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2009 nhl draft

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TSN scouting poll has Tavares back on top

On the eve of their much anticipated showdown at the World Junior Championship, John Tavares has jumped out in front of Victor Hedman in the race for top spot in the 2009 NHL entry draft.
That is in somewhat stark contrast to the pre-season sentiment, when six of 10 NHL scouts polled by TSN in September said they would take the Swedish blueliner Hedman ahead of the Oshawa General sniper Tavares.
Now, the week prior to the WJC, eight of 10 scouts surveyed by TSN have Tavares ahead of Hedman.
"I'll admit it," one scout said, "I have flip-flopped. I had Hedman at No. 1 to start the season. Tavares has been exceptional this season. He's skating better, he's playing harder, he's been outstanding and that isn't to take anything away from Hedman. Hedman hasn't done anything to disappoint at all. Tavares has just stepped up. These two have separated themselves substantially from the rest of the field."
"Night and day" is how another scout compares Tavares' play from last spring's OHL playoffs to this season's efforts in the OHL and at Canada's national junior team's training camp.
"There's just a lot more intensity there," the scout added. "He's focused. He was dominant, absolutely dominant, in that (ADT Challenge) game against the Russians in St. Catharines."
Nevertheless, scouts are eager to see how each responds to the big stage at the WJC. TSN will survey the same 10 scouts after the tournament is over to see if their views have changed on the basis of WJC play.
"Both are very good prospects," another scout said. "I am sure it will be an interesting race all season long but in the end it won't surprise me if the No. 1 pick is dictated by positional preference. If the team drafting No. 1 needs a forward, it will be Tavares. But if the team drafting first needs a defenceman, it will be Hedman. It may be that basic."
The scout suggested, for example, that if the Tampa Bay Lightning – with Vinny Lecavalier, Marty St. Louis and Steven Stamkos, amongst others, up front but bereft of talent on the blueline – are picking first overall, Hedman may be the obvious choice no matter what Tavares and Hedman do the rest of this season.
What is undisputable at this point is that Tavares, with his play to this point in the season, has won over a lot of scouts.
TSN not only surveyed 10 NHL scouts on the Tavares-Hedman matchup, but also asked them for a current "if the draft were held today" ranking of draft-eligible prospects who will be playing in the WJC. Which means top prospects such as Spokane's Jared Cowen and Brampton's Matt Duchene, amongst others, were not considered or eligible for this exercise.
Ten points were awarded for a first-place vote, nine for a second-place vote and so on.
Tavares finished with 98 points, six more than Hedman's 92.
Swedish winger Magnus-Svensson Paajarvi was third with 74 points, followed by Team USA speedster Jordan Schroeder with 64 points and late Team Canada addition Evander Kane with 50 points.
Russian defenceman Dimitri Kulikov, who plays in Drummondville of the Quebec League, was sixth with 39 points. Swedish forward Jacob Josefsson was seventh with 32 points and Team Canada mighty-mite defenceman Ryan Ellis was eighth with 30.
Swedish blueliners David Rundblad and Tom Erixon (son of former NHLer Jan Erixon) rounded out the top 10 at ninth and 10th respectively with 23 and 21 points.
Finnish forward Joonas Nattinen just missed the cut, as did the other three prospects who received votes in the top 10: Swedish forward Marcus Johansson, Slovak forward Richard Panik, and Finnish blueliner Tommi Kivisto, who plays in Red Deer of the WHL.
There's no question scouts are eager to check out the draft eligible talent in this year's WJC.
The general rule of thumb is prospects can only help themselves in this event, which is to suggest it's not held against a prospect if he doesn't light it up against older, more experienced talent. But a strong performance in the WJC can vault a prospect up the rankings.


