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2011 Sugar Bowl Arkansas Additional Information

Buckeyeskickbuttocks

Z --> Z^2 + c
Staff member
2011 Sugar Bowl Arkansas Razorbacks Additional Info​

Coaching Staff
Head Coach:
Official School Bio - Bobby Petrino

Assistant Coaches:
Official School Bios - Assistant Coaches
Garrick McGee - Offensive Coordinator - Quarterbacks
Willy Robinson - Defensive Coordinator / Secondary
John L. Smith - Special Teams Coordinator/Outside Linebackers
Bobby Allen - Defensive Line (Tackles)
Steve Caldwell - Defensive Line (Ends)
Kris Cinkovich - Wide Receivers
Tim Horton - Running Backs/Recruiting Coordinator
Reggie Johnson - Inside Linebackers
Chris Klenakis - Offensive Line
Marty Biagi - Graduate Assistant (Defense)
Kevin Peoples - Director of High School Relations
Jason Veltkamp - Head Strength and Conditioning Coach
Dann Kabala - Director of On-Campus Recruiting/Eligibility Coordinator
Mark Robinson - Director of Football Operations
Recruiting
Incoming Recruits:
2011 Verbal Commitments

Scout.com - #6 class - 1-5*, 6-4*, 17-3*, 2-2*, 0-N/R - 3.23* average
Rivals.com - #19 class - 0-5*, 5-4*, 20-3*, 0-2*, 1-N/R - 3.12* average

Brandon Allen QB 6-2 185 Fayetteville, AR - 3*/4*
Chris Bennett TE 6-6 249 Hurst, TX - 4*/4*
Austin Beck OT 6-8 285 Nowata, OK - 3*/3*
Brey Cook OT 6-7 310 Springdale, AR - 5*/4*
Marcus Danenhauer OT 6-5 295 Bentonville, AR - 3*/3*
Demetrius Dean TE 6-4 260 Fayetteville, AR - 3*/3*
Kelvin Fisher S 6-0 180 Gilbert, AZ - 4*/3*
Quinta Funderburk WR 6-3 200 Chesapeake, VA - 4*/3*
Rohan Gaines S 6-0 180 Bainbridge, GA - 2*/3*
Tyler Gilbert LB 6-3 245 Charlotte, NC - 2*/N-R - PREP
Brock Haman TE 6-3 230 Scottsdale, AZ - 3*/3*
Alonzo Highsmith LB 6-2 215 Phoeniz, AZ - 3*/3* - JUCO
DeMarcus Hodge DT 6-1 295 Monroe, LA - 3*/3*
Darrell Kelly-Thomas DE 6-3 220 Lufkin, TX - 3*/3*
Davyon McKinney WR 6-2 170 Forrest City, AR - 3*/3*
Keante Minor WR 6-2 194 E. St. Louis, IL - 4*/3*
Tevin Mitchel CB 6-0 175 Mansfield, TX - 4*/4*
Grady Ollison DT 6-4 230 Malvern, AR - 3*/3*
Jervohnte Riles TE 6-4 211 Bessemer, AL - 3*/3*
Rodrick Ryles S 6-1 185 Orlando, FL - 3*/3*
Jashaud Sims S 6-5 190 Dickinson, TX - 3*/3*
Jared Singletary CB 5-10 175 Green Cove Springs, FL - 3*/3*
Mitch Smothers OT 6-5 290 Springdale, AR - 4*/3*
Robert Thomas DT 6-3 325 Coffeyville, KS - 3*/3* - JUCO
Marquel Wade WR 5-11 180 New Berlin, NY - 3*/4* - PREP
Kody Walker RB 6-2 225 Jefferson City, MO - 3*/3*

2010 Recruiting Class

Scout.com - #35 class - 1-4*, 17-3*, 7-2* - 2.76* average
Rivals.com - #49 class - 3-4*, 18-3*, 4-2* - 2.96* average

Calvin Barnett DT 6-3 305 Tulsa, OK - 4*/4*
Jatashun Beachum DT 6-2 265 Dallas, TX - 3*/3*
Eric Bennett CB 5-10 170 Tulsa, OK - 3*/3*
LaCraig Brown DE 6-4 275 Monroe, LA - 3*/3*
Eduardo Camara K 5-8 160 Cedar Hill, TX - 2*/2*
Daunte Carr S 6-2 195 Gainesville, GA - 3*/3*
Luke Charpentier OT 6-4 290 River Ridge, LA - 2*/3*
Cam Feldt OG 6-4 295 Pilot Point, TX - 3*/4*
Courtney Gaston LB 6-5 225 Fort Gibson, OK - 3*/3*
Brad Hefley LB 6-4 251 Joplin, MO - 3*/3*
Jayvontee Herndon WR 6-1 185 Jacksonville, FL - 2*/2*
Zach Hocker K 6-0 170 Russellville, AR - 2*/2*
Julian Horton WR 6-1 185 Norcorss, GA - 3*/3*
Maudrecus Humphrey WR 6-2 185 Hoover, AL - 3*/3*
Jeremiah Jackson DT 6-2 260 Hoover, AL - 3*/3*
Bryan Jones DT 6-2 310 Junction City, AR - 3*/4*
Jarrett Lake LB 6-2 205 Jenks, OK - 3*/3*
Braylon Mitchell RB 6-2 215 Heber Springs, AR - 3*/3*
Denton Simek OT 6-6 270 Prague, OK - 2*/3*
Chris Smith LB 6-1 219 Mount Ulla, NC - 3*/3*
Darrell Smith S 6-2 185 Port St. Joe, FL - 2*/3*
Alan Turner S 5-11 185 Junction City, AR - 2*/2*
Garrett Uekman TE 6-4 235 Little Rock, AR - 3*/3*
Marquel Wade 5-10 180 Jacksonville, FL - 3*/3* - See 2011
Jacoby Walker 6-1 197 Houston, TX - 3*/3*


