a recipe for a three-peat of a first-half spread coverage.
I've seen every UH game this year...they are truly fucking bad. Oregon could literally score 100 points on Hawaii...