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Cincinnati Reds (2025 is our year! Haha thats actually funny)

Shutout again. Fucking turds are a model of inconsistency.
Sitting at 29-30

Assuming it takes 89 wins/.550 record to get a WC spot, they have to win 60 of their next 103. Good luck with that.

Might as well do some math in the fro t office and start dealing (they’ll fuck that up too but it’s something else to talk about besides this boring, shitheap of a team)
 
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I think they can get to 86-76, which would be a 9 game improvement over last year if they stay healthy. Miley might make a difference, especially for the bullpen whether they add him to the rotation and move a starter to the 'pen, or put him in the pen (best option).

Give Espinal several days off and see how he is at the plate upon returning. His mind doesn't seem to be in this. He makes a big difference when he's hitting.
 
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I think they can get to 86-76, which would be a 9 game improvement over last year if they stay healthy. Miley might make a difference, especially for the bullpen whether they add him to the rotation and move a starter to the 'pen, or put him in the pen (best option).

Give Espinal several days off and see how he is at the plate upon returning. His mind doesn't seem to be in this. He makes a big difference when he's hitting.

I'd say they finish 81-81 with a 3 game variance either way.

There are just too many weaknesses to be a 85+ win team. MLB team ranking from Fangraphs team data as of this morning:

The only thing they do well is starting pitching (3rd best MLB/6.5 WAR)
Bullpen sucks (22nd)
Defense sucks (22nd)
Offense sucks (21st in team wRC+)
Baserunning is slightly above average (14th/.01)

This is a bottom of the middle of the pack MLB team with no hope of taking a next step in sight that doesn't involve a big leap forward from multiple young position players.
 
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I'd say they finish 81-81 with a 3 game variance either way.

There are just too many weaknesses to be a 85+ win team. MLB team ranking from Fangraphs team data as of this morning:

The only thing they do well is starting pitching (3rd best MLB/6.5 WAR)
Bullpen sucks (22nd)
Defense sucks (22nd)
Offense sucks (21st in team wRC+)
Baserunning is slightly above average (14th/.01)

This is a bottom of the middle of the pack MLB team with no hope of taking a next step in sight that doesn't involve a big leap forward from multiple young position players.
Yeah, not looking good now. I was almost certain they'd even the season series against da cubs today. I was all set to highlight the $60M Reds evening things against the $193M cubs. Fuck it. Cannot compete this year.

Revising my win total prediction down to 81 I guess.
 
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But like I said, the Reds would be better without so many injuries. And the cubs dodged Hunter Greene this series, but he doesn't look like his old Cy Young candidate self now anyway since coming back from the injury. And we're still waiting on the return of starters Candelario, Hayes and CES. That's 1/3 of the lineup, plus Miley someday. Benson wouldn't have been there to miss those fly balls with Hayes in the game. Of course injuries are part of the game and they seem to hit the reds harder than most other teams every year.

And think of how good the pitching would be with Rhett Lowder, who probably won't return this year, or maybe September if he does.

Speaking of which, Jim Dey spoke with the great Teejay Antone pregame. He said Kremchek installed 8 anchors to attach the tendon to the bone and he feels great. His fastball is only 91 now, though, so we'll see a different Teejay if he makes it back someday.
 
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Please God don't tell me the bullpen has infected the starters. Singer has been so strong this year and right now he looks timid.

One of the hidden issues with our starters is they are generating the 3rd lowest groundball rate in MLB

If/when it finally warms up and GABP starts really being GABP, their numbers are going to get worse.
 
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