TSN's Top Ten Prospects at the WJHC

RANKPLAYERTOTAL
1.John Tavares (CAN)98
2.Victor Hedman (SWE)92
3.Magnus-Svensson Paajarvi (SWE)74
4.Jordan Schroeder (USA)64
5.Evander Kane (CAN)50
6.Dimitri Kulikov (RUS)39
7.Jacob Josefsson (SWE)32
8.Ryan Ellis (CAN)30
9.David Rundblad (SWE)21
21.Tom Erixon (SWE)30
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Many NHL teams in the running for first overall pick

With the All-Star break upon us, some pretenders have separated themselves from the contenders as the race for the first overall draft pick begins to pick up steam.
While the World Junior Hockey Championship was expected to highlight a showdown between Canada's John Tavares and Sweden's Victor Hedman, the former Oshawa General and current London Knights centre was named tournament MVP and all but solidified his hold on top spot.
The New York Islanders appear to be the odds-on favourites to get the most ping-pong balls in the jar with just 13 wins and 31 points in 47 games. And with this week's news that goaltender Rick DiPietro is out for the season, it seems unlikely this once-proud franchise will find their way out of the NHL basement.
Adding Tavares would give the Islanders a bright future down the middle with last year's first rounder Josh Bailey already impressing on the Island.
The Atlanta Thrashers are tied for the second worst point total and the trade deadline will go a long way in determining whether they are in the lottery or not. Will general manager Don Waddell feel the pressure to push for a playoff spot and add talent? Or will he put Ilya Kovalchuk on the block, see what his superstar can fetch and continue the building process.
With one year remianing on his contract, Waddell is trying to sign the 25-year-old Kovalchuk to an extension and take away the risk of losing him as an unrestricted free agent in 2010. And who knows what kind of numbers Kovalchuk could out up with Tavares playing centre?

