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First Cat 4 Hurricane to make landfall in the US

To be honest, the winner of this vbet is likely going to be "none of the above" I was just reading about Katrina and that actually was a Cat 3 when it made landfall in Louisiana. So, the odds of their actually being a CAT 4 hurricane at the time of landfall is pretty slim.
According to you libs, with global warming happening so fast, we should be concerned about Cat5's hitting land by next month.
 
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anyone have an update on this? have we ruled out any storms yet?

Alberto was just a tropical storm:
Tropical Storm Alberto was the first tropical storm of the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season. Forming on June 10 in the northwestern Caribbean Sea as a tropical depression, the storm moved northward and then northeastward, reaching a peak intensity of 70 mph (110 km/h), before making landfall in the Big Bend area of Florida on June 13. Alberto then moved through eastern Georgia, North Carolina, and Virginia as a tropical depression before becoming extratropical on June 14. Alberto's strength was difficult to forecast as officials at the National Hurricane Center and local weather stations predicted that the storm would not greatly intensify. However, when Alberto's winds rapidly reached 70 mph, storm forecasters thought that the storm might reach minimal hurricane strength, but that did not occur due to increasing upper-level wind shear interacting with the system.
Alberto produced heavy rain across Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia causing moderate flooding in some areas. While a monetary damage estimate is unavailable as of June 15, 2006, Alberto caused two indirect deaths. The first indirect death occurred when a small plane crashed during the storm, killing its occupant. The second death was from drowning. An assumed report of nine people missing was recorded by the local media, but it is unclear if that report is true or false.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_Storm_Alberto_%282006%29
 
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Stakes are high in hurricane betting

During lull in U.S. sports, gamblers turn to watching weather

MIAMI, Florida (AP) -- It's a slow time of year for avid gamblers. The basketball and hockey playoffs are over and football is weeks away.


But gambling on what this hurricane season will produce is proving almost as irresistible as guessing the day Britney Spears will give birth.


U.S. casinos do not offer hurricane bets, and the Justice Department says online gambling is illegal. But that doesn't stop devotees, a few thousand of whom have placed hurricane wagers with online casinos based in other countries.


"Betting on baseball gets boring. You're looking for a little action every now and then," said Ken Moore, who plunked down $75 in hurricane bets. "Betting on the hurricanes, I couldn't resist it."


Moore, a graphic designer from Quincy, Massachusetts, will make a profit of about $72.50 if exactly two hurricanes of Category 3 or higher strike the United States this season. He will make $5 if one hits. If none hit or three or more hit, he loses. Category 3 storms have sustained winds of at least 111 mph.


Some victims of Hurricane Katrina and the seven other storms that walloped the United States over the past two seasons think the betting is tacky if not downright cruel.


Virginia Saussy Bairnsfather said her fellow New Orleans residents have developed a pretty good sense of humor since Katrina devastated their city, killing 1,577 Louisiana residents. It's a sort of "if you don't laugh, then you'll cry mentality," she said.


She isn't appalled by hurricane wagering but would like to see the money better spent.


"I wish that everyone who placed a bet on where a hurricane is going to land would take at least 10 percent of that money and do something to help victims," said Bairnsfather, who lost the first floor of her home to 8 feet of water poured in by Katrina.


Moore could go along with that. "If I got a little windfall, I'd probably give some to the Red Cross," he said.


Hurricane gamblers have several options for placing bets. One is how many hurricanes will hit the United States. Another is how many will hit Florida and what category they will be.


The safest bets offer 2.25-to-1 odds that at least two Category 3 storms will hit the United States, according to odds posted by BetCRIS.com. Gamblers think the chances of six or more storms hitting the United States (5-to-1 odds) are more likely than no hurricanes hitting at all (6-to-1 odds).


"Hurricanes are a hot subject right now," said Calvin Ayre, founder and CEO of online casino Bodog.com. "Anything they have an interest in generally, they also like to bet on if they're gamblers."
'We tried to make it in good taste'

Mickey Richardson, CEO of BetCRIS.com, said he did wonder if he should continue offering hurricane bets after Katrina.


"But our clients who were used to seeing us offer these events pretty much requested it again," Richardson said. "We tailored it in a way where we to tried to make it in good taste. We stayed as far away as we could from hurricane alley in the gulf in Louisiana and Mississippi. The last thing I want to do is profit off of a disaster that happened last year."


The National Weather Service doesn't think much of the trend.


"I think it's pretty sad that people are betting on an issue that involves peoples' lives and property," said spokesman Greg Romano in Miami. "Hurricanes are dangerous and for people to bet on them is really, really sad."


Still, people have wagered on much worse.


In the 1790s people in Philadelphia and New York bet on which city would have more deaths during a bad yellow fever outbreak. In 18th century London people would take bets as patients were being wheeled into surgery on whether they would survive, said David Schwartz, director of center for Gaming Research at the University of Nevada at Las Vegas.


"People used to bet on things that involved death a lot more because people weren't so sensitive about it," Schwartz said. "I'm sure people who were personally affected by a hurricane who either lost a home or lost loved ones probably wouldn't think it's such an amusing thing to bet on."
 
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It doesn't look like BERYL will be a category 4.

Beryl expected to stay offshore of N.C. <!-- END HEADLINE -->
<!-- BEGIN STORY BODY -->By ERIN GARTNER, Associated Press

RALEIGH, N.C. - The forecast indicated that Tropical Storm Beryl wouldn't develop into a hurricane and that its worst wind and rain would remain offshore. But that was of little comfort to restaurant manager Beth Barb.


If I know something's going to be bad, I'll leave," said Barb, 51, the night manager at Bob's Grill in Kill Devil Hills.
Barb, an Outer Banks resident for 25 years, knows from experience tropical storms can be rough, bringing strong winds and even tornadoes. As of Tuesday night, she was still deciding whether to leave her Collington Harbor house that sits on stilts.
At 5 a.m. EDT, Beryl, the second named storm of the season, was centered about 110 miles east southeast of Cape Hatteras. It was moving north at 7 mph with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph and some higher gusts.
Some strengthening was possible over the next 24 hours, the <FORM class=yqin action=http://yq.search.yahoo.com/search method=post> </FORM>National Hurricane Center said.
The storm appeared unlikely to build into a hurricane and likely to move parallel to the East Coast instead of heading ashore, said Richard Pasch, a hurricane specialist at the National Hurricane Center in Miami.
"There will be some increase in wind and surf," he said. "But we're not seeing this to be a major event."
Despite that, forecasters left a tropical storm watch in effect until the storm takes a more northward turn, which could be as soon as early Wednesday.
For all these reasons, Dare County officials weren't taking precautions.
"We'll see some rain and wind, certainly, on Wednesday but we're not expecting problems, certainly not anything that would concern our visitors or residents," Dare County spokeswoman Dorothy Toolan said. "Thursday looks like it will be a good day to remain indoors."
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20060719/ap_on_re_us/tropical_weather_17
 
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