2009 Recruiting Class

Scout.com - #20 class - 1-5*, 5-4*, 13-3*, 12-2*, 1-N/R - 2.78* average
Rivals.com - #16 class - 1-5*, 9-4*, 20-3*, 1-2*, 1-N/R - 3.25* average

Alvin Bailey OG 6-4 300 Broken Arrow, OK - 2*/3*
Neal Barlow WR 6-6 180 Little Rock, AR - 3*/3*
Colby Berna OG 6-4 275 Fayetteville, AR - 4*/4*
Shauntez Bruce OG 6-4 290 Tallahassee, FL - 2*/3*
Ryan Calendar DE 6-8 220 Caddo Mills, TX - 2*/3*
Rudell Crim CB 6-0 190 El Dorado, KS - 3*/4* - JUCO
Knile Davis RB 6-1 210 Missouri, City, TX - 4*/4*
Caleb Evans DE 6-4 265 San Marcos, CA - 2*/3* - JUCO
Briton Forester P 5-10 175 San Marcos, CA - N-R/2* - JUCO
David Gordon CB 6-1 180 Tulsa, OK - 3*/4*
Cobi Hamilton WR 6-3 198 Texarkana, TX - 3*/3*
John Henderson DT 6-0 309 Visalia, CA - 2*/N-R - JUCO
Ricky Hughey DE 6-6 225 Lewisville, AR - 2*/3*
DeQuinta Jones DE 6-5 305 Bastrop, LA - 3*/4*
Anthony Leon S 6-3 230 Visalia, CA - 4*/4*- JUCO
Kevin Lowery DT 6-3 285 Gainesville, FL - 2*/3*
Brandon Mitchell QB 6-3 175 Amite, LA - 2*/3*
Jerry Mitchell S 6-2 195 Manseville, LA - 2*/3*
Austin Moss LB 6-3 210 Rockwall, TX - 3*/4*
Colton Nash DE 6-6 230 Sulphur Springs, TX - 2*/3*
Anthony Oden OT 6-8 300 Chatham, VA - 4*/4* - PREP
Ross Rasner LB 6-1 200 Waco, TX - 2*/3*
Lance Ray WR 6-2 200 Havana, FL - 3*/3*
Andru Stewart S 5-10 192 Visalia, CA - 3*/3* - JUCO
Travis Swanson OG 6-5.5 271 Kingwood, TX - 3*/3*
Austin Tate TE 6-6 225 Harrison, AR - 3*/3*
Robert Thomas DT 6-0 300 Muskogee, OK - 2*/3*
Zhamal Thomas OG 6-5 335 Corsicana, TX - 3*/3* - JUCO
Terrell Williams S 6-4 220 Tulsa, OK - 3*/3*
Turell Williams RB 6-2 215 West Helena, AR - 3*/3*
Ronnie Wingo RB 6-1 212 St. Louis, MO - 4*/4*
Darius Winston CB 6-0 170 West Helena, AR - 5*/5*


2008 Recruiting Class

Scout.com - #24 class - 3-4*, 13-3*, 9-2*, 1-N/R - 2.69* average
Rivals.com - #36 class - 6-4*, 10-3*, 10-2*, 0-N/R - 2.85* average


Joe Adams CB 6-1 175 Noth Little Rock, AR - 4*/4*

Lavunce Askew DT 6-2.5 280 Camden, AR - 3*/3*
Khiry Battle RB 6-1 205 Dacula, GA - 3*/3*
Greg Childs WR 6-4 195 Warren, AR - 3*/3*
Brian Christopher DE 6-4 240 Camden, AR - 2*/2*
De'Anthony Curtis RB 5-9 198 Camden, AR - 4*/4*
Alfred Davis DT 6-1.5 288 College Park, GA - 2*/2*
Austin Eoff OG 6-5 310 Fort Smith, AR - 3*/2*
Elton Ford LB 6-0 200 Lithonia, GA - 3*/2*
Albert Gary RB 5-10 176 Citra, FL - 2*/2*
Chris Gragg WR 6-2 195 Warren, AR - 3*/2*
Matt Hall OT 6-9 306 Russellville, AR - 3*/4*
Dennis Johnson RB 5-8 180 Texarkana, AR - 2*/3*
Basmine Jones CB 6-0 195 Warren, AR - 2*/2*
Matt Marshall WR 6-2 210 Camden, NJ - N-R/2*
Jerico Nelson RB 5-10 198 Destrehan, LA - 3*/4*
Anthony Oden OT 6-8 280 Dayton, OH - 2*/2* - SEE 2009
Chris Raggett WR 5-11 190 Beaumont, TX - 2*/2*
Jelani Smith LB 6-1 210 Abbeville, LA - 3*/3*
Zach Stadther DT 6-2 275 Noth Little Rock, AR - 2*/3*
Tramain Thomas WR 6-1 175 Winnie, TX - 2*/3*
Cruz Williams WR 6-4 206 Little Rock. AR - 3*/3*
Tyler Wilson QB 6-3 185 Greenwood, AR - 3*/4*
Jarius Wright WR 5-11 175 Warren, AR - 4*/4*
Tenarius Wright LB 6-2 221 Memphis, TN - 3*/3*
Jim Youngblood QB 6-3 213 Camden, AR - 3*/3*


