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2010 Iowa Hawkeyes Additional Information

BB73

Loves Buckeye History
Staff member
Bookie
'16 & '17 Upset Contest Winner
2010 Iowa Hawkeyes Additional Information​

Coaching Staff
Head Coach:
Official School Bio - Kirk Ferentz

Assistant Coaches:
Official School Bios - Assistant Coaches

[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Ken O'Keefe[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Offensive Coordinator and Quarterbacks[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Norm Parker[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Defensive Coordinator[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Erik Campbell[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Wide Receivers[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Chris Doyle[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Strength and Conditioning[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Lester Erb[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Running Backs and Special Teams[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Eric Johnson[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Recruiting Coordinator and Tight Ends[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Rick Kaczenski[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Defensive Line[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Reese Morgan[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Offensive Line[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Phil Parker[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Defensive Backs[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Darrell Wilson[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Linebackers and Special Teams[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Dustyn Baethke[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Strength and Conditioning Assistan[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]t[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Charlie Bullen[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Defensive Graduate Assistant Coach[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]David Raih[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Offensive Graduate Assistant[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Ned Amendola, M.D.[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Director, UI Sports Medicine Center[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Raimond Braithwaite[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Strength and Conditioning Assistant[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Chigozie Ejiasi[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Director of Player Development[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Matthew Engelbert[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Video Coordinator[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Paul Federici[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Director of Football Operations[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Russ Haynes[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Associate Director, Athletic Training Services[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Tad Leusch[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Assistant Athletic Trainer[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Bob Rahfeldt[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Assistant Video Coordinator[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Scott Southmayd[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Quality Control Director[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]John Streif[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Assistant Athletic Trainer[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]Alan Weber[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Strength and Conditioning Assistant[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica]LeVar Woods[/FONT][FONT=Verdana,Arial,Helvetica] - Administrative Assistant[/FONT]
Recruiting
2011 Verbals Commitments:

Scout.com - #30 overall class - 1-4*, 13-3*, 2-2* - 2.94* average
Rivals.com - #27 overall class - 3-4*, 12-3*, 1-2* - 3.13* average

Austin Blythe OG 6-3 275 Williamsburg, IA - 3*/4*
Torrey Campbell RB 5-11 175 Naples, FL - 3*/3*
Jake Duzey TE 6-4 215 Troy, MI - 3*/3*
Cole Fisher LB 6-3 200 Omaha, NE - 3*/3*
Melvin Gordon RB 6-1 185 Kenosha, WI - 3*/3*
Marcus Grant WR 6-2 190 Groton, MA - 3*/3*
Ray Hamilton TE 6-5 230 Strongsville, OH - 3*/4*
Henry Krieger-Coble TE 6-4 220 Mount Pleasant, IA - 3*/3*
Nicholas Law S 6-3 190 Forestville, MS - 3*/3*
Riley McMinn DE 6-7 220 Rochester, IL - 3*/3*
Mike Orloff LB 6-1.5 210 Groton, MA - 2*/3*
John Raymon DE 6-5 235 Newtown, PA - 3*/3*
Jacob Rudock QB 6-2 185 Fort Lauderdale, FL - 3*/3*
Melvin Spears LB 6-2 219 Allen, TX - 3*/3*
Austin Vincent WR 6-1 165 Desoto, TX - 2*/2*
Jordan Walsh OG 6-3 275 Glen Ellyn, IL - 4*/4*

Class of 2010:


Scout.com - #45 overall class - 2-4*, 12-3*, 7-2*, 1-N/R - 2.68* average
Rivals.com - #42 overall class - 4-4*, 13-3*, 5-2*, 0-N/R - 2.95* average

Marcus Coker RB 6-0 230 Hyattsville, MD - 3*/4*
Carl Davis DT 6-5 300 Sterling Heights, MI - 3*/3*
AJ Derby QB 6-5 220 Iowa City, IA - 3*/4*
Andrew Donnal OT 6-7 280 Whitehouse, OH - 4*/4*
Anthony Ferguson Jr DT 6-2 260 Baltimore, MD - 3*/3*
CJ Fiedorowicz TE 6-7 240 Johnsburg, IL - 4*/4*
Austin Gray LB 6-2 210 Warren, MI - 3*/3*
Mike Hardy DE 6-4 255 Kimberly, WI - 3*/3*
Anthony Hitchens RB 6-1 195 Lorain, OH - 2*/2*
DeAndre Johnson RB 5-8 210 Miami, FL - 2*/3*
Donovan Johnson DT 6-4 245 Arlington, TX - 3*/3*
Christian Kirksey LB 6-2 195 St. Louis, MO - 2*/3*
BJ Lowery CB 5-11 175 Cincinnati, OH - 3*/3*
Kevonte Martin-Manley WR 6-0 198 Bloomfield, MI - 2*/2*
Tanner Miller S 6-2 200 Wellman, IA - 2*/2*
James Morris LB 6-2 210 Solon, IA - 3*/3*
Jonny Mullings K 6-4 215 Canberra, AU - N-R/2*
Jim Poggi LB 6-2 212 Baltimore, MD - 3*/3*
Brandon Scherff OT 6-5 275 Dension, IA - 3*/3*
Don Shumpert WR 6-2 180 St. Louis, MO - 2*/3*
Louis Trinca-Pasat DE 6-3 235 Chicago, IL - 3*/3*
Austin Vier QB 6-7 220 Huxley, IA - 2*/2*


