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Ohio State at Indiana, Saturday, March 8, 2025, 3:45 PM on CBS

ScriptOhio

Everybody is somebody else's weirdo.
From the Hoosier perspective:

What to Expect: Indiana vs. Ohio State​

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Indiana concludes the regular season Saturday afternoon against Ohio State at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall. The Buckeyes are 17-13 and 9-10 in the Big Ten.

Indiana won the first meeting 77-76 in overtime on Jan. 17 in Columbus.

Saturday’s game will tip at 3:45 p.m. ET on CBS
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Two teams desperately needing a win will meet on Saturday in Bloomington. The Hoosiers and Buckeyes are squarely on the bubble with the Big Ten tournament and Selection Sunday looming.

Indiana is coming off a hard-fought 73-64 loss at Oregon, which snapped its three-game winning streak. Ohio State survived a double overtime thriller on Tuesday in Columbus against Nebraska, another bubble team.

The winner will feel good about its NCAA tournament chances, while the loser will leave with work to do in Indianapolis next week to secure a bid.

THE FIRST MATCHUP
Indiana’s narrow win against the Buckeyes in Columbus was one of its better performances of the season. The Hoosiers responded to back-to-back 25-point losses against Iowa and Illinois with better energy from the opening tip.

Indiana nearly collapsed after it built a 68-58 lead with 5:12 to play. The Hoosiers were outscored 13-3 to finish regulation and fell behind in overtime before outlasting the Buckeyes.

Senior wing Luke Goode had a career night at Value City Arena. The Illinois transfer poured in a career-high 23 points and shot 7-for-14 from the field, including a 4-for-7 mark on 3s. His fourth 3-pointer of the game, with just over a minute left in overtime, proved to be the game-winner.

With Malik Reneau sidelined with a knee injury, Indiana emphasized Oumar Ballo in the post early and often. The 7-footer scored 21 points on 8-for-14 shooting from the field and a 5-for-7 mark from the foul line. Ballo also pulled down 15 rebounds and eight of them were on the offensive end. Ballo played 40 minutes and also had three assists, two blocked shots and a steal.

The Hoosiers also got a key performance from Kanaan Carlyle off the bench. Carlyle, who played well in Tuesday’s loss at Oregon, logged 36 minutes against the Buckeyes. He had 13 points on 5-for-12 shooting and didn’t commit a turnover. Carlyle scored 10 of his 13 points after halftime.

For Ohio State, all three of its backcourt players had big games. Freshman John Mobley scored a team-high 22 points and hit several big shots from the perimeter. Mobley was 5-for-11 on 3s and is shooting 40.2 percent on triples.

Indiana also had trouble defending San Diego State transfer Micah Parrish. The 6-foot-6 wing had 19 points and was disruptive defensively (three steals). Junior point guard Bruce Thornton also played well despite a rough shooting night from distance. Thornton was 6-for-9 on 2s and finished with 18 points, six rebounds and three assists in 43 minutes.

Both teams were missing key pieces in the first meeting. Reneau was unavailable for Indiana and the Buckeyes were without forward Devin Royal, who averages 13.6 points, seven rebounds and 1.1 assists in 28.3 minutes per game. The 6-foot-6 Royal shoots 52.5 from the field and is a versatile scoring threat.

TEMPO-FREE PREVIEW

(All stats are for conference games only and conference rankings in parenthesis are updated through Wednesday’s games.)

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Ohio State is an above-average 3-point shooting team that also gets to the line and converts its opportunities. The Buckeyes shoot 35.2 percent from deep in Big Ten games and score 30.5 percent of its points from 3, which is middle of the pack in the conference and nationally.

The Buckeyes have the fifth-best free throw rate (FTA/FGA) in the league and are shooting 78.4 percent from the stripe, which ranks third in the conference. Thornton shoots 84.1 percent, Mobley 88 percent, Royal 78.2 percent and Parrish 79.1 percent from the stripe.

Defensively, the Buckeyes have two key issues. Ohio State is 14th in the Big Ten in defensive rebounding percentage and last in opponent free throw rate. Indiana had 14 offensive rebounds and went 17-for-23 from the line in Columbus.

WHAT IT COMES DOWN TO

The KenPom projection is Indiana by one with a 54 percent chance of a Hoosier victory. Bart Torvik’s ratings favor Indiana by two with a 57 percent chance for the Hoosiers to prevail.

Indiana should have one of its liveliest crowds of the season. It’s senior day in Bloomington and the Hoosiers can take another step towards an NCAA tournament berth with a win. While not an elimination game for either team with the Big Ten tournament looming, the winner will have far less pressure going to Indianapolis and will also avoid a Wednesday game.

The Hoosiers are playing arguably their best basketball of the season at the right time. Indiana won three straight games before Tuesday’s loss at Oregon. The final score of that contest was not indicative of how close the game was as IU led in the final two minutes before it had to foul, which allowed Oregon to stretch the lead.

The keys for Indiana are dominating the paint, converting opportunities at the line and not allowing the trio of Thornton, Mobley and Parrish to get in rhythm offensively.
 

Buckeyes Close Regular Season with Huge Showdown at Indiana​

Ohio State heads to Indiana on Saturday for not only the final game of the regular season but for a game with a ton of postseason implications. Tip-off is set for 3:45 p.m. and the game will be televised nationally on CBS. Spero Dedes and Jim Spanarkle will call the action.