2007 Recruiting Class

Scout.com - #34 class - 3-4*, 15-3*, 9-2* - 2.78* average
Rivals.com - #31 class - 4-4*, 17-3*, 6-2* - 2.93* average

Damario Ambrose DE 6-4 240 Mobile, AL - 2*/3*
Brandon Barnett RB 5-9 190 El Dorado, KS - 3*/3* - JUCO
Jake Bequette DE 6-5 255 Little Rock, AR - 3*/3*
Freddy Burton LB 6-2 185 Morrilton, AR - 3*/3*
Adrian Campbell DT 6-4 240 Richardson, TX - 3*/3*
Joe Chaisson QB 6-3 180 Beaumont, TX - 3*/3*
Grant Cook OG 6-6 280 Jonesboro, AR - 3*/3*
Kareem Crowell DT 6-4 320 Chatham, VA - 3*/4*
Tim Dial LB 6-3 210 Jenks, OK - 3*/2*
Nathan Dick QB 6-4 200 Allen, TX - 2*/3*
Jerry Franklin S 6-3 215 Marion, AR - 3*/3*
Juwan Franklin CB 6-0 185 Dunnellon, FL - 2*/3*
Grant Freeman TE 6-7 244 Paris, AR - 4*/4*
Greg Gatson WR 5-11 160 Germantown, TN - 2*/2*
Wade Grayson OG 6-5 265 Harrison, AR - 3*/3*
Bret Harris S 5-11 180 Irving, TX - 3*/3*
Michael Harris RB 5-10 191 Tula, OK - 2*/3*
Patrick Jones DT 6-2 290 Lovejoy, GA - 2*/2*
Brandon Lampkin TE 6-4 240 Tucker, GA - 3*/3*
Walner Leandre S 6-0 216 Brenham, TX - 3*/3* - JUCO
Jermaine Love LB 5-11.5 220 Garland, TX - 3*/4*
Isaac Madison CB 5-10 180 Dallas, TX - 2*/2*
Seth Oxner C 6-4 280 Monticello, AR - 4*/3*
Rhett Richardson C 6-2 215 Rockwall, TX - 2*/2*
Alex Tejada K 6-0.5 190 Springdale, AR - 2*/2*
Crosby Tuck WR 6-0 185 Springdale, AR - 3*/3*
David Williams TE 6-2 243 Little Rock, AR - 4*/4*

2006 Recruiting Class

Scout.com - #30 class - 1-5*, 2-4*, 10-3*, 13-2* - 2.85* average
Rivals.com - #27 class - 1-5*, 4-4*, 14-3*, 7-2* - 2.96* average

Fred Barnett DT 6-1 310 Athens, TX - 3*/4* - JUCO
Ramon Broadway CB 5-9 174 Shreveport, LA - 2*/2*
Ben Cleveland TE 6-4.5 235 Springdale, AR - 3*/3*
London Crawford WR 6-2 186 Mobile, AL - 4*/3*
Adrian Davis S 6-4 195 Rosenberg, TX - 2*/2*
Wendel Davis LB 6-1 205 Sweeny, TX - 3*/3*
Ray Dominguez OL 6-5 250 Bainbridge, GA - 2*/2*
Allen Gardner WR 6-6 200 Dallas, TX - 2*/2*
Chip Gregory LB 6-2 208 Carrollton, TX - 2*/3*
Jim Hart OL 6-5 300 Pocahontas, AR - 3*/4*
Matt Hewitt S 6-3 205 Alfred, NY - 2*/2*
Demarcus Love OL 6-3.5 270 Dallas, TX - 3*/3*

Mitch Mustain QB 6-3 200 Springdale, AR - 5*/5*
Andrew Norman WR 6-1 170 Springdale, AR - 3*/3*
Jerell Norton WR 5-11 165 Cedar Hill, TX - 2*/3*
Ryan Powers LB 6-1 200 Tanner, Al - 2*/2*
Carlton Salters WR 6-0.5 185 Tallahassee, FL - 3*/3*
Donnell Sanders DE 6-2.5 206 College Park, GA - 2*/3*
Malcolm Sheppard DT 6-3 260 Bainbridge, Ga - 2*/3*
Van Stumon LB 6-2 220 North Little Rock, AR - 2*/4*
Chris Wade DE 6-6 248 Miami, OK - 3*/3* - JUCO
Marques Wade WR 6-3 185 Lithonia, GA - 2*/2*
John West S 6-3 190 Wahpeton, ND - 3*/3* - JUCO
Torian Wilkins RB 5-11 185 Pattison, TX - 3*/3*
Damian Williams WR 6-0 177 Springdale, AR - 4*/4*
Dee Williams WR 6-3.5 215 Ashdown, AR - 2*/3*

Name Pos Ht Wt Hometown - Scout/Rivals rating
Bold indicates starter

Behind the Numbers
On the surface, the 2011 Sugar Bowl appears to be a study in contrasts. A team predicated on offense vs. a team that relies mostly on stout defense. A passing team supported by a good rushing attack vs. a rushing team with a beast of a lead fullback and an underrated passing game. A traditional drop-back quarterback vs. a dual-threat 21st century signal caller.

