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2024 Buckeye Betting

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DaddyBigBucks said:
Season Prop Bets

Before last season the Buckeyes averaged 5 offensive touchdowns per game for 6 consecutive seasons

If they play 16 games this year, 5 offensive touchdowns per game means 80 on the year

O/U 80 offensive touchdowns this year?
Click to expand...
I'd love to lose this bet, but I would guess "under". 60 touchdowns over 12 games is one thing. But those 4 games after 12 aren't against Akron and Florida A&M.
Now, average 3.5 touchdowns against top 3 of those 12, plus the 4 games after those 12, and we're at 24. In the remaining 9, we need 56 touchdowns, or 6.22 per game.
Yikes - 80 in 16 games. I hope I'm wrong, but I don't see it happening.
 
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Zurp said:
I'd love to lose this bet, but I would guess "under". 60 touchdowns over 12 games is one thing. But those 4 games after 12 aren't against Akron and Florida A&M.
Now, average 3.5 touchdowns against top 3 of those 12, plus the 4 games after those 12, and we're at 24. In the remaining 9, we need 56 touchdowns, or 6.22 per game.
Yikes - 80 in 16 games. I hope I'm wrong, but I don't see it happening.
Click to expand...
So much comes down to how much improvement we see from the OL

In 2019 the Buckeyes scored 87 offensive touchdowns in 14 games. That’s 6.21 per game, which is eerily close to the 6.22 required in the first 12 in your scenario. But can they match 2019?

There have been other years where the Buckeyes had 40 or more passing touchdowns; the real difference in 2019 was the running game. There were 39 rushing touchdowns that year, 10 from the quarterback position (Fields). That is far more point production on the ground than any of the more recent years.

The addition of a running qb helps. Will Howard scored 9 touchdowns on the ground for Kansas State last year. He’s not Fields, but he doesn’t have to be.

None of this addresses your primary point; that the slog through the playoffs will skew stats for the teams that play 16. There isn’t much to say about that except that I agree with you. I am more optimistic than most for the offense this year, but even I think that 80 will be a tough number to reach this year
 
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DaddyBigBucks said:
So much comes down to how much improvement we see from the OL

In 2019 the Buckeyes scored 87 offensive touchdowns in 14 games. That’s 6.21 per game, which is eerily close to the 6.22 required in the first 12 in your scenario. But can they match 2019?

There have been other years where the Buckeyes had 40 or more passing touchdowns; the real difference in 2019 was the running game. There were 39 rushing touchdowns that year, 10 from the quarterback position (Fields). That is far more point production on the ground than any of the more recent years.

The addition of a running qb helps. Will Howard scored 9 touchdowns on the ground for Kansas State last year. He’s not Fields, but he doesn’t have to be.

None of this addresses your primary point; that the slog through the playoffs will skew stats for the teams that play 16. There isn’t much to say about that except that I agree with you. I am more optimistic than most for the offense this year, but even I think that 80 will be a tough number to reach this year
Click to expand...
No - you bring up a good point. I didn't realize they scored 80+ touchdowns in fewer games, previously. The fact that it has been done in 14 games makes me more optimistic that it can be done in 16 games.
You're right - QB and OL will be the key. They're also the most unknown. Least known? Whatever - same thing.
 
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DaddyBigBucks said:
Season Prop Bets

Before last season the Buckeyes averaged 5 offensive touchdowns per game for 6 consecutive seasons

If they play 16 games this year, 5 offensive touchdowns per game means 80 on the year

O/U 80 offensive touchdowns this year?
Click to expand...
If you want this to be specific, then I see the trick to it. 5 Offensive, TDs per game vs 5 Overall TDs per game. I absolutely see us scoring 10 Defensive/Special Teams TDs this year and with the way they've sped the game up that 80 number is phenomenal.

Caveat, I also honestly, barring catastrophe, see us beating the shit out of everyone in our way this year so a couple of 70 points games are coming. I've been watching the BTN shows about everyday and the team has an Urban-like focus right now and better depth than ever. The reporters are staying pretty close lipped but you can tell they are about to crown us already. Of course everyone here knows that I'll bet on which way the wind is going to blow so don't mind me on that!

:dougie:
 
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More Season Prop Bets

Defense this time

The Silver Bullets joined a very exclusive club last year:

Teams to give up 15 or fewer touchdowns in the last 15 years*
*Covid shortened seasons don't count

1724023122391.png

Obviously holding the opposition to 15 touchdowns this year will be difficult, not just because of the run of great teams you play at the end of the year, but also because of the number of games. In order to join this list, the Buckeyes may have to join the most exclusive defensive chart of the past 15 years: teams that have held opponents to fewer than 1 td per game on average. Currently, 2011 Alabama is the only team on that list. But if the Buckeyes play 16 AND join the above group, they will join the 2011 Tide in the sub-1-TD-per-game group.

Honestly though, not even I can be that optimistic about this defense.

If the O/U on TDs given up by the defense this year is18, which do you take?
 
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DaddyBigBucks said:
More Season Prop Bets

Defense this time

The Silver Bullets joined a very exclusive club last year:

Teams to give up 15 or fewer touchdowns in the last 15 years*
*Covid shortened seasons don't count

View attachment 43464

Obviously holding the opposition to 15 touchdowns this year will be difficult, not just because of the run of great teams you play at the end of the year, but also because of the number of games. In order to join this list, the Buckeyes may have to join the most exclusive defensive chart of the past 15 years: teams that have held opponents to fewer than 1 td per game on average. Currently, 2011 Alabama is the only team on that list. But if the Buckeyes play 16 AND join the above group, they will join the 2011 Tide in the sub-1-TD-per-game group.

Honestly though, not even I can be that optimistic about this defense.

If the O/U on TDs given up by the defense this year is18, which do you take?
Click to expand...
I see no more than 1 TD per game so I'd go Under 18. There will likely be games where they give up a couple but I'm guessing a few shutouts also. Are any other TDs scored by the opponent counted against the Defense in this scenario or just those specifically?
 
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