The game can also be heard on the Ohio State Radio Network from Learfield. Paul Keels and former Buckeye captain Ron Stokes are on the call.

  • This will be the 202nd all-time meeting between Ohio State and Indiana. Officially, the Hoosiers lead the series 110-84 after taking into account six vacated games (three wins by each team).
  • The Hoosiers have won five of the last six meetings, including the game earlier this season in Columbus. The teams have split the last 16 meetings 8-8, with the Hoosiers holding a slight eight-point edge in the overall point total.
  • The last Buckeye win in Bloomington was a 55-52 victory on Feb. 10, 2019. That was also the last time the teams met in Bloomington with the game televised on CBS.
  • In the first meeting, Ohio State erased a 10-point deficit in the final four minutes of regulation to send the game to overtime and Bruce Thornton’s three-pointer at the buzzer rattled in and out as the Hoosiers escaped with a 77-76 victory. John Mobley Jr. led the Buckeyes with 22 points on five three-point makes.
  • The winner on Saturday will not only pick up another Quad 1 win to help bolster its NCAA resume but will also claim the No. 9 seed in next week’s Big Ten Tournament. The No. 9 seed will open play on Thursday while the loser will get the No. 10 seed and begin its tournament on Wednesday evening.
  • The Buckeyes are currently No. 36 in the NET rankings and No. 34 in Kenpom and squarely on the bubble.
  • Ohio State is coming off a thrilling 116-114 double overtime victory over Nebraska on Tuesday evening. Four Buckeyes scored 20 or more points for the first time in program history and the 116 points were tied for the second-most in a game in program history. Bruce Thornton led the way with 29 points and nine assists.
  • Thornton has averaged 23.3 points per game over the last three games and has 17 assists with just one turnover. He’s also 14-of-14 from the free throw line. This is the first time in his career in which he’s scored 20 or more points in three consecutive games.
  • Micah Parrish has played in 164 career games. In those games, he’s scored 20 or more points just eight times and five of them have come in the last 12 games. He’s playing the best basketball of his career at just the right time.
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It's the battle for 9th place:

Team CONF GB OVR
Michigan State 16-3 - 25-5
Michigan 14-5 2 22-8
Maryland 13-6 3 23-7
Wisconsin 13-6 3 23-7
Purdue 13-6 3 21-9
UCLA 12-7 4 21-9
Oregon 11-8 5 22-8
Illinois 11-8 5 19-11
Indiana 9-10 7 18-12
Ohio State 9-10 7 17-13
Nebraska 7-12 9 17-13
Northwestern 7-12 9 16-14
Minnesota 7-12 9 15-15
USC 7-12 9 15-15
Rutgers 7-12 9 14-16
Iowa 6-13 10 15-15
Penn State 5-14 11 15-15
Washington 4-15 12 13-17

Here is what the 2025 B1G Conference Tournament bracket looks like:


The 9 seed gets a first round bye, the 10 seed doesn't.
 
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NCAA Tournament bubble teams: What each program needs to punch ticket to March Madness

Nine teams are squarely on the bubble ahead of Selection Sunday.​

Indiana Hoosiers:

Record: 18-12 (9-10)
NET Ranking: 54
Quad 1 record: 4-12

Playing for their tournament lives, Mike Woodson's team has multiple quality wins in recent weeks (Michigan State and Purdue) and gets a chance this weekend to topple another bubble team (Ohio State) to move even in Big Ten play at 10-10. That would improve the Hoosiers' NET ranking and nullify a recent loss to Oregon that resulted in Indiana's 12th Quad 1 setback of the season. With Woodson and Indiana parting ways at season's end, the Hoosiers are doing all they can to send him out with a March Madness appearance.

Ohio State Buckeyes:

Record: 17-13 (9-10)
NET Ranking: 36
Quad 1 record: 5-9
Ohio State should be in with a victory at Indiana on Saturday given the Buckeyes' current NET ranking of 36. They've piled up the losses in recent weeks, but it hasn't affected Ohio State's stance among other teams on the bubble given the team's record against Quad 1 competition. Tuesday night's double-overtime win over Nebraska might have sewn up a tourney berth for the Buckeyes.
 
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I don't have any confidence in a win this weekend, but I believe this game to be critical to get into the NCAA tourney. I don't see OSU making the tournament with a record of 18-15 - they would need to probably need 19 or 20 wins to get in with 15 losses.
 
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at Assembly Hall - advantage IU
Senior Day - advantage IU
Woodson’s last home game - advantage IU (as much as the fanbase wants him gone, team and fans will rally around him now they know this is the end)

I guess what I’m saying is that if Diebler pulls this off, he deserves a five year extension. :lol: :lol: :lol:
 
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at Assembly Hall - advantage IU
Senior Day - advantage IU
Woodson’s last home game - advantage IU (as much as the fanbase wants him gone, team and fans will rally around him now they know this is the end)

I guess what I’m saying is that if Diebler pulls this off, he deserves a five year extension. :lol: :lol: :lol:

Yes this one is a major uphill battle. I think a W would clinch a tourney birth but since they ended up beating Nebraska the L doesn't push us out. A W in the B1G tourney probably still gets us in.
 
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