Certainly there are plenty of contrasts to study. But when you look behind the numbers, the similarities are worth our attention.

A Few Similarities

For starters, in spite of their different styles, both teams rank 2nd in their respective conferences in Scoring Offense. In several other statistical categories the teams are adjacent to one another in national ranking. Among these:
  • Interceptions:
    • Buckeyes have thrown 13
    • Razorbacks have thrown 14
  • First Downs:
    • Buckeyes have gained 269
    • Razorbacks have gained 268
  • 3rd Down Defense:
    • Buckeyes ranked 5th
    • Razorbacks ranked 6th
Whether it's producing points or squandering opportunities with interception; whether producing first downs or getting the opponent off the field on third down; Ohio State and Arkansas have in some ways generated remarkably similar results. Not the least of these similarities is that they have both played their way into the Sugar Bowl. Yet the game will be decided by how these teams are different, and here, even the similarities can illuminate some of the differences.

For example, both teams have exactly the same national rank in Scoring Defense as they do in Turnover Margin. The difference? The Buckeyes are ranked 3rd in both, the Razorbacks 43d.
Many Differences
While the difference in defense and turnover margin is probably most important; how those numbers were compiled is illuminating.

The difference in turnover margin is striking considering the similarity in interceptions thrown, even more so when you consider that Arkansas has recovered 3 more fumbles than have the Buckeyes. The difference comes in the ball-hawking of the Silver Bullet defense and the strong hands of the Buckeye ball-carriers.

In spite of a rash of injuries in the defensive backfield, Ohio State has intercepted 7 more passes than the Razorbacks have. As impressive as the depleted backfield has been, they have nothing on the offense. The Buckeyes lead the nation in fumbles lost, having relinquished only 2 for the entire season. All of this suggests a reasonable expectation of a +1 or +2 for the Buckeyes with respect to turnovers.

As for the defense, the story is how similar the Razorback defense is to their own offense, while the Silver Bullets have an identity all their own. Just as the Arkansas offense is much better at passing than rushing, so is the Arkansas defense better at defending the pass than the run. The Razorbacks rank 65th in rushing offense and 69th in rushing defense, which is 62 spots below their passing offense and 53 behind their passing defense, respectively.

The Buckeye offense is the opposite of the Hogs, ranking 41 places higher in rushing than in passing (though passing efficiency is ranked 11th). The Silver Bullets though, show no such tendency.

The Buckeyes are 4th in the country in Rushing Defense, 4th in Pass Defense, 4th in Pass Efficiency Defense. This adds up to 2nd in Total Defense and 3rd in Scoring defense.
The Match-Up
Dimensions

This then, seems to be the real difference between the teams. The difference in the nature of each squad makes this appear to be a match-up problem for the Razorbacks.

Arkansas' offense is not quite as one-dimensional as their statistics suggest, especially since the emergence of Knile Davis, but they still offer the Buckeye defense a tendency against which to game-plan. The Silver Bullets offer no such one-handedness to the Razorback offensive staff.

Conversely, both the Buckeye offense and the Razorback defense have tendencies, but these play into the Buckeyes hands. While Arkansas struggles against the run, this is Ohio State's strength.

From this perspective then, the match-up advantage appears to be distinctly in favor of the Buckeyes then. This is seen more easily when one looks behind the traditional numbers. Before we get there however, let's take a look at another facet of the match-up.

Big Plays

Some Buckeye fans might be concerned about big plays in this game. The Silver Bullets seemed to be more susceptible to them in comparison with previous years, and the Arkansas offense has produced a lengthy highlight reel full of long gains. Is the Ohio State defense in trouble? Can the Buckeye offense keep up?

First, let's define big plays as runs of 14 or more yards and passes of 20 or more yards. By that definition, the following table shows each team's big plays per game vs. FBS teams.

BigPlays-Sugar.jpg


While Ohio State continues to show remarkable balance, the Razorbacks look even more one dimension where Big Plays are concerned. Defensively the Buckeyes did have a disappointing year by their own lofty standards, though clearly superior to the Arkansas stop troops.

Even more interesting though is what lies behind those numbers. The following tables break down the big plays further.

BigPlayDetail-Sugar.jpg


What's striking about the defensive numbers is not the 62.73 yards that Arkansas gives up on big rushing plays on average; but rather how much of that was gained by teams with running quarterbacks. Cam Newton was not the only quarterback to run roughshod over the Razorbacks. While Terrelle Pryor is likely to add his name to the list, it is not the Buckeye offense that needs to concern itself with big plays.

Not only does Ryan Mallett produce more big plays through the air, but his big plays are bigger... nearly 5 yards per play bigger. This is a large disparity that should not be dismissed. Just as important though, is what happens on the plays that don't go for big gains. Here, the Buckeyes' balance comes into play.