Class of 2009:

Scout.com - #75 overall class - 2-4*, 2-3*, 15-2*, 1-1* - 2.25* average
Rivals.com - #63 overall class - 2-4*, 5-3*, 13-2*, 0-1* - 2.45* average

Dominic Alves DE 6-4 230 Logan, IA - 1*/2*
Conor Boffeli TE 6-5 245 West Des Moines, IA - 2*/3*
[strike]Joshua Brown WR 5-11 190 St. Petersburg, FL - 2*/2*[/strike]

Drew Clark OG 6-4 280 Marion, IA - 2*/3*
Jordan Cotton WR 6-1 175 Mount Pleasant, IA - 3*/3*
Scott Covert DE 6-3 240 Lake Forest, IL - 2*/2*
Keenan Davis WR 6-3 195 Cedar Rapids, IA - 4*/4*
Shane Dibona RB 6-2 220 Duxbury, MA - 2*/2*
Dakota Getz TE 6-4 210 Macon, IL - 2*/2*
[strike]Tyler Harrell DE 6-4 225 Dublin, OH - 2*/2*[/strike]
Marty Hopkins LB 6-3 230 Chicago, IL - 2*/2*
Micah Hyde QB 6-1 175 Fostoria, OH - 2*/2*
Nolan MacMillan OT 6-6 285 Princeton, NJ - 3*/3*
[strike]Matt Murphy OT 6-6 250 Clinton, IA - 2*/2*[/strike]
[strike]Stephane Ngoumou WR 6-4 210 Rockville, MD - 2*/2*[/strike]
Jacob Reisen LB 6-2 205 Iowa City, IA - 2*/2*
Brad Rogers FB 5-9 230 Toledo, OH - 2*/3*
[strike]Anthony Schiavone TE 6-6 225 New London, CT - 2*/2*[/strike]
Brett Van Sloten OT 6-7 255 Decorah, IA - 2*/2*
Brandon Wegher RB 5-11 206 Sioux City, IA - 4*/4*


Class of 2008:

Scout.com - #44 overall class - 13-3*, 12-2* - 2.52* average
Rivals.com - #53 overall class - 13-3*, 12-2* - 2.52* average

Steve Bigach LB 6-3 220 Cleveland, OH - 2*/2*
[strike]David Blackwell LB 6-1.5 208 Fort Lauderdale, FL - 3*/3*[/strike]

[strike]Jeff Brinson RB 6-0 205 Saint Petersburg, FL - 3*/3*[/strike]
Greg Castillo WR 5-11 160 Philadelphia, PA - 2*/2*
[strike]David Cato S 5-10 190 Arlington, TX - 2*/3*[/strike]
James Ferentz C 6-2 250 Iowa City, IA - 3*/3*
Joe Gaglione LB 6-3.5 213 Mentor, OH - 2*/2*
[strike]Jonathan Gimm TE 6-2 232 Houston, TX - 3*/3*[/strike]
JD Griggs DE 6-4 220 Piscatawy, NJ - 2*/2*
[strike]Nathan Guillory RB 5-9 180 Coffeyville, KS - 3*/3* - JUCO[/strike]
Jewel Hampton RB 5-11 200 Indianapolis, IN - 2*/2*
Brad Herman LB 6-4 220 Metamora, IL - 3*/3*
William Lowe RB 5-9.5 165 Cleveland, OH - 2*/2*
Casey McMillan DT 6-4 275 Billings, MT - 2*/2*
Trent Mossbrucker K 5-10.5 195 Mooresville, IN - 2*/2*
[strike]DeMarco Paine CB 5-10 166 St. Louis, MO - 3*/3*[/strike]
[strike]Shane Prater S 5-10 165 Omaha, NE - 2*/2*[/strike]
Shaun Prater CB 5-10 165 Omaha, NE - 3*/3*
Riley Reiff DE 6-6 230 Parkston, SD - 3*/3*
Adam Robinson RB 5-9 185 Des Moines, IA - 2*/2*
[strike]Jason Semmes DE 6-3 220 Orchard Lake, MI - 2*/2*[/strike]
[strike] Khalif Staten WR 6-2 218 Brooklyn, NY - 3*/3*[/strike]
[strike] Jack Swanson CB 5-10 175 Naples, FL - 3*/2*[/strike]
James Vandenburg QB 6-3 187 Keokuk, IA - 3*/3*
John Weinke QB 6-5 210 Tuscola, IL - 3*/3*

Class of 2007:

Scout.com - #37 overall class - 5-4*, 7-3*, 10-2* - 2.77* average
Rivals.com - #28 overall class - 5-4*, 11-3*, 6-2* - 2.95* average

