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College Football Playoff (2015-16 Season)

I gotta disagree. Their Oregon win isn't looking all that great at all. Their best win is the fluke, should've been a loss, win at scUM. Ours is likely a dominating 38-10 win against a then 5-1 Penn State. We win by an average of 38-15 (23-point margin). Sparty is winning by an average score of 33-22 (11-point margin). We have three common opponents so far:

Western Michigan (OSU 38-17, MSU 37-24)
Indiana (OSU 34-27, MSU 52-36)
Rutgers (OSU 49-7, MSU 31-24)

Since games against WMU were early in the year and relatively close in score and competitiveness, I consider it essentially a wash. Although the final score in their Indiana game would suggest that MSU was more impressive against Indiana than us, Sparty was only up 28-26 at the end of the 3rd quarter and 31-26 when they started a 3-TD explosion with 5:02 left in the game. Then, there's absolutely no comparison in our Rutgers games.

I just don't see MSU being ranked ahead of us in the first playoff rankings.

I'm just saying it wouldn't surprise me either way. The schedule is very backloaded.
We could have an opportunity to face an undefeated MSU, undefeated Iowa, and a top-15 Michigan.
With media saying it's like 2007 again, even if we were to lose in Champaign... finishing out the year with that kind of resume would still probably get us in.

I'm just not worried about where CFP has Ohio State week1 -- last year was what? 13 or 14th?
 
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I'm just saying it wouldn't surprise me either way. The schedule is very backloaded.
We could have an opportunity to face an undefeated MSU, undefeated Iowa, and a top-15 Michigan.
With media saying it's like 2007 again, even if we were to lose in Champaign... finishing out the year with that kind of resume would still probably get us in.

I'm just not worried about where CFP has Ohio State week1 -- last year was what? 13 or 14th?
#16 I'm pretty sure. And yeah, I'm not worried at all where they have Ohio State next week.
 
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Half the AP top 10 were idle going into the weekend before the release of the first playoff rankings:

1. Ohio State (idle)
2. Baylor (idle)
2. Clemson 56, NC State 41
4. LSU (idle)
5. TCU 40, West Virginia 10
6. Michigan State (idle)
7. Alabama (idle)
8. Stanford 30, Washington State 28
9. Notre Dame 24, Temple 20
10. Iowa 31, Maryland 15

Of the five teams that did play, only TCU had anything resembling an impressive win. I don't think the committee will punish teams for being idle. Clemson's giving up 41 points to a so-so NC State team will put some tarnish on their recent luster, making them no longer the hottest team in the country. Stanford nearly shitting the bed in Pullman proves they're a Jekyll and Hyde team. Notre Dame narrowly beating a Temple team--ranked or not--won't do them any good. Iowa is Iowa--'nuff said. Depending on how they decide to evaluate Baylor before even seeing them play without Seth Russell will be interesting.

Here's how I see their first official rankings:

1. Ohio State
2. LSU
3. TCU
4. Clemson
 
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If I had to guess based on small sample size from last year. Something like

LSU
Clemson
Ohio State
TCU
Michigan State
Baylor
Bama
Stanford
Notre Dame
Florida
Ok St
Iowa
Utah

*Disclaimer - not how I'd rank them
PAC is in biggest danger of getting left out imo... there is no clear front runner.
 
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This is my best guess.

1. SEC West (entire division)
2. Clemson
3. SEC East (entire division except Vandy. They are too smart)
4. Baylor
5. TCU
6. MSU
7. Stanford
8. Ohio State

Actually, this is what I think the ESPiN talking heads will say before the first ranking is revealed.

That's eerily close to what that airhead Heather Dinich had this morning....she was laughed at by both Trevor Matich AND shit....literally.
 
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