Again, the common theme is the superior Buckeye running game, offensive balance and vastly superior defense across the board hoping to overcome a vastly superior Arkansas passing attack. But the plays that don't go for big gains shine new light on the match-up. Not only do the Buckeyes rush for more than half a yard per play that does not go for at least 14, they also actually outgain the Hogs on pass plays that go for fewer than 20 yards.

The Key

The above data strongly suggest that the struggle to limit Mallett's big play arm will determine the winner of this game. This is only part of the story however. The rest is revealed when we examine when in the course of the games the Razorbacks produced their big plays.

In 11 games vs. FBS opponents, Arkansas produced 85 big plays (exactly the same number that Ohio State produced in 12 games vs. FBS opponents). The key here is that 57 of Arkansas' 85 big plays came in the first half. In fact, a surprising number of big plays came on the first or second play of possessions occurring early in their games.

For example, in their game vs. Alabama, the first two plays of their first possession of the first quarter were a 31 yard pass and a 43 yard pass. They inverted the order in the second quarter, starting their first possession of that stanza with a 43 yard pass followed by a 31 yarder. Arkansas had ZERO big plays in the second half vs. the Crimson Tide.

That last point is key: The Alabama game was part of a 4 game stretch in which Ryan Mallett did not throw a big play pass in the 2nd half. Pryor had no such stretch this season.

The real key to the game is now clear. If the Buckeyes can weather the early big plays, they should prevail.
Differential Statistical Analysis
Traditional numbers are fine as far as they go; but how does one account for the difference in schedule? One way to do it is to record not just the raw numbers posted, but the difference between your numbers and the other teams that faced your opponents. This is the basis for Differential Statistical Analysis (DSA).

As DSA compares a team not to its opponents, but to the other teams their opponents played, its primary weakness is that quality of conference can skew results. After ten years of DSA, this has shown dramatically as teams from the MAC and other lesser conferences struggle in bowl games. For the Automatic Qualifying conferences however, there has been very little difference. While some disdain those from "lesser" conferences, DSA has over the years shown the difference between conferences at the top to be a tiny fraction of what the lazy parrots in the media continually repeat.

The one question this leaves is whether to use subtraction or division (or a combination of the two) to compare each team's statistics to those compiled by the other teams their opponents played. While subtraction was used early in the process, it sometimes had the unfortunate effect of producing predictions that were negative. This was problematic, especially for scoring defense (as good as the Silver Bullets are, they've never held a team to negative points).

An example will help to explain the process. Ohio State has surrendered 94.33 rushing yards per game in 2010. Against all other FBS teams (FCS games are discarded for DSA purposes), Ohio State's opponents have gained 175.52 yards rushing per game. The Differential Rushing Defense for the Buckeyes is simply the ratio between the two: 0.537. To put it another way, Ohio State gives up only 53.7% as many yards as their opponents typically gain on the ground.

What follows are tables showing traditional stats (with FCS games discarded), and tables showing DSA. The final table shows the DSA composites, which will be defined later.

2010SugarBowlDSA.jpg



There are three major points to note about the above numbers.

The first is that the Arkansas offense is better than the raw numbers suggest. Most people who watch the games already knew that, but this is an illustration that DSA shows things that traditional numbers don't. That Differential Scoring Offense of 1.549 is stout.

The second point is the overwelming superiority of the Ohio State defense. While Arkansas is shown to be better on offense, the gap between the Silver Bullets and the Razorback defense is vast. It is worth noting that as all of Arkansas' defensive numbers are less than 1.0; their defense is, by definition, above average. Nevertheless, the Buckeye numbers are elite. The previously mentioned 0.537 for rushing defense is actually a disappointing figure by Buckeye standards, yet few teams have had a number that good in any year of the past decade. Similarly, the Differential Scoring Defense of 0.485 is spectacular.

Finally we have the composite numbers. DYC is the Differential Yardage Composite and is determined by dividing the Differential Total Offense by Differential Total Defense. This leaves a single number that indicates how powerful each team is in terms of moving the ball and preventing the other team from doing the same. DSC is the Differential Scoring Composite. Any number above 1.0 is above average. Ohio State's DSC being over 3.0 shows them to be an elite team. Most teams of the past decade with a DSC of 3.0 or better have been in the National Championship discussion well into the latter part of the season.

Predictions
As some of you already know; and as others of you have already guessed. the traditional stats can be combined with the differential stats to provide an "expectation" for what is to happen in the game. For example, Arkansas typically gains 486.55 yards against FBS teams. Ohio State holds teams to 64.7% of their average yards gained. Multiplying the two gives us an expectation of 314.73 yards (the numbers shown by themselves provide a slightly different result which contains rounding error). Ohio State's average defense can be combined with Arkansas' Differential Offense to provide a different "prediction". Predictions from both methods are shown below for both teams.

2010SugarBowlPrediction.jpg

Conclusion
Last year, post-bowl DSA showed the Big Ten to have been much better than the media outlets were saying. It is probably only a coincidence that these were the same media outlets jilted by the establishment of the Big Ten Network.