continued...
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jan iss top 30
1 Tavares, John C 9/20/1990 L 6.00 200 London OHL
2 Hedman, Victor LD 12/18/1990 L 6.06 220 Modo SweE
3 Svensson-Paajarvi, Magnus LW 4/12/1991 L 6.01 200 Timra SweE
4 Cowen, Jared LD 1/25/1991 L 6.04.7 218 Spokane WHL
5 Duchene, Matt C 1/16/1991 L 5.11 196 Brampton OHL
6 Kane, Evander C 8/2/1991 L 6.01 180 Vancouver WHL
7 Schenn, Brayden C 8/22/1991 L 6.00 193 Brandon WHL
8 Schroeder, Jordan RW 9/29/1990 R 5.08.2 175 Minnesota WCHA
9 Kadri, Nazem C 10/6/1990 L 5.11.5 180 London OHL
10 Josefson, Jacob C 3/2/1991 L 6.00 187 Djurgarden SweE
11 Shore, Drew C 1/29/1991 R 6.02 190 USA Under-18 NTDP
12 Ellis, Ryan RD 1/3/1991 R 5.09.2 183 Windsor OHL
13 Morin, Jeremy C 4/16/1991 R 6.00.5 189 USA Under-18 NTDP
14 Despres, Simon LD 7/27/1991 L 6.03.5 214 Saint John QMJHL
15 Kassian, Zack RW 1/24/1991 R 6.02.5 212 Peterborough OHL
16 Holland, Peter C 1/14/1991 L 6.01.5 188 Guelph OHL
17 Ferraro, Landon RW 8/8/1991 R 5.11 169 Red Deer WHL
18 Kulikov, Dmitri LD 10/29/1990 L 6.00 190 Drummondville QMJHL
19 Glennie, Scott C 2/22/1991 R 6.01 180 Brandon WHL
20 Leblanc, Louis C 1/26/1991 R 6.00 178 Omaha USHL
21 Moore, John LD 11/19/1990 L 6.02 189 Chicago USHL
22 Werek, Ethan C 6/7/1991 L 6.00.5 191 Kingston OHL
23 Nattinen, Joonas C 1/3/1991 R 6.02 183 Espoo FinJrA
24 Rundblad, David RD 10/8/1990 R 6.02 189 Skelleftea SweE
25 Klingberg, Carl LW 1/28/1991 R 6.03 205 V. Frolunda SweJE
26 Panik, Richard C 2/7/1991 L 6.01 202 Trinec CzeJr
27 Elliott, Stefan LD 1/30/1991 R 6.00.2 185 Saskatoon WHL
28 Ashton, Carter LW 4/1/1991 L 6.04 212 Lethbridge WHL
29 Haula, Erik LW 3/23/1991 L 5.11 170 Shattuck-St. MN-HS
30 Caron, Jordan C 11/2/1990 L 6.02.5 200 Rimouski QMJHL
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Tavares, Hedman top Central Scouting Bureau rankings
TORONTO - London Knights centre John Tavares remains the top North American skater while Swedish defenceman Victor Hedman still leads among Europeans in the final NHL Central Scouting Bureau rankings released Tuesday.
Tavares established an Ontario Hockey League record with 215 career goals, scoring 32 times in his final 24 games. He also helped Canada win gold at the world junior championships.
The six-foot-six, 220-pound Hedman collected 21 points in 43 games for MoDo of the Swedish Elite League, earning rookie of the year honours.
Matt Duchene of the Brampton Battalion is ranked second behind Tavares, followed by Evander Kane of the Vancouver Giants, Brayden Schenn of the Brandon Wheat Kings and Jordan Schroeder from the University of Minnesota.
Rounding out the Top 5 in Europe behind Hedman are: Magnus Paajarvi-Svensson, Jacob Josefson, Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Tim Erixon.
Matt Hackett of the Plymouth Whalers is the top-rated North American goaltender while Frolunda's Robin Lehner leads the Europeans.
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1 Tavares, John C 9/20/1990 L 6.00 200 London OHL
2 Hedman, Victor LD 12/18/1990 L 6.06 220 Modo SweE
3 Svensson-Paajarvi, Magnus LW 4/12/1991 L 6.01 200 Timra SweE
4 Duchene, Matt C 1/16/1991 L 5.11 196 Brampton OHL
5 Schenn, Brayden C 8/22/1991 L 6.00 193 Brandon WHL
6 Kane, Evander C 8/2/1991 L 6.01 180 Vancouver WHL
7 Cowen, Jared LD 1/25/1991 L 6.04.7 218 Spokane WHL
8 Kadri, Nazem C 10/6/1990 L 5.11.5 180 London OHL
9 Kulikov, Dmitri LD 10/29/1990 L 6.00 190 Drummondville QMJHL
10 Josefson, Jacob C 3/2/1991 L 6.00 187 Djurgarden SweE
11 Holland, Peter C 1/14/1991 L 6.01.5 188 Guelph OHL
12 Schroeder, Jordan RW 9/29/1990 R 5.08.2 175 Minnesota WCHA
13 Ellis, Ryan RD 1/3/1991 R 5.09.2 183 Windsor OHL
14 Shore, Drew C 1/29/1991 R 6.02 190 USA Under-18 NTDP
15 Despres, Simon LD 7/27/1991 L 6.03.5 214 Saint John QMJHL
