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vBet: Heisman Winner

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tedginn05

tedginn05

Legend
Official Heisman Trophy Thread

I'm really surprised we don't have one of these yet.

I heard earlier tonight that this is the first year in a long time that only 3 players are being invited. With Bush, Young, and Leinart being invited and thats it. In years past the voting has been closer. But this year in some of the votes already turned in the Top-3 are so far ahead of the other canidates that they are only inviting Bush, Young, and Leinart this year.

We already know its 99% a sure thing that Bush will win. But who will be 2-3?
 
stiffarmtrophy.com (which was heismanprojection.com before being sued by the Heisman people) does a kind of exit poll by scouring the internet for Heisman votes (and emailing other Heisman votes), then using those ballots to project the rest of the ballots. He's been very accurate the last three years. Here is what he has this year, so far:

<table class="funky" border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr align="right"><td class="total" align="left">name</td><td class="total">first</td><td class="total">second</td><td class="total">third</td><td class="total">ballots</td><td class="total">points</td><td class="proj">Projected</td><td class="proj">Projected %</td></tr> <tr align="right"><td class="total" align="left">R Bush</td><td class="total">164</td><td class="total">13</td><td class="total">1</td><td class="total">178</td><td class="total">519</td><td class="proj">2517</td><td class="proj">52.1%</td></tr> <tr align="right"><td class="total" align="left">V Young</td><td class="total">18</td><td class="total">121</td><td class="total">13</td><td class="total">152</td><td class="total">309</td><td class="proj">1471</td><td class="proj">30.4%</td></tr> <tr align="right"><td class="total" align="left">M Leinart</td><td class="total">1</td><td class="total">15</td><td class="total">82</td><td class="total">98</td><td class="total">115</td><td class="proj">565</td><td class="proj">11.7%</td></tr> <tr align="right"><td class="total" colspan="6"><hr noshade="noshade" size="1"></td><td class="proj" colspan="2"><hr noshade="noshade" size="1"></td></tr> <tr align="right"><td class="total" align="left">B Quinn</td><td class="total">1</td><td class="total">2</td><td class="total">18</td><td class="total">21</td><td class="total">25</td><td class="proj">116</td><td class="proj">2.4%</td></tr> <tr align="right"><td class="total" align="left">M Robinson</td><td class="total">0</td><td class="total">0</td><td class="total">9</td><td class="total">9</td><td class="total">9</td><td class="proj">46</td><td class="proj">1.0%</td></tr> <tr align="right"><td class="total" align="left">D Olson</td><td class="total">0</td><td class="total">1</td><td class="total">5</td><td class="total">6</td><td class="total">7</td><td class="proj">37</td><td class="proj">0.8%</td></tr> <tr align="right"><td class="total" align="left">D Williams</td><td class="total">0</td><td class="total">0</td><td class="total">5</td><td class="total">5</td><td class="total">5</td><td class="proj">24</td><td class="proj">0.5%</td></tr> <tr align="right"><td class="total" align="left">AJ Hawk</td><td class="total">0</td><td class="total">1</td><td class="total">3</td><td class="total">4</td><td class="total">5</td><td class="proj">24</td><td class="proj">0.5%</td></tr> <tr align="right"><td class="total" align="left">J Harrison</td><td class="total">0</td><td class="total">0</td><td class="total">2</td><td class="total">2</td><td class="total">2</td><td class="proj">12</td><td class="proj">0.2%</td></tr> <tr align="right"><td class="total" align="left">E Dumervil</td><td class="total">0</td><td class="total">0</td><td class="total">2</td><td class="total">2</td><td class="total">2</td><td class="proj">7</td><td class="proj">0.1%</td></tr> <tr align="right"><td class="total" align="left">L White</td><td class="total">0</td><td class="total">0</td><td class="total">1</td><td class="total">1</td><td class="total">1</td><td class="proj">4</td><td class="proj">0.1%</td></tr> <tr align="right"><td class="total" align="left">G Wolfe</td><td class="total">0</td><td class="total">0</td><td class="total">1</td><td class="total">1</td><td class="total">1</td><td class="proj">4</td><td class="proj">0.1%</td></tr> <tr align="right"><td class="total" align="left">M Crosby</td><td class="total">0</td><td class="total">0</td><td class="total">1</td><td class="total">1</td><td class="total">1</td><td class="proj">3</td><td class="proj">0.1%</td></tr></tbody> </table>
He notes that it isn't possible to get above 50% of the votes in reality, so Bush's # is slightly inflated by all of the incomplete ballots. Still, Bush's lead is pretty solid.
 
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