Who knows, maybe post-bowl DSA will show the SEC to have been better than everyone thinks, in spite of disppointing years for Alabama, Florida, Georgia and Tennessee. It seems doubtful however that the difference could overcome what DSA reveals. Plain and simple; if the Buckeyes show up, they are the better team.
The Lighter Side
This section of the preview is typically reserved for jokes and such. There's no way the Lighter Side can compete with the joke that is the NCAA. As a result, we won't even try.
Go Bucks, beat Arkansas.
Traditions & Opponent Perspective
"Razorbacks" - Prior to bieng known as the Razorbacks the Arkansas football team was known as "the Cardinal" the team's primary color. That changed in 1909 when then Coach Hugo Bezdek called his players "a wild band of Razorback hogs," after guiding his team to a 16-0 victory over LSU. The Razorback is characterized by a ridge back and tenacious, wild fighting ability. This nickname became increasingly popular and the student body and the nickname was officially adopted as a replacement to "Cardinal" in 1910.
Hugo Bezdek - A former Coach at Arkansas, Bezdek is held in high regard. After learning the game from Amos Alonzo Stagg at University of Chicago where he was an All-American fullback, Bezdek took his first coaching job was at University of Oregon in 1906, before arriving in Fayetteville in 1908. He coached Arkansas until 1912, returning to Oregon in 1913. He was coach for Penn State from 1918 to 1929, and was the athletic director for the Nittany Lions until 1936. Bezdek is the only person to be the manager of a Major League Baseball franchise, the Pittsburgh Pirates (1917 to 1919), and the head coach of an NFL franchise, the Cleveland Rams (1938). He is a member of the Collegiate Football Hall of Fame.

Woooooooo. Pig. Sooie! - According to the official site, a properly executed Hog Call is composed of three "calls." First the caller should slowly raise his or her arms from the knees to above the head during the "Woo." Traditionalists say this should be executed for eight seconds. The fingers should be wiggled and the "Woo" should build in volume and pitch as the arms rise. Upon completion of the "Woo," both arms are brought straight down with fists clinched as if executing a chin-up while yelling, "Pig." The right arm is extended up and out with the "Sooie."

Think that's it? Oh no. A full Hog Call requires two more individual calls, followed by a yell of "RAZORBACKS!" while pumping the right arm after the third "Sooie."

So, in order, the full Hog Call is:
Woooooooo. Pig. Sooie!
Woooooooo. Pig. Sooie!
Woooooooo. Pig. Sooie!
Razorbacks!

Fight Song - Written in 1920 the song has been "borrowed" by other colleges, though the lyrics remain unique to Arkansas
ARKANSAS FIGHT
Hit that line! Hit that line!
Keep on going!
Take that ball right
down the field!
Give a cheer. Rah! Rah!
Never fear. Rah! Rah!
Arkansas will never yield!
On your toes, Razorbacks,
to the finish,
Carry on with all your might!
For it's A-A-A-R-K-A-N-S-A-S
for Arkansas!
Fight! Fight! Fi-i-i-ight!
Alma Mater - Inspired by the Ozark Mountain sunrise as it illuminated Old Main, and written in the early 1900s by Brodie Payne and Henry Tovey, the Arkansas Alma Mater is as follows:
Pure as the dawn on the brow of thy beauty,
Watches thy Soul
from the mountains of God.
Over the fates of thy children departed,
Far from the land
where their footsteps have trod.
Beacon of hope in the ways dreary lighted,
Pride of our hearts that are loyal and true.
From those who adore unto one who
adores us,
Mother of Mothers, we sing unto you.
Tusk III - While Arkansas has a carpet clad mascot the "real" mascot is a live wild hog. Native to the Arkansas wilderness the Razorback bears no resemblance to the typical barnyard pig of today. An untamed razorback hog is a lean and ill-tempered animal which would fight, and defeated virtually anything that crossed its path, man or beast. The Razorback has been lauded as "the most intelligent of all the hogs and is likewise the most courageous." Except for rare sightings in the Australian Outback, the Razorback only exists today in the form of Arkansas' players and fans. A Russian boar currently serves as the official live mascot. He resides near campus, and attends all Arkansas home football games.

The tradition of a live mascot prior to Tusk dates back to the 1960s with a series of hogs that have proudly represented Arkansas. In addition to appearances at games, they have gained a reputation for fierce behavior.

Tusk III is the brother of recent mascot, Tusk II. The boars are cared for by the Stokes family of Dardanelle, Tusk traveled to home events and special appearances for the Razorbacks. A legacy program is underway to ensure future Tusks.

Former mascot "Big Red III" escaped from an exhibit near Eureka Springs in the summer of 1977. After a rampage across the countryside Big Red III was gunned down by an irate farmer. Another mascot, Ragnar, was a wild hog that had been captured in south Arkansas by Leola farmer Bill Robinson. Before dying in 1978 of unknown causes, Ragnar had killed a coyote, a 450-pound domestic pig and seven rattlesnakes.

The Razorback Band - The "Best in Sight and Sound" is comprised of 325 members. In a year, the band will perform before over a million people, including the fans who regularly pack Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, Arkansas, War Memorial Stadium in Little Rock, Arkansas, and Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, Arkansas. Like Ohio State, band members must audition to earn a spot in the band.

Spirit Squads - Support for the team is provided by two spirit squads; Cheerleaders and Pom.