16 Leblanc, Louis C 1/26/1991 R 6.00 178 Omaha USHL
17 Moore, John LD 11/19/1990 L 6.02 189 Chicago USHL
18 Ferraro, Landon RW 8/8/1991 R 5.11 169 Red Deer WHL
19 Kassian, Zack RW 1/24/1991 R 6.02.5 212 Peterborough OHL
20 Glennie, Scott C 2/22/1991 R 6.01 180 Brandon WHL
21 Palmieri, Kyle C 2/1/1991 R 5.10 191 USA Under-18 NTDP
22 Ashton, Carter LW 4/1/1991 L 6.04 212 Lethbridge WHL
23 Ekman-Larsson, Oliver LD 7/17/1991 L 6.02 176 Leksands SweAl
24 Caron, Jordan C 11/2/1990 L 6.02.5 200 Rimouski QMJHL
25 Leddy, Nick LD 3/20/1991 L 5.11 179 Eden Prairie MN-HS
26 Werek, Ethan C 6/7/1991 L 6.00.5 191 Kingston OHL
27 Nattinen, Joonas C 1/3/1991 R 6.02 183 Espoo FinJrA
28 Morin, Jeremy C 4/16/1991 R 6.00.5 189 USA Under-18 NTDP
29 Kreider, Chris LW 4/30/1991 L 6.02 201 Andover MA-HS
30 Panik, Richard C 2/7/1991 L 6.01 202 Trinec CzeE
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Little movement in latest ISS draft rankings
With the National Hockey League's Entry Draft drawing ever closer, the ranking of prospects is certainly becoming much more static.
International Scouting Services has released its monthly rankings for the draft - taking place on June 26 and 27 in Montreal - with only two players moving among the Top 30.
Defencemen Ryan Ellis of the Windsor Spitfires and Simon Despres of the Saint John Sea Dogs both moved up on the list, with Ellis going up one spot to No. 13 and Despres back in the list at No. 30.
Brampton Battalion centre Matt Duchene grabbed the spotlight in the ISS rankings last month, when he moved up to second on the monthly prospect list.
The move bumped defenceman Victor Hedman to second and Duchene - who is still second in this month's list - trails only John Tavares for the top spot.
TSN's latest rankings, released last month prior to the Draft Lottery, has Ellis ranked 12th and Despres ranked 14th.
Rounding out the Top 5 in this month's ISS rankings is forward Magnus Paajarvi-Svensson from Timra of the Swedish Elite League and Vancouver Giants forward Evander Kane.
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1 Tavares, John C 9/20/1990 L 6.00.2 195 London OHL
2 Duchene, Matt C 1/16/1991 L 5.11 200 Brampton OHL
3 Hedman, Victor LD 12/18/1990 L 6.06 220 Modo SweE
4 Paajarvi-Svensson, Magnus LW 4/12/1991 L 6.01 200 Timra SweE
5 Kane, Evander C 8/2/1991 L 6.01.2 176 Vancouver WHL
6 Schenn, Brayden C 8/22/1991 L 6.00 198 Brandon WHL
7 Cowen, Jared LD 1/25/1991 L 6.05.2 220 Spokane WHL
8 Kadri, Nazem C 10/6/1990 L 5.11.5 167 London OHL
9 Ekman-Larsson, Oliver LD 7/17/1991 L 6.02 176 Leksands SweAl
10 Kulikov, Dmitri LD 10/29/1990 L 6.00.5 183 Drummondville QMHHL
11 Josefson, Jacob C 3/2/1991 L 6.00 187 Djurgarden SweE
12 Leblanc, Louis C 1/26/1991 R 6.00 178 Omaha USHL
13 Ellis, Ryan RD 1/3/1991 R 5.09.2 173 Windsor OHL
14 Schroeder, Jordan RW 9/29/1990 R 5.08.2 175 Minnesota WCHA
15 Holland, Peter C 1/14/1991 L 6.02 185 Guelph OHL
16 Moore, John LD 11/19/1990 L 6.02 189 Chicago USHL
17 Ferraro, Landon RW 8/8/1991 R 5.11.2 165 Red Deer WHL
18 Shore, Drew C 1/29/1991 R 6.02.5 190 USA Under-18 NTDP
19 Glennie, Scott C 2/22/1991 R 6.01.2 177 Brandon WHL
20 Kassian, Zack RW 1/24/1991 R 6.02.7 210 Peterborough OHL
21 Leddy, Nick LD 3/20/1991 L 5.11 179 Eden Prairie MN-HS
22 Rundblad, David RD 10/8/1990 R 6.02 189 Skelleftea SweE
23 Palmieri, Kyle C 2/1/1991 R 5.10 191 USA Under-18 NTDP
24 Kreider, Chris LW 4/30/1991 L 6.02 201 Andover MA-HS
25 Caron, Jordan C 11/2/1990 L 6.02.2 202 Rimouski QMJHL
26 Werek, Ethan C 6/7/1991 L 6.00.7 190 Kingston OHL
27 Morin, Jeremy C 4/16/1991 R 6.00.5 189 USA Under-18 NTDP
28 Nattinen, Joonas C 1/3/1991 R 6.02 183 Espoo FinJrA
29 Orlov, Dimitri F 7/23/1991 L 6.00 197 Novokuznetsk KHL
30 Despres, Simon LD 7/27/1991 L 6.03.5 205 Saint John QMJHL
 