Christian Ballard DE 6-4 275 Lawrence, KS - 4*/4*
Jordan Bernstine S 5-11 200 Des Moines, IA - 4*/4*
Broderick Binns DE 6-2 235 St. Paul, MN - 3*/3*
[strike]Bryan Bulaga OG 6-6 275 Woodstock, IL - 4*/4*[/strike]
[strike]Jacody Coleman LB 62-235 Beaumont, TX - 2*/3*[/strike]
Lebron Daniel LB 6-2 220 Cleveland, OH - 2*/3*
Mike Daniels DE 6-1 230 Blackwood, NJ - 2*/2*
Bruce Davis LB 5-11 230 Cleveland, OH - 2*/3*
[strike]Cedric Everson CB 6-1 177 Detroit, MI - 4*/4*[/strike]
Zach Furlong TE 6-5 225 Xenia, OH - 2*/2*
Adam Gettis OG 6-3 245 Frankfort, IL - 2*/2*
Cody Hundertmark DT 6-3.5 265 Humboldt, IA - 3*/3*
Marvin McNutt QB 6-3 185 Florissant, MO - 3*/3*
[strike]Diauntae Morrow S 6-0 185 Lakewood, OH - 3*/4*[/strike]
[strike]Dezman Moses LB 6-2 215 Willingboro, NJ - 2*/2*[/strike]
Tyler Nielson LB 6-3.5 215 Humboldt, IA - 4*/3*
[strike]Jevon Pugh RB 5-10 210 Naples, FL - 2*/3*[/strike]
Allen Reisner TE 6-3 210 Marion, IA - 2*/2*
Colin Sandeman WR 6-1 188 Bettendorf, IA - 3*/3*
Tyler Sash S 6-1 192 Oskaloosa, IA - 3*/3*
[strike]Abe Satterfield WR 6-1 185 Erie, PA - 2*/2*[/strike]
Marcus Zusevics OT 6-5 260 Mount Prospect, IL - 3*/3*

Class of 2006:

Scout.com - #40 overall class - 4-4*, 4-3*, 13-2* - 2.57* average
Rivals.com - #40 overall class - 2-4*, 11-3*, 8-2* - 2.71* average

[strike]Anthony Bowman WR 5-10.5 175 Orchard Lake, MI - 3*/3*[/strike]
Paul Chaney WR 5-8 165 St. Lois, MO - 2*/2*
Adrian Clayborn DE 6-3 245 Webster Groves, MO - 4*/4*
[strike]James Cleveland WR 6-0 175 Baytown, TX - 3*/3*[/strike]
Ryan Donahue K 6-3 180 Chicago, IL - 4*/2*
[strike]Dominique Douglas WR 6-1.5 180 Detroit, MI - 2*/3*[/strike]
[strike]AJ Edds LB 6-4 220 Greenwood, IN - 4*/3*[/strike]
[strike]Bryon Gattas LB 6-2 231 Palantine, IL - 2*/3* - JUCO[/strike]
Jeremiha Hunter LB 6-1 200 Harrisburg, PA - 4*/4*
Derrell Johnson-Koulianos WR 6-2 185 Youngstown, OH - 3*/3*
Troy Johnson LB 6-2.5 210 Lakeland, FL - 2*/2*
Karl Klug LB 6-4 220 Caledonia, MN - 2*/2*
Brett Morse QB 6-4 220 Hinsdale, IL - 2*/2*
[strike]Arvell Nelson QB 6-4 175 Cleveland, OH - 3*/3*[/strike]
[strike]Derrick Smith LB 6-0 171 Cleveland, OH - 2*/2*[/strike]
[strike]Julian Smith DE 6-4 220 New Berlin, NY - 2*/3*[/strike]
[strike]Amari Spievey CB 5-11.5 175 Middletown, CT - 2*/2*[/strike]
Rick Stanzi QB 6-4.5 200 Mentor, OH - 2*/3*
Jeff Tarpinian S 6-2.5 195 Omaha, NE - 2*/3*
[strike]Lance Tillison S 6-1 195 Seffner, FL - 2*/2*[/strike]
Julian Vandervelde OL 6-3 300 Davenport, IA - 2*/3*

Class of 2005:

Scout.com - #8 overall class - 3-5*, 7-4*, 8-3*, 5-2* - 3.35* average
Rivals.com - #11 overall class - 1-5*, 7-4*, 11-3*, 4-2* - 3.22* average