Cheerleaders are charged with the duty to lead the cheers; to raise the level of fan support for intercollegiate athletics; to lead in positive local support for the team; to project that support and solicit that support from Razorback fans and to participate in the athletic activity known as cheerleading by performing partner stunts, motions, pyramids, and gymnastics.

Pom squads, on the other hand, are charged with the duty to support the cheerleaders as they lead cheers; to raise the level of fan support for intercollegiate athletics; to lead in positive local support for the team; to project that support and solicit that support from Razorback fans and to support the cheerleaders in cheerleading activity and to perform the activity known as dance; to perfect this athletic activity for keeping the crowd attention/direction focused on the field/floor where the intercollegiate activity is taking place, and for entertainment purposes during pre-game, time-outs, halftimes, and other appropriate times and for competitive purposes.

Rivalry Games
Arkansas v. Ole Miss
First played in 1908, the Razorbacks and Rebels played sporadically in the following years. From 1940-47 and 1952-62 the teams met on an annual basis. The Razorbacks and Rebels also met twice in the Sugar Bowl, once in 1963 and again in 1970. Since 1981, the two teams have played each other annually in football and as division rivals since 1992. In 2001 Arkansas and Ole Miss played a 7OT game won by Arkansas 58-56. The game is tied for the most overtimes in one contest. The Arkansas head coach in that game, Houston Nutt, now coaches Ole Miss. Arkansas leads the series 30-26-1.

Arkansas v. LSU

The game is played every season the day after Thanksgiving and the winner of the contest takes home the "Golden Boot" - a gold trophy created in 1996 and having the shape of Arkansas and Louisiana. Recently, the game has had important SEC Western Division implications. A few notable contests: In 2002, the game winner would represent the Western Division in the SEC Championship Game. Called the "Miracle on Markham" Arkansas won on a last second touchdown pass by Matt Jones. In 2006, the Tigers snapped the SEC West champion Razorbacks' 10-game winning streak, 26-31. In 2007, Arkansas beat top-ranked LSU in triple overtime, 50-48, giving them their first win in Baton Rouge since 1993 (LSU remained "undefeated in regulation" according to Head Man, Les Miles. LSU did go on to beat Ohio State becoming the first 2 loss BCS Champion), and their first victory over a top-ranked team since beating Texas in 1982. LSU currently leads the series 34-20-2.

Arkansas v. Texas

After their departure from the SWC, the Arkansas-Texas game has not been regularly played. Nonetheless, the Longhorns are still considered by some to be the Razorbacks' top rival. A significant game was played in 1969. Known as "the Game of the Centry" or "The Big Shootout" the Longhorns came back from a 14-0 deficit after three quarters to win 15-14. The Longhorns would go on to win the Cotton Bowl Classic and be selected National Champions. Texas leads the series 56-21-0.

Arkansas v. Texas A&M.

Like Texas, the A&M rivalry ceased to be an annual affair after Arkansas left the SWC in 1991. First played in 1903, the two met annually from 1934 through 1991. In 2008 the schools agreed to renew the rivalry. Beginning in 2009, the schools are agreed to play for at least 10 consecutive years with options allowing that the game be inked for 30 consecutive seasons. Arkansas won the 2010 contest 24-17 and now leads the series 40-24-3.
Historical Data

Arkansas Razorbacks (Fayetteville, Arkansas) Founded in 1871
Football 1st Season: 1894
Stadium: Frank Broyles Field at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium (Fayetteville, Arkansas)
AT&T Field at War Memorial Stadium (Little Rock, Arkansas)
Constructed: 1938 (expanded in 2001) (War Memorial was constructed in 1948)
Seating Capacity: 76,000 (War Memorial: 55,000)
Playing Surface: SportsExe PowerBlade HP (War Memorial: Field Turf)
Conference: Southeastern Conference (since 1990, Formerly Southwestern Conference)
Colors: Cardinal & White
Mascot: Razorbacks (Tusk III)
College Classification: D-IA (or equivalent) since 1937 (first year of NCAA classification)
Conference Championships: 13 SWC Titles: 1936, 1946, 1954, 1959, 1960, 1961, 1964, 1965, 1968, 1975, 1979, 1988, 1989. Also won SEC West Division crowns in 1995, 2002, and 2006, but are 0-3 in SEC Title Games
All-Americans: 46 (20 consensus)
College Hall-of-Famers: 12 (including former Ohio State coaches Francis Schmidt and Lou Holtz)
Pro Hall-of-Famers: 2 (Dan Hampton, Lance Alworth)
Award Winners: Doak Walker Award: Darren McFadden - 2006, 2007; Walter Camp Award: Darren McFadden - 2007; Dave Rimington Trophy: Jonathan Luigs - 2007; Outland Trophy: William "Bud" Brooks - 1954, Loyd Phillips - 1966; Mackey (TE) Award: D.J. Williams -2010; Walter Camp Coach of the Year: Lou Holtz - 1977; Eddie Robinson Coach of the Year: Lou Holtz - 1977
National Championships: 1 - 1964 (FWAA, HAF)
Records
All Time: 668-453-40 (.593)
Bowl Games: 12-22-3 (.365) Most recently a 20-17 OT win over East Carolina in the 2009 Liberty Bowl
All Time vs the Big Ten: 1-5 (.167) versus teams currently in the Big Ten, including 0-3 in bowl games
All Time vs the Ohio State Buckeyes: 0-0-0 (.000) First meeting
Coach's Record: Bobby Petrino, 2008-present, 23-4-0 (.621), all-time 64-23 (.736)

