James gives Cavs a shot at beating the odds
Sunday, May 21, 2006
BOB HUNTER
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With all due respect to Cavaliers coach Mike Brown and his ground-breaking take-themone-game-at-a-time theory, what were the odds of Cleveland beating the mighty Detroit Pistons four straight games?
The odds of catching a ball at a majorleague ballgame (563 to 1)?
Higher.
The odds of the earth having a catastrophic collision with an asteroid in the next 100 years (5,000 to 1)?
Higher.
The odds of becoming president (10 million to 1)?
Higher.
The odds of a person contracting mad cow disease (40 million to 1)?
Well, OK, maybe.
And then think how close they came to doing that and why. When Flip Saunders said he didn’t think the Cavs played tight in the fourth quarter during Friday’s NBA playoff game because LeBron James didn’t play tight, the Detroit Pistons coach crystallized a thought that has been percolating throughout the postseason as James has further fueled his team’s meteoric rise.
As good as the Pistons are, James puts a serious strain on the team-game philosophy that probably has been around since the original Dr. J (James Naismith) first hung those peach baskets. At one point in the fourth quarter Friday, James drove over, around and through four of the five Pistons — the fifth arrived too late — and he still scored, which makes you wonder why he even bothers with the other guys.
On the final possession of Cleveland’s 84-82 loss, James was guilty of passing the ball rather than gunning up what might have been a tying threepointer – he was fouled, anyway – and half the press corps immediately began wondering what he was thinking. Even when one of his teammates is open somewhere else, the idea that is quickly gaining favor is that even a tightly contested James’ shot is a better option than just about everything else.
Sometimes, James’ passes seem designed simply to give the other players something to do. James will start to drive to the basket, a shot opens up — when he’s doing the driving, a shot almost always opens up —and he still fires a cross-court pass to one of his teammates. During one 4½-minute stretch in the second quarter, he assisted on four of five Cleveland baskets and passed up a decent shot on every one of them.
On the other hand, it takes a team to play defense, so the notion that James could take a team to the NBA championship all by himself simply isn’t true. One man can’t guard five, and defense is mostly what has gotten the Cavs this far into the playoffs. That is where Brown and the other Cleveland players really come in; if the Cavs hadn’t bought into Brown’s defensive philosophy, this series would have been long since over.
It doesn’t matter much now, but the Cavs are only a shot or two from being in Miami for a third-round game today. As long as the odds were of the Cavs taking four straight from the team with the NBA’s best regular-season, Cleveland might have done just that if they had only been able to grab one of the four offensive rebounds the Pistons got in the final minute.
"We had the opportunity to win; they had the opportunity to win," James said. "They took advantage of it. No one thought we’d be here now and we proved them wrong. We’ll try to prove them wrong one more time and get a win on Sunday."
It won’t be easy. Since 2002, the Pistons are 11-1 in playoff closeout games, their only loss coming in Game 7 of the 2005 NBA Finals. But as grim as it looks for the Cavs, you can’t help but feel that James is the wild card that makes anything possible.
The odds of winning two games from the Pistons in the Palace at Auburn Hills may be the same at as the odds of dying from parts falling off an airplane (10 million to 1), but the Cavs have beaten odds longer than that.
What were the odds of the Cavs ever having a player as talented as LeBron James?
Bob Hunter is a sports columnist for The Dispatch.
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