[strike]Pat Angerer LB 6-1 215 Bettendorf, IA - 3*/3*[/strike]
[strike]Kalvin Bailey RB 5-11 245 Seffner, FL - 4*/4*[/strike]
[strike]Ryan Bain DT 6-2 268 Bolingbrook, IL - 4*/4*[/strike]
[strike]Tyler Blum OL 6-6 240 Walnut, IA - 4*/3*[/strike]
[strike] Dana Brown RB 5-10 195 Clairton, PA - 2*/2*[/strike]
[strike]Kyle Calloway OL 6-7 270 Belleville, IL - 3*/3*[/strike]
[strike]Jake Christenson QB 6-1 200 Lockport, IL - 4*/4*[/strike]
[strike]Justin Collins DT 6-2 250 White Settlement, TX - 2*/2*[/strike]
[strike]Dan Doering OL 6-6 290 Barrington, IL - 5*/5*[/strike]
[strike]Justin Edwards S 6-1 175 Garland, TX - 2*/2*[/strike]
[strike] Rafael Eubanks OL 6-3 290 St. Paul, MN - 4*/4*[/strike]
[strike]Shonn Greene RB 5-11.5 215 Milford, CT - 3*/3*[/strike]
[strike]Vernon Jackson DT 6-1 260 Orlando, FL - 2*/2*[/strike]
[strike]Alex Kanellis DT 6-4 245 Iowa City, IA - 4*/4*[/strike]
[strike]Andy Kuempel OL 6-7 260 Marion, IA - 3*/3*[/strike]
[strike] Tony Moeaki TE 6-4 235 Wheaton, IL - 5*/4*[/strike]
[strike] Dace Richardson OL 6-6 300 Wheaton, IL - 5*/4*[/strike]
[strike]Corey Robertson RB 6-0.5 202 Denison, TX - 3*/3*[/strike]
[strike]Chris Rowell S 6-1 170 Warrensville Heights, OH - 3*/3*[/strike]
[strike]Trey Stross WR 6-3 190 Avon Lake, OH - 4*/3*[/strike]
[strike]BJ Travers LB 6-1 240 Westlake, OH - 3*/3*[/strike]
[strike]Marcus Wilson WR 6-2 180 Cherry Hill, NJ - 3*/3*[/strike]
[strike]Marshall Yanda OL 6-6 306 Mason City, IA - 2*/3* - JUCO[/strike]

Name Pos Ht Wt Hometown - Scout/Rivals rating
[strike]No longer on roster [/strike]
Bold indicates starter

Behind The Numbers
Who Does #2 Work For?

Before moving on to the Iowa game, let's take a moment to look at one of the Big Ten teams that the Buckeyes will not play this year, Northwestern. Casual fans may have been surprised by the Wildcat upset of the Hawkeyes last Saturday. But casual fans don't read this far into the preview. If you are reading this, there is a good chance that you know that Northwestern has Iowa's number in a big way; much like the Hawkeyes have Wisconsin's number (6-2 in the 8 games before the 1 point loss this year), the stinkin' Badgers have Ohio State's number (an equal 5-5 in the last 10 games between teams that are not equal by any other measure), and the Buckeyes have Iowa's number (11-1 in the last 12 games).

We'll get back to that last parenthetical record later. In the meantime, let us examine why a team that fares so much better against the Badgers than do the Buckeyes could struggle against a team against whom the Buckeyes are on a 28-1 run. Indeed, the Wildcats have now won 5 of the last 6 against the Hawkeyes. How could this be? It really is as simple as the fact that Northwestern has Iowa's number, literally. That number is 2.

Some Hawkeye fans call it the Tampa 2, others "that damn 2-deep", still others refer to it by another name associated with the number 2. They all refer to the same thing; the Iowa defense that coordinator Norm Parker never changes. They run it on almost every play and they rarely make meaningful substitutions.

Whether it's a standard 2 deep or a variant of the Tampa 2 is not the topic of this portion of the preview. This is all about the numbers, and what's behind that number 2 (meaning the Iowa 2-deep defense) is a serious match-up problem for the Hawkeyes.

How do you beat the Iowa 2-deep defense? How else? With numbers.




One way is to go 5 wide and get a speedy slot receiver on an Iowa linebacker. This is why:
  • Northwestern is a match-up problem for the Hawkeyes
  • Michigan had their highest passing output of the year (when not going against a no-show Illinois "defense") against Iowa (last year Michigan tried a primarily rushing attack, who says RichRod can't learn?)
  • Iowa fans still have nightmares about Anthony Gonzalez running actual circles around Chad Greenway (OK, the "actual" circles were around different linebackers in '06; but he did burn Greenway pretty badly in '05)
Other ways to beat a 2-deep team are to split the deep zone with a fast tight end or send a speedy running back with good hands on a wheel route behind a wide-out who clears the safety. On plays like this the Iowa defenders will be Behind the Numbers 11 and 3, respectively (Stoneburner and Saine) and literally.

None of these approaches to attacking Iowa's defense had anything to do with last year's 27-24 OT victory. No, last year Ohio State did not have the quarterback for any of this.

The kind of quarterback that is necessary to execute the above offense is a guy like Dan Persa (or Troy Smith)... a distributor. Iowa seemed to be completely helpless on Northwestern's last 2 possessions on Saturday as the Wildcats drove the length of the field against scarcely detectable resistance.

The obvious question all of this begs is thus; "Is Terrelle Pryor ready to become the quarterback that can pick apart the Iowa defense at it's broad, vulnerable seams?" Asked on the message board, this question might lead to some lively discussion. Intense though that discussion may be, it is not at all relevant to the game.

The only person whose opinion matters on that point is Jim Tressel. If "The Vest" believes that #2 is ready, then prepare to see some combination of Stoneburner, Saine and maybe even T-Wash torching the Iowa secondary. If not, the Iowa front 7 had better buckle up because it will be just like last year.

A Deuce of Our Own

Another #2 is relevant to the coming contest... Iowa's Passing Efficiency Rank in the Big Ten.

The conference teams that Ohio State has beaten are ranked 7-11 in passing efficiency - the 5 worst passing teams in the league by that measure. The highest rated passing team of these 5, Illinois, was the only team of the bunch to come within 2 dozen points of the Buckeyes. Their margin of defeat was only 11 points, less than half that of the others. Teams 4, 5 and 6 in passing efficiency are those that the Buckeyes either will not face or have not faced yet. Team #3 in passing efficiency, Wisconsin, beat the Buckeyes handily.