2010 Season: 10-2-0 (.833)
Sep 04 - vs Tennessee Tech, W 44-3
Sep 11 - vs Louisiana-Monroe, W 31-7
Sep 18 - @ Georgia, W 31-24
Sep 25 - vs Alabama, L 24-20
Oct 09 - vs Texas A&M, W 24-17
Oct 16 - @ Auburn, L 65-43
Oct 23 - vs Mississippi, W 38-24
Oct 30 - vs Vanderbilt, W 49-14
Nov 06 - @ South Carolina, W 41-20
Nov 13 - vs UTEP, W 58-21
Nov 20 - @ Mississippi State, W 38-31 2OT
Nov 27 - vs LSU, W 31-23

2011 Schedule
Sep 03 - vs Missouri St
Sep 10 - vs New Mexico
Sep 17 - vs Troy
Sep 24 - at Alabama
Oct 01 - vs Texas A&M (at Arlington, TX)
Oct 08 - vs Auburn
Oct 15 - bye
Oct 22 - at Ole Miss
Oct 29 - at Vanderbilt
Nov 05 - vs South Carolina
Nov 12 - vs Tennessee
Nov 19 - vs Mississippi St
Nov 26 - at LSU
Links
Official Sites:
Official School Site - The University of Arkansas
Official Alumni Site - The University of Arkansas - Alumni
Student Newspaper - The Arkansas Traveler
Official Athletic Site - The Arkansas Razorbacks
Official Conference Site - Southeast Conference

Message Boards & Team Pages:
Message Boards - Hogville (Independent)
Message Boards - ESPNU
Message Boards - HawgsIllustrated (Scout)
Message Boards - HawgSports (Rivals)
Blog - RazorBloggers
Blog - Arkansas Expats
Blog - WholeHogSports
Blog - The SlopHouse
Team Page - NCAA
Team Page - ESPN
Team Page - USA Today
Team Page - Fox Sports
Team Page - Sporting News
Team Page - CBS Sportsline
Team Page - CNN/SI
Team Page - Yahoo Sports
Team Page - Covers

Local News Sources:
NWAOnline - Local News
Little Rock Democrat-Gazette - Local News
ABC - KHOG (Fayetteville)
CBS - KTHV (Little Rock)
Fox - KLRT (Little Rock)
NBC - KARK (Little Rock)

Team Previews and Breakdowns:
2010 Spring Guide (PDF) - ArkansasRazorbacks.com
2010 Schedule/Results - ArkansasRazorbacks.com
2010 Guide - ArkansasRazorbacks.com
2011 Sugar Bowl Guide - ArkansasRazorbacks.com
2010 Roster - ArkansasRazorbacks.com
2010 Coaching Staff - ArkansasRazorbacks.com
Fan Guide - ArkansasRazorbacks.com
History and Team Records (PDF) - ArkansasRazorbacks.com
News Releases - ArkansasRazorbacks.com
2010 Arkansas Razorbacks Football Preview - CFN
2010 Arkansas Razorbacks Football Preview - Offense - CFN
2010 Arkansas Razorbacks Football Preview - Defense - CFN
2010 Arkansas Razorbacks Football Preview - Recruiting - CFN
2010 Arkansas Razorbacks Football Preview - The Inquisitor
2010 Arkansas Razorbacks Football Preview - XTRA Point Football
2010 Arkansas Razorbacks Football Preview - NationalChamps.net

SEC Conference Previews and Breakdowns:
2010 SEC Only Stats - SEC.org
2010 SEC Stats - SEC.org
Composite Schedule - SEC.org
SEC Bowls Previews - SEC.org
2010 SEC Preview - CFN
2010 Unit Rankings - CFN
2010 QB Rankings - CFN
2010 SEC Schedules & Predictions - CFN
2010 SEC Preseason All-SEC Team - CFN
2010 SEC Team-by-Team Looks - CFN

B10 Conference Previews and Breakdowns:
2010 Big Ten Prospectus - Big Ten
2010 Big Ten Media Guides - Big Ten
2010 Big Ten Composite Schedule - Big Ten
2010 Big Ten Statistics - BigTen
2010 Big Ten Weekly Releases - BigTen
2010 Big Ten Weekly Results - BigTen
2010 CFN Big Ten Preview Part 1 - CFN
2010 CFN Big Ten Preview Part 2 - CFN
2010 CFN Preseason All-Big Ten Team - CFN
2010 CFN Preseason Unit Preview - CFN
2010 Big Ten Football Preview - CollegeSports-Fans
2010 Big Ten Football Preview - College Football Poll

Sugar Bowl Info and Previews
All State Sugar Bowl - Official Site
All State Sugar Bowl - How to get tickets
Preview - BleacherReport
Preview - Circle Change
Preview - GoNewOrleans
Preview - Tony's Picks
Preview - SaturdayDownSouth
Preview - ESPN
Preview - Sportfi

Note: Statistical data was complied using a variety of sources, including:
Stassen (Chris Stassen) - Data
College Football Data Warehouse - Data
American College Football-RSFC (Dave Wilson) - Data
D1A Football (Formerly WALJ 10 College Football) - Data
 
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