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central scouting
Top 30 North American Skaters

1. John Tavares, London (OHL); 2. Matt Duchene, Brampton (OHL); 3. Evander Kane, Vancouver (WHL); 4. Brayden Schenn, Brandon (WHL); 5. Jordan Schroeder, University of Minnesota (WCHA); 6. John Moore, Chicago (USHL); 7. Scott Glennie, Brandon (WHL); 8. Simon Despres, Saint John (QMJHL); 9. Jared Cowen, Spokane (WHL); 10. Zack Kassian, Peterborough (OHL); 11. Dmitry Kulikov, Drummondville (QMJHL); 12. Carter Ashton, Lethbridge (WHL); 13. Louis Leblanc, Omaha (USHL); 14. Chris Kreider, Andover (USHS-Mass.); 15. Nezem Kadri, London (OHL); 16. Ryan Ellis, Windsor (OHL); 17. Stefan Elliott, Saskatoon (WHL); 18. Landon Ferraro, Red Deer (WHL); 19. Peter Holland, Guelph (OHL); 20. Kyle Palmieri, U.S. Under-18 (USDP); 21. Jordan Caron, Rimouski (QMJHL); 22. Zach Budish, Edina High (USHS-Minn.); 23. Ryan Button, Prince Albert (WHL); 24. Nick Leddy, Eden Prairie (USHS-Minn.); 25. Calvin de Haan, Oshawa (OHL); 26. Philippe Paradis, Shawinigan (QMJHL); 27. Dylan Olsen, Camrose (AJHL); 28. Drew Shore, U.S. Under-18 (USDP); 29. Cody Eakin, Swift Current (WHL); 30. Chris Brown, U.S. Under-18 (USDP)

Top 10 North American Goaltenders

1. Matthew Hackett, Plymouth (OHL); 2. Olivier Roy, Cape Breton (QMJHL); 3. Edward Pasquale, Saginaw (OHL); 3. Michael Lee, Fargo (USHL); 5. Scott Stajcer, Owen Sound (OHL); 6. Alex Vazzano, Gunnery, Conn. H.S. (U.S. high school); 7. Michael Zador, Oshawa (OHL); 8. Brandon Maxwell, U.S. U-18 (USDP); 9. Darcy Kuemper, Red Deer (WHL); 10. Jean-Francois Berube, Montreal (QMJHL)

Top 30 European Skaters

1. Victor Hedman, Modo, Sweden; 2. Magnus Paajarvi-Svensson, Timra, Sweden; 3. Jacob Josefson, Djurgarden, Sweden; 4. Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Leksand, Sweden; 5. Tim Erixon, Skelleftea, Sweden; 6. David Rundblad, Skelleftea, Sweden; 7. Carl Klingberg, Frolunda, Swedish Jrs.; 8. Marcus Johansson, Farjestad, Sweden; 9. Dmitri Orlov, Novokuznetsk, Russia; 10. Joonas Nattinen Blues, Finnish Jrs;11. Toni Rajala, Ilves, Finnish Jrs.; 12. Jakob Silfverberg, Brynas, Swedish Jrs.; 13. Richard Panik, Trinec, Czech Jrs.; 14. Tomas Tatar, Zvolen, Slokakia; 15. Anton Rodin, Brynas, Swedish Jrs.; 16. Sami Vatanen, Jyp, Finnish Jrs.; 17. Simon Bertilsson, Brynas, Swedish Jrs.; 18. Alexander Avtsyn, Dynamo, Russia 2; 19. Anton Lander, Timra, Swden; 20. Anton Burdasov, Cheljabinsk, Russia 2; 21. Alexander Urbom, Djurgarden, Swedish Jrs.; 22. Mattias Lindstrom, Skelleftea, Swedish Jrs.; 23. Henrik Bjorklund, Skare, Sweden 3; 24. Sergei Andronov, Togliatti, Russia; 25. Sergei Chvanov, Cherepovets, Russia 2; 26. Patrik Cehlin, Djurgarden, Swedish Jrs.; 27. Martin Karlsson, Leksand, Swedish Jrs.; 28. Kristian Nakyva, Blues, Finnish Jrs.; 29. Sergei Drozd, Dynamo Minsk, Russia; 30. Roman Horak, C.Budejovice, Czech Jrs.

Top 10 European Goaltenders

1. Robin Lehner, Frolunda, Swedish Jrs.; 2. Mikko Koskinen, Blues, Finland; 3. Juraj Holly, Chomutov, Czech Jrs.; 4. Lukas Flueler, Zurich, Switzerland; 5. Anders Nilsson, Lulea, Swedish, Jrs.; 6. Marek Mazanek, Plzen, Czech Jrs.; 7. Joni Ortio, Tps, Finnish Jrs.; 8. Benjamin Conz, Geneve, Switzerland; 9. Erno Suomalainen, Blues, Finnish Jrs.; 10. Igor Bobkov, Magnitogorsk, Russia 2
 
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