The correlation between the opponent's average passing efficiency and the difference between the points scored for and against the Buckeyes this year is 0.87. That is incredibly high, and is probably due to the defensive backfield's status as the injury capital of the world.

As previously mentioned, Iowa is ranked #2 in passing efficiency, higher than any conference team the Buckeyes have faced (or will face) this year (the Buckeyes are the top team in passing efficiency and it was reported from camp that the offense moved the ball well on the defense this year). So will the injury-depleted Buckeye Backfield handle the Ricky Stanzi assault this Saturday? The answer to that question is the next number in the story.

One Hundred Twenty

Two Big Ten teams gave the Buckeyes fits this year, one fatally so. Those two teams had two things in common; they were the highest rated passing teams the Buckeyes have faced thus far and they both average over 200 yards per game on the ground. So the question becomes, does Iowa have a sufficiently credible rushing threat to allow their passing game to flourish?

It is impressive that the Hawkeyes are 2nd in the league in passing efficiency while averaging just 153.2 yards per game (if you count their game vs. Eastern Illinois). Even so, they seem to need their rushing threat to at least be worth the opponent's attention.

When the Hawkeyes rush for more than 120 yards they win. When they don't they lose.

The Buckeye defense has a similar issue in the front 7's continuing effort to protect the oft-injured backfield.

When the Buckeyes allow more than 120 yards rushing they lose. When they don't they win.

At long last we come to a specific, answerable question about the game then: Can we expect Iowa to be able to gain 120 yard rushing against the Silver Bullets?
Iowa is average 150.33 rushing yards per game vs. FBS teams
Ohio State is holding teams to 52.3% of their usual rushing output. Combining these 2 gives us an expectation of 78.65 yards.

Ohio State is allowing 86.9 yards per game on the ground. Iowa on average gains 95.3% as many yards as their opponents typically surrender. Combining these 2 gives us an expectation of 82.79 yards.
This does not mean that Iowa's ground attack will be held to somewhere between 79 and 83 yards on Saturday. It does mean that Buckeye fans have a legitimate, objective reason to be optimistic about their favorite team's chances.

Differential Statistical Analysis

The above was an example of Differential Statistical Analysis (DSA) applied to Iowa's rushing offense. The same methods can be used to produce estimates for both teams' total yardage, as well as for the final score. First however, let's take a look at the raw numbers.
Traditional Numbers

Note - Some of these numbers are different from what you will see elsewhere because of the Behind the Numbers convention of discarding numbers posted vs. FCS (I-aa) competition. This applies to Iowa's game against Eastern Illinois, a particularly below-average FCS team. Including that game, vs. the 107 ranked rushing offense in FCS, Iowa is 1 yard ahead of Ohio State in Rushing Defense. Ohio State is still in front for those who, a) go by yards per carry or b) discard FCS games.

OSUvsIowaTraditional.jpg


Differential Numbers

The Differential Numbers are a ratio of each team's output against the stats normally posted vs. their opponents.

OSUvsIowaDSA.jpg


The difference between the offenses is that Ohio State is better on the ground. By DSA standards, Iowa's passing game may be a hair better than Ohio State's, though the difference is negligible. The real difference between the offenses is in the rushing attacks. Ohio State's is potent. Iowa's is below average. The result is that the Buckeyes are vastly superior in terms of differential scoring.

Defensively the differences are more subtle and in the opposite direction. Ohio State is slightly behind in rushing defense according to DSA, but significantly better against the pass. The result is a sizable difference in differential Total Defense. The less significant difference in the Scoring Defense column is a result of that metric taking into account the special teams scores that the Buckeyes have allowed this year.
Prediction

As with Iowa's running game, and as promised, here are the DSA predictions for the game.

Total Offense
Ohio State: 365 - 402 yards
Iowa: 251 - 256 yards

Score
Ohio State: 23 - 25 points
Iowa: 16 points

With the DSA analysis and the schematic match-up in the Buckeye's favor, Kinnick Stadium will need to crank up the home-field advantage on Saturday afternoon. Otherwise, the Buckeyes will make it 12 of 13 against the Hawkeyes.
The Lighter Side
After ten games this season Ohio State has scored 416 points. If the season ended last week against Penn State, the 2010 Buckeyes would be the second most prolific scoring machine in the Jim Tressel era and sixth most prolific in its history. Remember how good Ohio State's offense was in 2006? It took Ohio State 13 games to score 450 points in 2006. After 10 games, the '06 team had scored 340. The 1995 team scored a school record 475 points in 13 games. After their 10th game, they had amassed 396 total points. In terms of points per game, it was the 1969 team which averaged the most - 42.6 points per game. The 2010 Buckeyes are just a single point under that '69 mark at 41.6 per contest. At Ohio State's present pace, the 2010 team will end up with 541 points, easily setting the record for most points in a season. Indeed, Ohio State might score 541 points against Michigan, but let's not get ahead of ourselves. Point is this - it's one thing to be frustrated. Still, maybe you ought to think twice before you go booing this Buckeye team.
Every coach has a card in their pocket that they carry around the sidelines to help them with situations. For example, lets say you're up 25 with 6:39 to go. What do you do? Kick the extra point, or do you go for two? Obviously, you go for two. Likewise, when you're up 69-13 with a little over 8 minutes left there's really only one play to call: 74 yard bomb. There's a thing called karma. As much as it surprises me to be writing this, Wisconsin better hope Krishna - a little blue Hindu god - is busy with other things this weekend. Michigan might not be able to stop Wisconsin on their own, but karma doesn't much care about skill. If the Wolverines somehow manage to beat the Badgers this weekend, you'll know the reason why.

Speaking of high scores, maybe it's time the BCS puts margin of victory back in its formula. If you recall, MOV was part of the initial BCS process - the thinking being that beating the snot out of some sister of the poor shouldn't count against you. But, in a world growing soft with political correctness, they dropped the metric based on the perception that teams were trying to run it up on the little guys. The 83 points scored by Wisconsin marks the 6th time this season a Big Ten team has scored 65 points or more. True enough, two of those +65 scores came in the same game resulting in a MOV of just 2, but the point is - scoring isn't down - at least not in the slow, plodding Big Ten. More to the point, considering Big Ten teams alone, there have been 18 games which have resulted in 30 or more point margins of victory. The problem wasn't Margin of Victory being included in the metric, the problem is that most poll voters only pay attention to the final scores. Since there is no way the BCS can get rid of the problem it sought to address without getting rid of human polls altogether, its time to put MOV back in.

Of course, there's no need to put MOV back in when the inevitable playoffs begin as soon as the current BCS contract expires. There's really no getting around it - Boise State or TCU will be in the championship game this year unless both Auburn and Oregon win out. Oregon might win out (it'll be up to you Arizona), but Auburn has to play a very good Alabama team and then has to face a surprisingly good South Carolina team in the SEC Championship game. And while there will be much "woo-hooing" from the mid major lovers, when the dust settles people will realize we had this exact same situation in 1984 when BYU won the Mythical National Championship playing against a schedule that included games against a coffee cup, six balls of lint, a statue of a kimono dragon, and a 6-5 Michigan team.

Of course, there are other doomsday scenarios - Suppose both Auburn and Oregon lose. Does that mean we'll have to watch another TCU v. Bosie State snoozer while the talking heads calling the game try and convince us that these teams are "worthy?" We know better. We don't like to say we know better, it's not politically correct, but when the dust settles - we do know better. Here's how I know we know better: Take a year's salary and bet the following games, straight up winner take all: TCU v. Auburn, Oregon, Wisconsin, LSU, Stanford, Ohio State, Nebraska, or even Alabama. Or, if you prefer, Boise State v. that same string of teams. Again - a full year's salary, striaight up, winner take all. Who are you betting on? Notwithstanding that, what if TCU and/or Boise get jumped by Wisconsin? Or LSU - a team which won't even have won its own division? Fact is, the BCS is in serious trouble this year unless both Oregon and Auburn win out. Frankly, even with Oregon winning out, a discerning eye will notice the Ducks haven't exactly been playing a MAC caliber schedule (80th in the nation as of this week).

Fortunately for Buckeye fans, there's little reason to worry about all of this. The Buckeyes can do nothing but take care of their own business this week against Iowa and then next week against the hated Wolverines. Win out and another BCS bowl will come our way regardless of what Wisconsin or Michigan State do. As always, this week will bring with it much discussion about how good Iowa is and how the Buckeyes are walking in to a hornet's nest even though Iowa lost to Northwestern last week and was a drop away from losing to Indiana the week before. Unlike your Buckeyes, teams like Iowa get a pass when they screw the pooch. But, there's a reason Ohio State is 45-14-3 against Iowa all time. That reason is simple: Ohio State is just plain better than Iowa. Always has been, always will be. Sorry, Herky, it's just the way things are. You've lost when your bad, you've lost when you're good. You've lost when you're good and Ohio State is bad. You've lost when you're #1 in the nation and sporting a Heisman favorite. You've lost 83-21 and you've even managed to lose when you've been able to keep Ohio State's offense out of the end-zone for 60 minutes. It's what you do when the Buckeyes line up against you. Stranger things have happened, but safe money has Ohio State earning victory number 46 in this series. After that, we can get on with things that matter - beating Michigan.
Traditions

One would expect Iowa's traditions to involve a lot of corn, but the starchy vegetable surprisingly didn't show up anywhere in our research. (Maybe the Hawkeye fans could take some advice from the NIU crowd and start an annual corn boil and play game after game of cornhole.) When the Buckeyes exit that locker room and storm onto the field on Saturday, we know that they will certainly be facing an Iowa tradition of playing traditional "smashmouth" Midwestern Big 10 football, albeit a much milder imitation of the more superior four-letter state's beloved team.


  • So what's a Hawkeye and who in the heck is Herky? The nickname is based on a fictional character from James Fennimore Cooper's 1826 novel, The Last of the Mohicans. In Cooper's story, the Delaware Indians gave the Hawkeye name to a white scout who lived with the tribe. The name migrated to the Iowa Territory in 1838 as a result of campaigns by a Burlington, Iowa, judge and a newspaper editor. Burlington had been established in 1833 after the Black Hawk War of 1832. Mr. James Edwards proposed the nickname "Hawk-eyes" in 1838 to "rescue from oblivian a momento, at least of the name of the old chief," Black Hawk. The town newspaper was called the Burlington Hawk-Eye, in tribute to Edwards's friend Chief Black Hawk, and the name stuck.
  • In 1948, a journalism instructor named Richard Spencer III created a cartoon character of a hawk. To name the new character, the athletic department ran a statewide contest and the winning entry, Herky, was penned. Herky the Hawk became a real mascot in the mid-1950s, wearing a black leather head and gold felt feathers, and has been cruising the sidelines ever since. He even donned a military uniform during the Korean War and became the insignia of the 124th Fighting Squadron.
  • Kinnick Stadium, named after former Iowa football player Nile Kinnick who won the Heisman Trophy in 1939, was built in 1929 at a cost of $497,000. The original version seated 53,000 people and took six months to complete. Several expansion projects over the years have grown the seating capacity to 70,505. The stadium unveiled a new look in 2006 with the completion of a $90 million renovation, which included new stands in the south endzone and a new press box.
  • Kinnick Stadium is well-known for its pink visitors' locker rooms, a tradition started by former Iowa coach Hayden Fry. Believing that pink tends to suppress aggressive and hostile behavior, Fry, a psychology major in his college days, had the visiting locker rooms decorated completely in pink. The pink locker room tradition has been continued with the newly renovated locker rooms, which include everything from pink urinals to pink lockers. Controversy flared during the 2005 season when a visiting law professor, along with other university faculty and students protested the pink coloration as demeaning to women and homosexuals.
  • To notify people of the upcoming game, color-coded flags are flown on both sides of the main scoreboard at the south end of the stadium. The first flag west of the HawkVision scoreboard represents the Hawkeyes. A black flag with gold lettering, similar to the coloring of the players' jerseys, shows it is a home game. A gold flag with black lettering is flown for away games. The flag east of the scoreboard represents the opposing team.
  • The "Big Ass Turkey Leg" Guy is a gameday sight outside the stadium. He is a vendor on Melrose St. that sells, well, big ass turkey legs. He is a portly gentleman with a deep, booming voice. He shouts, "Big Ass Turkey Legs, Get your Big Ass Turkey Legs here!" The fans enjoy seeing him, even if they don't partake of a big-ass leg.
  • Fans always line up around the south entrance (Krause Plaza) for the arrival of the team. The teams walks through an aisle of fans into the stadium. This year the statue of Nike Kinnick was added and the team touches it on the way in. (Same goes for fans as they enter the stadium on this side.) In a "swarm" the players run onto the field in rows.
  • I - O - W - A is chanted throughout the stadium after a Hawkeye score.
  • After a victory, the band and fans sing "In Heaven there is no beer, that's why we drink it here. And when were gone from here our friends will be drinking all the beer!" (seriously, they do). This may be accompanied by the fans storming the field if it's a big game. And I'm guessing this game would qualify, but too bad there will be no storming of the field when the Bucks kick their behinds.
  • After big victories during the Hayden Fry era, the team would sing the "Hokey Pokey". Iowa fans remember the team performing it with Ferentz a few times.
  • Annually, they fight over the coveted "Floyd of Rosedale." Floyd is actually the statue of a pig, and it, or he rather, came to be as a result of a 1935 wager between Minnesota Governor Floyd Olson and Iowa Governor Clyde Herring. Iowa lost the game that year prompting Herring to present Olson with Floyd of Rosedale, a champion pig and the brother of Blue Boy from Will Rogers' movie called State Fair. Olson, in turn, gave the pig to the University of Minnesota and commissioned a St. Paul sculptor to capture Floyd's image for posterity. The bronze result is a pig (21 inches long and 15 inches high) mounted on a stand. The Floyd of Rosedale perpetual trophy is kept by the winning team. Minnesota has held Floyd for more years with a 17-game lead in the series.
  • Another important game on the annual schedule is against the Cyclones of Iowa State University. The series dates back to 1894. The teams played every year until 1920. A couple of games were held in the 1930's but the instate rivalry went on hiatus until 1977. Part of the tradition involves students outside of football. The University of Iowa ROTC program takes responsibility for delivering the game ball. A great deal of footwork (or feetwork, actually) is involved because the ball is taken from Ames, Iowa, home of the Cyclones, to Iowa City. The students do a relay run exactly like the Olympic torch except the item being carried is a football. The Hawkeyes are also known for downplaying the significance of their Iowa State rivalry game, while Iowa State is said to treat the game as their "Super Bowl".
  • Iowa plays Wisconsin for the Heartland Trophy, a brass bull. The trophy is new to the rivalry, first presented in 2004 to Iowa, who won the game 30-7. The game in 2005 was more significant than usual for Wisconsin as it was the last home game for head coach Barry Alvarez.
Historical Data

University of Iowa (Iowa City, Iowa) Founded in 1847
Football 1st Season: 1889
Stadium: Kinnick Stadium (Renovated in 2006)
Constructed: 1929
Seating Capacity: 70,585
Playing Surface: FieldTurf (since 2009)
Conference: Big Ten Conference since 1900
Colors: Black & Gold
Mascot: Hawk (Herky)
College Classification: D-IA (or equivalent) since 1937 (first year of NCAA classification)
Conference Championships: 11 Big Ten Titles: 1900*, 1921, 1922*, 1956, 1958, 1960*, 1981*, 1985, 1990*, 2002*, 2004* (* = Co-Champions), in addition to 1 WIUFA 1896 & 1 MVC in 1907
Consensus All-Americans: 22 (20 different players)
College Hall-of-Famers: 14
Pro Hall-of-Famers: 3 (Paul Krause, Andre Tippett, Emlen Tunnell* - played at more than 1 school)
Award Winners: 1 AFCA COY, 1 Walter Camp POY, 2 Davey O'Brien Award, 1 Heisman, 1 John Mackey Award, 1 Lou Groza Award, 2 Maxwell Award, 1 Mosi Tatupu Award, 3 Outland Trophy, 1 Doak Walker, 1 AP POY
National Championships: 5 non-recognized (1921, 1922, 1956, 1958, 1960)
Number of AP/Coaches final rankings: AP-21 years, Coaches-21 years
Records
All Time: 587-515-39 (.532)
Bowl Games: 13-10-1 (.563), most recently a 24-14 win over Georgia Tech in the Orange Bowl (2010)
All Time vs the Big Ten: 293-348-25 (.459) versus teams now in the conference
All Time vs the Ohio State Buckeyes: 14-45-3 (.250), most recently a 27-24 OT loss in Columbus (2009)
Coach's Record: Kirk Ferentz, 1999-2010, 88-58-0 (.603), 14 year career mark of 100-79-0 (.559)

2010 Season: 7-3-0 (.700)
Sep 04 - W vs Eastern Illinois, 37-7
Sep 11 - W vs Iowa State, 35-7
Sep 18 - L at Arizona, 27-34
Sep 25 - W vs Ball State, 45-0
Oct 02 - W vs Penn State, 24-3
Oct 09 - Bye
Oct 16 - W at Michigan, 38-28
Oct 23 - L vs Wisconsin, 30-31
Oct 30 - W vs Michigan State, 37-6
Nov 06 - W at Indiana, 18-13
Nov 13 - L at Northwestern, 17-21
Nov 20 - vs Ohio State, 3:30 ET
Nov 27 - at Minnesota, TBA

2011 Season:
Sep 03 - vs Tennessee Tech
Sep 10 - at Iowa State
Sep 17 - vs Pitt
Sep 24 - vs La Monroe
Oct 01 - Bye
Oct 08 - at Penn State
Oct 15 - vs Northwestern
Oct 22 - vs Indiana
Oct 29 - at Minnesota
Nov 05 - vs Michigan
Nov 12 - vs Michigan State
Nov 19 - at Purdue
Nov 26 - at Nebraska
Links
Official Sites:
Official School Site - University of Iowa
Student Newspaper - The Daily Iowan
Official Athletic Site - Hawkeye Sports
Official Conference Site - Big Ten Conference

Message Boards & Team Pages:
Message Boards - (Scout)
Message Boards - (Rivals)
Message Boards - (Hawk Fans - Independent)
Message Boards - (Hawks Nest - Independent)
Team Page - ESPN
Team Page - USA Today
Team Page - Fox Sports
Team Page - CNN/SI
Team Page - CBS Sportsline
Team Page - Yahoo! Sports

Local News Sources:
Quad City Times - Local News
Des Moines Register - Local News
Cedar Rapids Gazette - Local News
Iowa City Press Citizen - Local News

Team Previews and Breakdowns:
Game Notes - HawkeyeSports
2010 Stats - HawkeyeSports
Team Preview - Big Ten
2010 Spring Prospectus (PDF) - HawkeyeSports
2010 Iowa Hawkeyes Game by Game - CFN
2010 Depth Chart - HawkeyeSports
2010 Iowa Hawkeyes Preview - College Football Poll
2010 Iowa - OSU Preview - Bleacher Report
2010 Iowa Hawkeyes Preview - National Champs
2010 Iowa Hawkeyes Preview - The Sports Network

Big Ten:
2010 Big Ten Prospectus - Big Ten
2010 Big Ten Media Guides - Big Ten
2010 Big Ten Composite Schedule - Big Ten
2010 Big Ten Statistics - BigTen
2010 Big Ten Weekly Releases - BigTen
2010 Big Ten Weekly Results - BigTen
2010 CFN Big Ten Preview Part 1 - CFN
2010 CFN Big Ten Preview Part 2 - CFN
2010 CFN Preseason All-Big Ten Team - CFN
2010 CFN Preseason Unit Preview - CFN
2010 Big Ten Football Preview - CollegeSports-Fans
2010 Big Ten Football Preview - College Football Poll

Note: Statistical data was complied using a variety of sources, including:
Stassen (Chris Stassen) - Data
College Football Data Warehouse - Data
Two Cousins College Football Emporium - Data
American College Football-RSFC (Dave Wilson) - Data
D1A Football (Formerly WALJ 10 College Football) - Data
National Champs.net - Data
Hickok Sports - Data

 
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